EIGHT WINNERS IN THREE DAYS (TWO NAPS): It’s been a long weekend for the layers! Daqman made it eight winners in three days yesterday, adding to his 35 points on Saturday with another 24 points for Monday. His sequence:
WON 3-1 Derek Duval (Monday)
WON 2-1 Eminent Poet (Monday)
WON 4-7 Ardmayle (Monday nap)
WON 11-4 Court Frontier (Sunday Cambridgeshire National)
WON 15-8 Great Field (Sunday)
WON 13-8 Second Thought (Saturday banker nap)
WON 100-30 San Benedeto (Saturday)
WON 5-2 Hello George (Saturday)
CHELTENHAM: JUST ONE WEEK TO GO: Your ante-post kit See How They Won continues today. Day by day one week in advance, it has stats and odds comparisons.
A BANKER AND A BULL’S EYE-BET: Daqman increases his stake in a Champion Hurdle horse ante-post, picks a banker bet at Newcastle and thinks that one at Exeter is such value that it’s worth a bull’s-eye bet.
CHAMPION HURDLE A NO-BRAINER
I’m going in again! I’ve already taken Brain Power at 8.8. to win 100 but, at 9.4 on BETDAQ now, he remains big value for the Champion Hurdle, and I shall send another six points his way from the Cheltenham wallet to earn 50 more. He’s generally 7-1 with bookmakers.
1.30 Cheltenham, Tuesday (Supreme Novices’ Hurdle)
Ireland has won 10 out of 16 with Willie Mullins flying high for a four-timer but shot down by Nicky Henderson last year.
It’s five-year-olds 5, six-year-olds 5 in the decade. Winners had usually had three or four hurdles starts; 12 out of 16 had raced in bumpers.
Only one winner in 15 years had been absent longer than 45 days but Henderson, who had spent 24 years trying to win this race again since Flown (1992), scored with Altior.
Daqman bets: February 16, to win 100 Ballyandy at 12.0; now 5.8
Betdaq best today: 6.0 Melon (3-1 in places with bookmakers), 10.0 Moon Racer (4-1 and 5-1 with most, despite rumours that he goes for the Champion Hurdle), 12.5 Neon Wolf (7-2 and 4-1 in places)
2.10 Cheltenham, Tuesday (Arkle Challenge Trophy)
Douvan made it four odds-on winners out of five for the Arkle last year, two for Willie Mullins, two for Nicky Henderson. Nine of the last 10 had won or been placed over 19f.
Betdaq best: 15.0 Charbel (7-1 to 9-1 in several places), 23.0 Cloudy Dream (14-1); 46.0 Yorkhill (3-1 and 10-3 in several places, though race choice not certain).
2.50 Cheltenham (Ultima Handicap Chase)
Nine out of 11 winners carried 11st 3lb or less; 12 out of the last 16 less than 11st. Seven of the last nine were aged seven or eight.
A race for lightweights and for three consecutive seasons winners have scored off 145, 146 and 148, which is a weight range of 10st 7lb to 10st 12lb this time around as things stand.
Betdaq best: 19.0 Our Kaempfer (between 9-1 and 14-1); 33.0 Saphir Du Rheu (10-1 in several places, but connections want to go for the Gold Cup).
3.30 Cheltenham, Tuesday (Champion Hurdle)
Horses aged six and seven had won seven out of eight but Willie Mullins made it four for his stable in six seasons in this last year with the eight-year-old Annie Power, having got a nine-year-old, Hurricane Fly, home three years earlier.
Rooster Booster, Hardy Eustace, Istabraq and Brave Inca also won this at Annie Power’s age or more.
Annie Power (rated 162) also lowered the bar: the five previous champions had raced officially off 165-172. The ratings this time around are: 164 Yanworth, 162 The New One, 162 Brain Power.
Daqman bets: February 14, to win 100 Brain Power at 8.8.
Betdaq best: 9.4 Limini (9-2 and 5-1 in several places), 9.4 Brain Power (generally 7-1), 46.0 Tombstone (generally 12-1)
4.10 Cheltenham (Mares Hurdle)
Willie Mullins has had an incredible run of eight straight winners, all favourite bar one, three of them odds on, all largely due to Quevega’s six-timer.
Betdaq best: 7.4 Limini (5-4 to 2-1 bookmakers); 36.0 Airlie Beach); 37.0 Lets Dance (generally 8-1); and 160.00 Augusta Kate (10-1 in several places)
4.50 Cheltenham, Tuesday (NH Chase)
Steer clear of champion trainer, Paul Nicholls: despite 16 starters, 12 at the forefront of the market, he’s managed only a couple of places.
5.30 Cheltenham, Tuesday (Novices’ Handicap Chase)
You want horses aged six and seven (8 out of 11), with three to five runs over fences (9 out of 11).
APPLEBY OUTSIDERS ARE TOO BIG
3.30 Southwell Captain Revelation, who won this last year, has scored on the course before and since that day, and is capable of reversing recent running with the old-timers Showboating and Boots and Spurs.
Stablemate Anton Chigurh seems entrenched in class 5, unliklely to make further improvement at the age of eight. Zoravan was behind him on the last day, very disappointing after breaking his maiden here.
Shearian has landed a hat-trick at Southwell but now looks vulnerable 24lb higher, which means that Michael Appleby’s Playtothewhistle (13.5 on BETDAQ), set to give him 6lb in February, is now a stone below him. Silvestre De Sousa rides.
Appleby also puts a first-time hood on Red Touch (a 17.0 offer), who landed back-to-back wins here a year ago. Appleby himself landed a hat-trick with his three runners here at one of the February meetings.
3.40 Newcastle Michael Scudamore did the 600-mile round trip from Hereford to take the staying-chase qualifier (2.40) a year ago.
And today he diverts Two Smokin Barrels (3.40) from the more local Wincanton on Thursday to resume her four-timer bid after a costly mistake at Catterick on t he last day,. The Kay Tara mare should outstay the small field (2.34 favourite this morning)
3.50 Exeter Quinto, who holds Bramble Brook on January form over CD, could score here in in a race of out-of-form horses and stables.
Henry Daly (poor strike rate of 9% here) hasn’t had a winner for six weeks and Bob Buckler (0-24 here in chases) hasn’t scored for 103 days.
Lower Hope Dandy last saw the winner’s enclosure just under four years ago but is still 11lb higher than he was that day! Quinto is big value at 5.6.
DAQMAN BETS (three races in 20 minutes)
BET (each to win 20) 1.6pts win and place PLAYTOTHEWHISTLE, and 1.25pts win and place RED TOUCH (3.30 Southwell)
BANKER BET (to win 20): 14pts win (nap) TWO SMOKIN BARRELS (3.40 Newcastle)
BULL’S-EYE BET (to win 50): 10.5pts win QUINTO (3.50 Exeter)
ANTE-POST BET (to win 50): 6pts win BRAIN POWER (Champion Hurdle, Cheltenham)
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