TOORMORE HAS TO BE TOP OF THE LIST: Today Daqman updates his two-year-olds list, with Toormore his new kingpin. Look out for his horses to follow until the end of the season and an update on his success stories so far. His nap currently has a results sequence of 11111100132214112.
TOMORROW: Five BETDAQ-sponsored races at Kempton Park. THURSDAY: Ayr Gold Cup ABC guide. FRIDAY: Newbury and Ayr analysis. SATURDAY: Ayr Gold Cup and Mill Reef Stakes. NEXT WEEK: The big two-year-old races and the Cambridgeshire.
COLTS
Toormore is top of my super six two-year-old colts. He had to improve 6lb to beat Sudirman in the National Stakes at The Curragh on Sunday. He didn’t. He improved 10lb and leapt into the lead in my two-year-old ratings, compiled with the autumn two-year-old championships and next year’s Classics in mind.
I say ‘Classics’ but, in Toormore’s case, I mean ‘Classic’: the 2,000 Guineas. I would never trust a Hannon horse beyond a mile, certainly not in the Derby. Neither colt nor trainer seem bred for it!
121 TOORMORE (Richard Hannon): In fact, I said in my first list of juveniles last month that Toormore is ‘precocious and not a Classic winner.’
I have to revise that to ‘precocious but still improving’. However, I note that, while most bookies rushed to trim his 2,000 Guineas odds behind Kingman and Australia, to a general 8-1, Ladbrokes were fielding against him at a 50%-extra 12-1.
Toormore has now had 15 winners behind and I will continue to flag these for each two-year-old colt and filly in my list with the shorthand WWWWWWWWWWWWWWW
116 SUDIRMAN (David Wachman) Looked like The Man, after defeat of War Command, but War Command has bounced back while he has been tamed by Toormore: WWWWWWWWWWWW
115+ GREAT WHITE EAGLE (Aidan O’Brien) The number of winners behind him (when he’s won) has soared from four to 12, so boosting the form of his two wins out of two, and earning him a + sign. WWWWWWWWWWWW
112 WAR COMMAND (Aidan O’Brien) Shock defeat, when odds on, by Sudirman but bounced back to win a race of winners in the Futurity Stakes at The Curragh, and Ballydoyle now claims he was ‘undercooked’ when beaten in the Sudirman race, the Phoenix Stakes. Winners behind now WWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWW.
111+ AUSTRALIA (Aidan O’Brien) If Toormore improved and overtook the early pacesetter at the top of the two-year–old ladder, then Australia took several rungs in a stride.
I had him as a plus horse on 90, which suggests a potential of 100 for his next race but, in fact, you’d have to say the same again at least for the next one. And, since I’d find it hard to oppose him with, say Kingman, so he nudges that one’s rating. But winners behind him only: WWW
111+ KINGMAN (John Gosden) The number of winners behind him is mounting: WWWWWWW
FILLIES
114 RIZEENA (Clive Brittain) Thought she was precocious and would be overtaken this season by the late developers. But the Queen Mary winner was up to the task again in the Moyglare, albeit with hard-luck stories for second and third, Kiyoshi and Tapestry. Winners behind her (31): WWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWW
110+ KIYOSHI (Charles Hills) I’ll leave Kiyoshi on the same mark: WWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWW.
110+ TAPESTRY (Aidan O’Brien) Tapestry must move up alongside Kiyoshi, both of them with that + of potential to catch Rizeena when she slips. Winners she beat when she won: WWWWWW
105 SANDIVA (Richard Fahey) Second to Kiyoshi in the Albany Stakes at Royal Ascot: WWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWW
101+ JOYEUSE (Lady Cecil) Half-sister to Frankel, badly drawn when third to Kiyoshi and Sandiva in the Albany. Winners are coming out of her races now: WWWWWW
THE HUNT FOR THE DAY’S NAP: I always make a beeline for races above class 4. I can expect better-quality horses that show some consistency.
Shrewd (4.00 Yarmouth) hasn’t had his ground all season, and was hampered in a much better race at Ascot recently. Thomas Hobson will enjoy the surface but must continue on the upgrade, his two wins having cost him a 13lb rise.
Battalion came good last time. Though the three strung out behind him at Ripon have failed to frank the form since, he gets 10lb from Shrewd.
Shrewd is claimed off and you have to decide whether you can trust young Louis Steward to beat Fallon, Buick, De Sousa and Hanagan in what could be a tactical race.
It may be that William Haggas has just now found the answer to Battalion (only four starts) and that he will go on from there. In any case, I’m tempted to go with a stable which is 7 from 12 on this course for the season so far.
All four in the sprint (5.00) have been running the pattern, all ‘nearly horses’, with Master Of War back recently after a long lay-off. The Hannons have always thought he needed 7f so, again, you have the problem of a small-field tactical race, with not much pace.
It was slow run last year (five ran) and that cost the 6-4 three-year-old favourite the race. The Mark Johnston would normally go on but Baileys Jubilee may not have trained on: the Cheveley park runner-up has been beaten 54 lengths in her three starts this season.
But Morache Music and Royal Rock haven’t scored since 2011, so the slant on this may be to suppose that Master Of War will go on and run the finish out of them.
At the other meetings, I like the improver three-year-old Rutherglen (4.50 Chepstow) against the older horses. Looks a true stayer.
DAQMAN’S BETS:
BET 6.6pts win BATTALION (4.00 Yarmouth)
BET 10pts win RUTHERGLEN (4.50 Chepstow)
BANKER: BET 20pts win (nap) MASTER OF WAR (5.00 Yarmouth)
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