4-1 DAQMAN HITS THE BULL AGAIN! The incredible Daqman yesterday landed his eighth bet from three winning days in a row through Bull And Bush (WON 4-1), and his outsider of the day missed strike by a neck, Tara Tavey (2nd 20-1).
65 POINTS PROFIT IN THREE DAYS: That gave him 65 points profit since Saturday and best-return race-by-race form figures from 3.15 that day, still standing, of 1110101112. His winnings came from:
WON 13-2 RUN RUCTIONS RUN
WON 7-2 ROALCO DE FARGES
WON 5-4 ERTIJAAL
WON 10-1 VOTE OFTEN
WON 11-2 STUCCODOR
WON 2-9 BLUE BUTTONS
WON 4-1 BULL AND BUSH
2nd 20-1 TARA TAVEY
CLASSIC LOOK ABOUT HORSES TO FOLLOW: The 1,000 Guineas, 2,000 Guineas, Derby, Oaks and St Leger are all covered in Daqman’s Ten To Follow. Now check these colts and fillies out in the trials, and look for his Classic conclusions in a revised Ten at the end of April.
QUOTE: THERE’S SOMETHING DIFFERENT ABOUT AUSTRALIA THAT’S HARD TO FIND
AGENA (3, Aidan O’Brien): I seem to have two Galileos out of different Storm Cat mares – this one and Marvellous – though I didn’t plan it that way. By the same sire, but a different Storm Cat mare again, was Misty For Me, winner of the 2011 Irish 1,000 Guineas.
But Agena’s dam is Dietrich, dual Group-3 sprint winner, who filled my wallet in the King George V at Goodwood in 2001. I can see Agena running over a mile (you’ve got to try them at the Classic distance), then dropping down in trip and winning a major sprint.
AUSTRALIA (3, Aidan O’Brien): A Galileo out of seven-times Group/Grade 1 winner Ouija Board. Just the sound of that mating has the mental betting-tills going ching-ching!
My early two-year-old vibes last year were for Free Eagle, Dermot Weld’s High Chaparral half-brother to Sapphire, and sure enough the Eagle landed big bucks for me first time out at Leopardstown.
But, back over CD, and long odds-on in the Breeders’ Cup Trial, he was pulverized six lengths by Australia, who swept by in a couple of strides.
Ballydoyle comment: ‘There’s something different about him which is hard to find.’ You can say that again! Goes straight to the 2,000 Guineas, then the Derby.
CAMBRIDGE (3, Charles Hills): The stallion, Rail Link, had 45% winners to runners last season. Here he’s served the Selkirk mare Alumni, winner of the Cheshire Oaks, and produced a lovely filly for Juddmonte Farms.
Rail Links like a firm surface and Selkirks love some cut so the jury is out on going preference. It was ‘going good’ when she appeared late last year to win her maiden at Nottingham. BETDAQ offers of 27.0 for the Oaks.
ERTIJAAL (3, William Haggas): Landed a banker bet for me on Lingfield Polytrack on Saturday and expected to return there for the all-weather championships on Good Friday.
Ran up to Toormore on the debut last season but this Oasis Dream colt looks Group 3 at best, albeit a potential top earner at 6f and 7f. Impressive enough at Lingfield to earn offers of 29.0 on BETDAQ for the Guineas.
MARVELLOUS (3, Aidan O’Brien): Her dam, the Cherry Hinton winner You’resothrilling, a daughter of Storm Cat, was a full sister to Giants Causeway and this Galileo filly is in the front rank at Ballydoyle.
Marvellous drew that very epithet when, unfancied, she scored at Navan in October from I’m Yours, a 420,000-euro Moyglare Stud daughter of Invincible Spirit, who followed up at Leopardstown and has Dermot Weld also dreaming of the Classics. BETDAQ offers of 16.5 Marvellous for the Oaks.
MISS FRANCE (3, Andre Fabre): The Wildenstein filly was a ready winner of the Oh So Sharp Stakes (Group 3) at Newmarket in September and is likely to return there for the 1,000 Guineas, as she needs top of the ground. Favourite on BETDAQ.
KINGSTON HILL (3, Roger Varian): This Derby-bred beautiful mover hasn’t missed a beat either on the racetrack last year or in his recent early gallops with the 2,000 Guineas in mind (9.0 on BETDAQ).
Though his two-year-old career, capped by success in the Racing Post trophy, was on an easy surface, his action suggests that he is sure to enjoy fast ground.
LAT HAWILL (3, Marco Botti): Sire’s progeny has 7.5 average winning-distance; dam’s sire 7.1. Yet this highly regarded sort is related to winners on the Flat at Listed and Group level up to 1m 4f and over hurdles up to 2m 3f.
It’s one thing to expect a Guineas and Derby winner from this column, but do I dare to predict the St Leger winner in March? Well, I’ve got the Arc winner here, so why not!
Lat Hawill has a Greenham trial date at Newbury when connections hope he will belie his 18.5 offers on BETDAQ for the 2,000 Guineas. Speed allied to such prospective stamina would make this colt formidable.
TOORMORE (3, Richard Hannon): Richard Junior takes over a potential superstar from Richard Senior, with his two-year-old form franked at the highest level.
The runner-up in his Vintage Stakes win went on to take the Champagne Stakes and the Breeders Cup Juvenile, and the one that chased him home in the National Stakes had taken a prestigious juveniles double in Ireland, the Railway and the Phoenix.
Toormore preps for Newmarket in the Craven Stakes. Offers of 17.5 on BETDAQ for the 2,000 Guineas. He’ll try to follow up in the Irish 2,000.
TREVE (4, Christianne ‘Criquette’ Head-Maarek): The only older animal in my Ten. The others are all from the second-season Classic generation.
The French scene was buzzing with talk of a new star when she took the Prix Diane but became international news when the filly she beat that day went on to take the Irish Oaks.
Treve then won the Vermeille, traditional fillies’ prep race for the Arc, in which she triumphed from the worst possible draw, slamming by five lengths the 2012 runner-up Orfevre and the 2013 French Derby winner, Intello.
QUOTE: I HAVEN’T HAD A WINNER AT SOUTHWELL FOR YEARS AND YEARS.. AND YEARS!
SOUTHWELL: Incredibly, four of the trainers with horses in the 3.25 sprint have, collectively, had 257 runners over a grand total of 26 years without winning a race.
Giles Bravery has the worst figures with 70 losers in 12 years. Colin Teague and Mandy Rowland are half as bad, and Michael Chapman has gone a mere 616 days without winning on the course.
If we also knock out Ronald Harris (sorry about that, Ron), who is in the trade-paper’s ‘cold trainers’ table, we are left with four horses, and the list of offers in the orange is transformed from 100-112 against us, as I write, to around 100-70 in our favour.
We can’t guarantee that Bob, Carol, Ted and Alice – sorry, Mick, Ron, Colin and Mandy – will carry on losing and, in a class-6 sprint on sand, you and I are equally likely to have a similar run, choosing from among this dead wood.
But those trainers’ figures are just as much form as anything else, form is the only way to bet, and we are in a punter-friendly zone (and how!) if we back one of the quartet.
Dancing Freddie has been placed over CD twice this month but, off a mark around 30lb below his last winning rating nearly two years ago, he still can’t get his head back in front and may still be smarting from his hard race (jockey got a whip ban) a week ago.
You have to go back even further to Incomparable’s last success and he finished behind Dancing Freddie a fortnight back. Captain Scooby can’t get out of bed at the start of a race and wakes up only when the others have gone a half-furlong.
It leaves me fancying Imaginary Diva (huge at 8.0 on BETDAQ in these circumstances), with Tom Queally back in the plate, ousting the boy riders, who have been steering ever since Tom won on her last August.
CHEPSTOW: Another betting opportunity may be provided by opposing the veterans Nozic and Mon Chevalier, who occupy 40% of the field in the 3.00 handicap chase at Chepstow, and take out almost as big a percentage from the ‘book’ of offers.
Mon Chevalier is woefully short of pace and Nozic’s has had his once-a-year win. Visors have helped Islandmagee into a place but he continues to show lack of resolution.
Tokyo Javilex is a deliberate jumper who can lose ground at his fences. So I’ll rely on Richard Johnson and Walden Prince, unlucky faller when winning at Newton Abbot and the ‘moral’ last time, not beaten far giving weight to the winner at Stratford.
DAQMAN’S BETS
BET 6pts win WALDEN PRINCE (3.00 Chepstow)
BET 2.8pts win (nap) IMAGINARY DIVA (3.25 Southwell)
DAQ MULTIPLES: 2pts win double the two.
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