DAQMAN REELS IN SIX WINS: Daqman landed six winning bets, casting his net over just three races at Wolverhampton yesterday, for three doubles and a treble (Daq Multiples) and two singles for 46.66 points total profit with:
WON 6-4 Wajeeh
WON 4-5 Don’t Be
WON 15-8 John Reel
THREE NAPS UP OUT OF FOUR: John Reel was a real catch. Though stepped up in trip, he stormed through powerfully and looks a contender for such as the Chester Cup and Queens Prize, says Daqman. It gave him three naps from the last four:
WON 8-13 Le Rouquin
WON 5-4 Pain Au Chocolat
WON 15-8 John Reel
NEWBURY BIG-RACE ABC GUIDE: Jumps racing has been lost again today at Carlisle and Ludlow so Daqman brings forward his ABC guide to the big hurdle at Newbury on Saturday. Check out the runners later in the week. Look out for the BETDAQ offers to come.
KELLY’S EYE ON SATURDAY NUMBER-ONE
3.35 Newbury Hurdle (Saturday) In the hope that the weather improves, and I need the space later in the week to discuss the day’s racing, I have brought forward my ABC guide to the big Newbury hurdle to today.
Be warned that seven of the current acceptors may lose their chance if nothing above them in the handicap drops out. If something does drop out, they get a golden opportunity, according to the stats.
The seven are: Fascino Rustico, Chieftain’s Choice, Forced Family Fun, Ebony Express, Violet Dancer, Ballybolley, Snake Eyes. Lightentertainment has already been declared doubtful.
No claims are allowed for at this stage, including Lizzie Kelly’s 7lb off Amore Alto but he’s top of the pile without it, along with Jolly’s Cracked It, of those whose participation is safe.
A Aged 5 or 6 (8 out of the last 8 winners)
B Carries no more than 11st 3lb (11 out of 13)
C 10 or fewer hurdles starts (8 out of 8)
D Placed in a Graded or Listed race (7 out of 10)
E Has beaten a double-figure field (9 out of 10)
ABCDE Amore Alato
Comes from a red-hot race at Sandown in December, when beaten only half a length by Snake Eyes, conceding a stone. Fourth horse has won since and fifth has landed a double. Now 9lb better off with the winner, if you include Lizzie Kelly’s claim.
ABCDE Ballybolley
Completed bumpers hat-trick by winning the Aintree championship and, well backed, broke his hurdles maiden there in December but hung left when favourite to follow up at Wetherby.
ABCDE Jolly’s Cracked It
Form of his Ascot double in November hasn’t worked out and he was left standing by L’Ami Serge in a Grade-1 novice at Sandown. A lot to prove now.
ABCD Baradari
Fred Winter fifth last March; small, but good jumper. Despite a penalty, he’s well in here (6lb better with Sign of A Victory, 13lb with Dawalan) on his Ascot reappearance third in November, and scored again there last month.
ABCD Violet Dancer
Still a maiden, well behind Sign of A Victory and Baradari at Ascot, and rating fairly static in the last 14 months, though third in the Gerry Feilden gives him a squeak.
ABCE Chieftain’s Choice
Handy son of King’s Theatre, jumps well and progressive but those placed behind him in his back-back novice wins (Hexham and Catterick) are still maidens.
ABCE Daneking
Back-to-back wins last Spring but disappointing since, including when too keen on reappearance behind Violet Dancer in Gerry Feilden. Something to prove now.
ABCE Forced Family Fun
Stablemate of Chieftain’s Choice was hit by a 12lb rise for winning a class 3 at Wetherby. Must have soft ground.
ABCE Bordoni
Class-3 Hexham winner but good fifth in the Galway Hurdle, returning to the track after six months off over a trip too far at Newbury.
ABCE Wicklow Brave
Stablemate of Daneking, he was useful last Spring completing a five-timer in a Listed at Punchestown. Decent run in the Supreme at Cheltenham but didn’t get up the hill. Poor form since.
ABC Arzal
Lightly-raced, free-going sort, who faded behind Jollyallan at Kempton in December on the last day. Needs to have come on a lot since.
ABE Ebony Express
Completed a four-timer in a Carlisle novice in December but disappointed, albeit burdened with penalties, on the last day. Coughed after the race. Back to form at home but shortened prep for this.
ACDE Aso
Baradari’s stablemate remains on the same mark despite back-to-back wins at Taunton and Haydock, where he jumped well but beat novices with not much on their CV. Lightly raced and this looks tough.
ACDE Dawalan
A 5lb penalty as he goes for a hat-trick here, after a class-2 double, but second leg of that was only six days ago. More needed.
ACDE Hawk High
The Fred Winter winner last March on good ground at Cheltenham. Won again at Aintree in October but hasn’t jumped so well off a higher mark on soft ground since.
ACDE Sign of A Victory
Stablemate of Dawalan, whom he beat at Ascot in November (Baradari third),for which he was hit with a 10lb rise. Better off now with Dawalan (because that one’s won since) but worse off with Baradari.
ACD Calipto
Triumph Hurdle fourth (unlucky; stirrup broke) and third in Aintree equivalent last Spring, but revealed breathing problem back at Cheltenham in October. Stable has excellent record dealing with such a problem, and Calipto is said to be working well again after op.
ACD Activial
Well behind Calipto at Aintree but had earlier won the Adonis at Kempton, and was back to form on his reappearance, third in The Ladbroke, very well backed and better off with the runner-up now, Pine Creek.
ACD Vasco Du Ronceray
Another Nicky Henderson probable but firmly pegged down as class-3 handicapper on all known form, though Haydock win on the last day has raised him yto his highest mark. Awkward head-carriage but seems genuine enough. Fifth in 2013 Triumph Hurdle.
ACE Lucky Bridle
Broke his maiden over hurdles in a hood 18 months back but reverted to the Flat until seemingly out of his depth in a Grade B big race at Leopardstown. Could still have a future
ACE Goodwood Mirage
Class-3 Wetherby winner in October. Not beaten far by Activial in the Adonis at Kempton a year or so ago, but pulled up (20-1 under A P McCoy) in The Ladbroke at Ascot in December.
ACE Seedling
Behind Calipto at level weights at this meeting a year ago, but most progressive before Christmas, beating subsequent winner when completing a five-week hat-trick when scoring at Cheltenham.
A Sleepy Haven
Back-to-back success in the last seven weeks has raised him 19lb and he has to step up three levels. He tried a Listed in December but was well behind Snake Eyes and Amore Alato.
BCD Snake Eyes
Third Nicky Henderson possible, if seven more come out. Hadn’t been seen for 10 months when running Amore Amato to half a length at Sandown in December but, for second year running, disappointed in big Leopardstown hurdle last month.
BCE Balgarry
Won the Greatwood over CD in 2012. Very lightly raced since, always well backed, disappointing in big Cheltenham handicap and in The Ladbroke at Ascot in December, but better effort latest when giving lumps of weight to lightweight winner at Sandown (Amore Alato behind)
BCE Fascino Rustico
Only steady improvement until nine-lengths novice winner at Newcastle last Wednesday. Penalised 5lb but will probably go up another 4lb in future.
BCE Laser Hawk
Irish Points hat–trick before hurdles debut in September, winning his maiden over Newbury CD just before Christmas, enjoying the galloping track and soft ground. Already eight years old.
BCE On Tour
Completed hat-trick at Haydock, jumping 16lb in the ratings since October, emerging well out of novice company. Second horse proved 12lb inferior to Dawalan at Musselburgh on Sunday, which suggests that On Tour has to make another leap forward.
BDE Swing Bowler
Unbeaten between May 2011 and January 13 but a nearly horse since, including third in this race two seasons ago and fifth last year. Back to a similar mark but eight now and revival unlikely.
BE Lightentertainment
Completed hat-trick and five out of six when stepping up to class-2 victory over Graded horse, Dell’Arca, but receiving a lump of weight that day and said to be doubtful runner for this.
CDE Pine Creek
Has been a nearly horse in Graded company, with rating steady on 136 or 137, but fine effort, second in The Ladbroke at Ascot in December (Activial third) now has him 8lb higher and a stone in front of his last winning mark (November 2013).
DOUBLE FOR HANDICAP ARTIST FAHEY
SOUTHWELL Brian Ellison ran 14 horses on Sunday without success, which is a worry for Here For Good (2.30), raised 8lb for his CD win from a horse beaten 92 lengths next time out.
Katie Gale gets behind and needs a strong pace at two miles, so this drop back to 12 furlongs doesn’t look ideal, and Bushel comes out quickly to try and beat the handicappe,r but he still gets a penalty and is giving lumps of weight all round.
I think it’s a good opportunity for Gabrial The Duke who was switched from David Simcock to Richard Fahey’s in-form stable in December. He’s a bit kinky but aren’t they all at this level. The 7.4 on BETDAQ makes him worth a tilt.
Fahey’s Artist Cry (4.40), around 5-2 this morning, has the pedigree and been running well enough to suggest that he’s thrown in for his first handicap. Could turn out to be much better than a 60.
KEMPTON In a race of so many old-timers and slow horses, Bowberry (3.15) could be disguised in that, after a close second, held up, at W olver, she was ridden with the pace, and didn’t like it, next time. Then she was tried over an unsuitable trip.
Now dropped a couple of pounds, with her stable knocking at the door (last two runners beaten little more than a length all told), and blinkers first time could be the key (7.2 on BETDAQ early mouse).
DAQMAN’S BETS (1 to 9 shows the strength of the selection; 10 is a banker)
BET 4pts win GABRIAL THE DUKE (2.30 Southwell)
BET 4pts win BOWBERRY (3.15 Kempton)
BET 8pts win (nap) ARTIST CRY (4.40 Southwell)
DAQ MULTIPLES: BET 3 x 1pt win doubles and 1pt win treble the three above.
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