5-2 NAP IS DAQMAN’S THIRD IN A ROW: Easy Brighton scorer Pilates (WON 5-2) piloted Daqman to his third consecutive winning nap yesterday, following the two maximum-stakes bankers, Integral (WON 13-8 dd ht) and Novellist (WON 3-10), on Saturday and Sunday.
11-1 SCORER HAS LAYERS FEELING THE HEAT: Daqman’s run of good-odds winners also continued through Feel The Heat (WON 11-1), after Rizeena (WON 9-2 from 7.0) on Sunday and before that Lafan (WON 7-1 from 10.5) and Rocket Bob (WON 5-1), which followed 10-1 (twice) and 9-1 winners earlier last week.
FOUR WINNING DAYS ON THE TROT: It was his fourth consecutive day with a profit: Friday (three winners, 23 points), Saturday (three wins, 20 points), Sunday (three winners, 15 points), Monday (two winners, 5 points). Total: 11 winners for 63 points.
Broxbourne has won me a packet and selects herself at Goodwood today. While I would normally avoid horses after a sequence of wins, the mare may well have more to come after improving 41lb this year, and I’ve earmarked her for the Cesarewitch.
This column has tipped the Mark Johnston mare for all three of her recent wins, yet I was delighted when she finished out of the frame at Ascot.
No one in their right mind can have a serious bet in the Shergar Cup for international jockeys and, sure enough, the usual muddling race among them – some didn’t know the course or the horses – resulted in a poor run for Broxbourne, ridden like a sprinter at the finish, rather than the stamina-laden galloper she is.
That got me a price for York, a fabulous 6-1 about one who had forged right away to win the Goodwood Stakes (2m 5f). She is back on the course today, dropped down to 2m, the trip of three other successes since February.
But BETDAQ backers this morning were right to view the Royal Sussex Regiment Stakes (4.40) as an open race, with Broxbourne and Argent Knight around 5.0 and with the one I thought might be the danger to Broxbourne – Sir Michael Stoute’s Mawaqeet – not wanted, out to 8.0.
Mawaqeet stepped up on his last of six to Broxbourne in late July to run the mare to a neck at York, and any older animal on the upgrade and trained by M. Stoute must be feared. The bold knight can improve a palfrey no end in its third or fourth season.
But another knight here, Argent Knight, also has ‘improver’ written all over him, officially 15lb better than when scoring at Sandown six weeks ago.
Argent Knight is a three-year-old, and they tend to clean up at this time of year. Since Sandown, he’s been backed into favourite to beat Waterclock at Newmarket. And he did.
With Mawaqeet now better of – rated to run a dead heat – with Broxbourne and Waterclock better in with Argent Knight, we have a race on our hands.
And you can’t leave out Mutual Regard, who was second in that Shergar Cup race, when Broxbourne was last, and beat Waterclock at Ffos Las.
Again, Waterclock now has a pull in the weights and, additionally, Arch Villain, fourth behind Argent Knight and Waterclock at Newmarket, is well enough in now to have a say.
In fact, you can imagine the official handicapper, with his Racing Post over breakfast this morning, beaming like the creator, himself, as he surveys a race in which – in theory – he has seven horses rated to finish roughly in a line.
BETDAQ to the rescue! Thanks to 106% total percentage probability in the orange, we are in a punter-friendly zone, so whatever you back you have some kind of value, and if you bet more than one, your reduced odds won’t be prohibitive.
I’ll stick with Broxbourne – she owes me nothing – but greatly fear the three-year-old, Argent Knight who has already proved he can mix it with the older horses.
I’ll bet (at around 5.0 on BETDAQ this morning) that Silvestre De Sousa makes a difference to Deeds Not Words (4.05 Goodwood), a winner without a penalty in that he was very narrowly beaten on his penultimate start in a big field over CD. Gets 19lb from Expert, and Captain Midnight has a penalty after it took him eight starts to score.
NAP: Thrown in for a raid on Scotland – he’s owned by Willie McKay – is the Gordon Elliott hurdles winner Goal who seems to have only ‘bridesmaid’ countryman Minot Street and a nine-year-old, Summer Dance, to beat.
DAQMAN’S BETS
BET 9pts win WIZARA and 4.5pts win (stakes saver) MARTIAN (2.20 Goodwood)
BET 6.6pts win (nap) GOAL (2.40 Musselburgh)
BET 5pts win DEEDS NOT WORDS and 2.5pts win (stakes saver) EXPERT (4.05 Goodwood)
BET 5pts win on each BROXBOURNE and ARGENT KNIGHT (4.40 Goodwood)
BET 2.7pts win BRAVE ECHO, and 1p win and place SLIP SLIDING AWAY (5.10 Goodwood)
BET 7pts win DRAHEM and 2pts win (stakes saver) PLENUM (6.50 Lingfield)
BET 6f.2pts win CANDOLUMINESCENCE (7.20 Lingfield)
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