DAQMAN’S NAP IS BACK IN TUNE: Daqman, who landed five consecutive winning naps up to Wednesday of last week, was back in form with a winning best bet yesterday:
Monday: profit on the day 3.1pts
WON 4-6 TIMEFORATUNE (nap)
FORTUNE COOKIES UPDATE: Scheduled runners for the next two weeks from the Fortune Cookies list.
PROTEKTORAT HEADS POOR TURN-OUT
⚠️ HEADS UP: Haydock might reopen their Saturday big chase because only five have been declared: A Plus Tard, Protektorat, Bristol De Mai, Eldorado Allen and Frodon.
FORTUNE COOKIES: Protektorat is the Fortune Cookie for the race.
Also engaged in the next two weeks are:
L’HOMME PRESSE (rated 164 Venetia Williams) 2.05 Ascot, Saturday
AN TAILLIUR (139 Jonjo O’Neill) 2.25 Haydock, Saturday
PROTEKTORAT (164 Dan Skelton) 3.00 Haydock, Saturday
EDWARDSTONE (161 Alan King) 3.15 Ascot, Saturday
AYE RIGHT (157 Harriet Graham and Gary Rutherford (3.00 Newbury, November 26
BRAVEMANSGAME (164 Paul Nicholls) 3.00 Newbury, November 26
CAPODANNO (159, Willie Mullins) 3.00 Newbury, November 26
ROYALE PAGAILLE (163 Venetia Williams) 3.00 Newbury, November 26
Results so far: 17.50 profit to 20pt level stakes
WON 15-8 BRAZIL (+/- 142 Padraig Roche) Naas, November 12
4TH 7-2 FLOORING PORTER (+/- 164 Gavin Cromwell) November 13
‘JIMMY’ AND BBC SAY RAIN
⭕ 2.00 Lingfield By Lingfield’s jumping standards the going today is rock hard! We’re accustomed to seeing heavy as the long odds-on favourite the track but on the chase course today the course this morning was good! I saw WAS as there is plenty of rain about so you might even collect yet if you’re on the odds-on ‘heavy’!
The field sizes have held up reasonably well and the best bet on the card could come in the class 3 handicap hurdle at 2.00.
Branson Missouri is the clear market leader on Betdaq Betting Exchange but is also quite hard to evaluate. She is seemingly much improved based on two recent wins at Worcester (the latter by 22 lengths) but has been hiked a further 11lb up the handicap to a career high 114.
The key to her seems to be the ground – the bulk of her form has come on good but she proved what she can do on soft last time and I’ve turned to an unofficial twitter correspondent ‘Jimmy’ for hope as he says: “I live not far from lingfield, absolutely bucketing it down ☔️”
In case you trust the BBC more, they also point to plenty of rain in the Lingfield area today described to be ‘heavy’ and with a 98% chance of it falling at midday.
I’ll trust the two correspondents and take my chance the ground will have come right again for Branson Missouri who can complete her hat-trick.
Icare Grandchamp looks too short in the market for me. He was disappointing on stable debut at Worcester (also soft) and hi starting handicap mark looks plenty high enough.
SOUTH CAN BE KING OF THE NORTH
⭕ 3.42 Newcastle The best race on the card is also the first race. This class 2 handicap in which King Of The South is preferred to Jack Darcy.
The William Knight trained runner has a great record here at Newcastle winning four races and is just easing back down the handicap.
He was by no means disgraced when fifth in a Listed race at Kempton last time out – running better than his 40/1 starting priced implied and will find this company easier.
Jack Darcy makes his all-weather and handicap debut and obviously has to be respected heading here from the Coles stable. I’d be a lot more positive on his chance if it wasn’t for the fact that the step up in trip doesn’t look an immediate positive based on his recent turf efforts.
STATES THE CASE FOR U S A
⭕ 5.45 Newcastle George Boughey has several good chances on today’s card including Mrs U S A here. You basically just need to put a line through her most recent effort in a valuable York nursery as she was repeatedly denied a clear run.
She is probably better judged on her previous Sandown win where she still looked green with plenty of scope for further improvement.
The Boughey stable are flying with 11 winners from their last 32 runners and it would come as a huge shock if those figures weren’t improved upon at close of play today.
DAQMAN’S BETS
2.00 Lingfield (win 10)
BET 4.5pts win BRANSON MISSOURI
3.42 Newcastle (win 10, nap)
BET 5.8pts win KING OF THE SOUTH
5.45 Newcastle (win 10)
BET 5.7pts win MRS U S A
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