PAID OUT 20 TIMES IN THREE DAYS! After another sensational spell with four winners yesterday for the second day running, Daqman is now on TWENTY returns from only THREE days’ racing, including NINE winners and FIVE consecutive lays. The winners in best-SP order have been:
WON 6-1 Early Morning (Saturday)
WON 5-1 Toscanini (Sunday)
WON 4-1 Megan Lily (Sunday)
WON 4-1 Robinnielly (Monday)
WON 11-4 Persian Wind (Monday)
WON 5-4 Angel Down (Sunday)
WON 11-10 Permian (Monday)
WON 1-1 May Rose (Monday)
WON 1-8 Caravaggio (Sunday)
‘GLASS HORSE’ IS A BANKER: Daqman reads between the lines on the Caravaggio stories, finds ‘an Olympic price’ at Thirsk; banker naps ‘a glass horse’ and gives a Robert Cowell sprinter his last chance to join the big time.
2017: STEER WELL CLEAR OF CARAVAGGIO
I doubt there’ll be a French kiss. With the Prix Lagardere (the old Grand Criterium) now the kingpin juvenile race of the autumn, the Prix Morny (August 21) could also steal the summer show for France.
But I would be surprised if Ballydoyle accepted the filly-versus-colt challenge to Caravaggio thrown down by Wesley Ward, trainer of super-impressive Queen Mary winner, Lady Aurelia.
The Middle Park is a gimme for speedster Caravaggio and Aidan O’Brien has seven of the 18 acceptors for Deauville, including his Anglesey winner, Peace Envoy.
Ward has won the Morny in recent years (No Nay Never) but you have to go back to the turn of the century to find winners for Ballydoyle.
It’s not really O’Brien’s race: he best defines and divines the future of his superstars from Irish and American juvenile tests, with the exception of the Lagardere.
When O’Brien says he’ll do what’s needed for Caravaggio, he really means ‘do what’s needed for the horse’s reputation and stud value,’ and ‘do what’s needed without seriously punishing a work in progress at this stage.’
My own view is that if, as Aidan O’Brien says of Caravaggio, a tender two-year-old colt is doing 45mph on the gallops, steer well clear for the 2017 Classics.
But, even if the card they play is rather ‘Caravaggio is a precocious juvenile and there are others in embryo for next year’, the Middle Park is still the easy option.
Meanwhile, the Morny story makes nice headlines, but I can’t see it happening.
I CAN’T GET OVER THE VAULTED OFFERS
2.30 Thirsk Vaulted is an Olympic price at 5.0 BETDAQ offers this morning in a seeming two-horse race. A Kyllachy, she looked a certain future winner on the debut.
William Haggas is clearly hoping that Tschierschen gets an easy but a two-year-old in a hood first time who failed to beat some nonentities doesn’t appeal at odds on.
3.30 Thirsk Old Captain Dunne, who loves this track – back to back successes on the course last year – is now near on a stone below his last winning mark and will try to tough it out in a front-runners race: 11.0 on BETDAQ early mouse.
4.00 Thirsk Walpole is a glass horse but Hugo Palmer’s form in getting him ready for one-off races, is 113, and he’s down in class here. Banker.
5.00 Thirsk CD winner back in the day, Sunrise Dance looks a potential trade horse here from an opening position of 22.0 on BETDAQ. The draw has been kind to this front-runner, who usually lasts until the final furlong.
7.30 Nottingham Just about the classiest race of the day may be gifted to Strath Burn, 3.4 as I write.
The form of Roger Varian’s stable (Maljaa) has suddenly dropped away (his horses are getting only 17% of their potential, according to the Racing Post).
His two well backed yesterday, Absolute Zero, which looked a banker, and joint favourite Steve Rogers both ran badly.
Nigel Tinkler has a stinking 5-116 from a large contingent on turf this year (he must have them cadging a lift with Mark Johnston!) and Thesme has been a bridesmaid this year.
Strath Burn, second in the Haydock Sprint last season, has had only three runs this term and is worth a bet on only his second start for sprint-ace-trainer Robert Cowell, who still hopes this one is championship material again.
Also with Kingsgate Native in the field to make this a strong test, Cowell is putting the cheekpieces on Strath Burn, and this brace of strategies could bring success.
DAQMAN’S BETS (staked 1 to 9 for strength; 10 is a banker)
BET 6pts win VAULTED (2.30 Thirsk)
BET 2pts win and place CAPTAIN DUNNE (3.30 Thirsk)
BANKER BET 10pts win (nap) WALPOLE (4.00 Thirsk)
BET 1pt win and place SUNRISE DANCE (5.00 Thirsk)
BET 6pts win STRATH BURN (7.30 Nottingham)
£25 IN FREE BETS
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