9-2 FLYER WAS 12.0 ON BETDAQ: Daqman yesterday spotted Carraroe Flyer at 12.0 on BETDAQ, on a solo mission from Ireland to Ayr. Result of a gamble: Carraroe Flyer WON 9-2, an easy winner, and two raiders out of two for his stable.
ROYAL ASCOT COUNTDOWN: Now you see him, now you don’t: in which race will Magician appear next week? The Breeders’ Cup (turf) winner could get the firm ground he needs at Royal Ascot. He’s biggest with BETDAQ for both his entries.
ADAAY TO REMEMBER AT ROYAL ASCOT
TUESDAY
STATS: Adaay, one of the Coventry Stakes favourites, is by Kodiac, sire of 90 individual two-year-old winners, out of a Royal Applause mare whose daughter Mullionmileanhour was beaten a short-head by Equiano in the Abernant. Must have top of the ground.
BETTING: Will the weather decide the races at Royal Ascot? The current forecast is for no rain on the track until next Wednesday but thunderstorms during or after a dry spell, and particularly after watering, can change the going quickly. That had us on tenterhooks on Derby Day.
For Tuesday’s Kings Stand Stakes, Maarek, the Abbaye winner on soft, is easy to back but Ladbrokes are cautious at 10-1, making the 16.0 BETDAQ offers look big.
Ladbrokes are particularly short at 8-1 about Ballydoyle’s Breeders Cup (turf, firm) winner, Magician, for the Queen Anne Stakes, though you could get 29.0 with BETDAQ layers last night and 18.0 this morning. Curious.
WEDNESDAY
BETTING: Magician is as low as 5-1 in places for Wednesday’s Prince Of Wales’s Stakes, 8.2 this morning with BETDAQ layers but Ladbrokes are not betting on the race. Curiouser and curiouser.
STATS: The 2013 Newmarket 1,000 Guineas and Coronation Stakes winner at Royal Ascot, Sky Lantern, will be a warm order for the Duke Of Cambridge Stakes.
But be warned that all seven fillies to have carried a Group-1 penalty in this race have been beaten, including such as Soviet Song. It’s gonna be a tough one for her.
Form books out and study the Royal Hunt Cup! Or has Sir Michael Stoute got it sorted with Abseil, who won on Friday like the proverbial Group horse in a handicap.
No way, say the stats. Only one favourite has won in the decade (8-10 finished out of the frame). No way, say the stats again. That was only his fourth start and most (again 8-10) have had at least double that number of runs.
BOB A JOB FOR TONY McCOY TONIGHT
FONTWELL
There are three last-time winners, despite the small field for the 20f novices’ hurdle at Fontwell (3.10). But Discay should score.
Trainer Dr Richard Newland has current form of 0111011 and is 43% with his few hurdles runners at Fontwell. Discay, four times a Flat winner, including on firm ground, trotted up on his hurdles debut.
Discay’s jockey, Sam Twiston-Davies, has two more solid rides: Nodform Richard makes a 400-mile round trip for the Alan Arnell Trophy (2.40), and Theatrelands (3.40) is blinkered for the first time.
SALISBURY
Big fields have favoured high numbers in the 7f handicap (4.55), with stalls 9, 10, 12, 15 and 18 (twice) scoring in the last decade. Sweet Cherry, in 18, and 12.0 on BETDAQ has been gradually coming to hand.
Three-year-olds are 7-9 in the fillies’ race (3.55), a handicap much loved by Hughie Morrison (it’s named after his grandfather): he is going for his third win in six years (but actually 2-4, with form figures 1021 in that time).
Hughie’s Teofilo filly, Cascading, has been keeping top-class company in her maidens and has a decent chance at 7.0 on BETDAQ this morning.
She ran second at Newbury to Oaks fourth, Inchila, with the third horse, Criteria, subsequently going down by a nose in the Lingfield Oaks Trial.
The change of going could help, since Teofilos have won three times as many races on top of the ground than on softer surfaces. The hooded Hidden Gold is the obvious danger but second time out is the crucial test of a filly.
LINGFIELD
They’re a modest lot at Lingfield: best of them may be the Rail Link filly, Silk Train, a winner over today’s trip at Kempton and unlucky to come up against dual winner, Manomime, three weeks ago.
WORCESTER
Tony McCoy has four rides for the guv’nor, J P McManus, but his mount for Rebecca Curtis appeals most.
After a good run at Cheltenham in April, Bob Keown (8.35) was beaten only a neck in another huge field at the Punchestown Festival.
On The Bridge has been running at Listed and Graded level, and Massannie, who has been waiting for top of the ground, goes well fresh.
But Bob Keown is relatively unexposed, only six, and has tempted super-champ McCoy to scale down to 10st 6lb tonight.
I’ve been choosing the wrong one for the nap in the last few days: which shall it be today, the short shots or the the bigger prices? Maybe I’m best to follow my own headlines, which are currently 31212.
DAQMAN’S BETS (staked to win 20 points unless stated)
BET 8.5pts win NODFORM RICHARD (2.40 Fontwell)
BET 3.3pts win CASCADING (3.55 Salisbury)
BET 1.8pts win and place SWEET CHERRY (4.55 Salisbury)
BET 8pts win (nap) BOB KEOWN (8.35 Worcester)
DAQ MULTIPLES: 3 x 2pt win doubles and 1pt win treble Discay (3.10 Fontwell), Silk Train (7.55 Lingfield) and Bob Keown (8.35 Worcester)
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