NINE WINS: THREE NAPS UP OUT OF FOUR: Daqman has chalked up a 70-point profit in a run of four winning days in a row, with three naps up out of four among nine winners. Yesterday, it was all down to Two Smokin Barrels (WON 11-10).
SMOKIN HOT! SEVEN-UP BANKERS RUN: Two Smokin Barrels continued his run of winning bankers. He’s now on seven out of the last eight:
WON 8-13 Bandon Roc
WON 2-1 Watersmeet
WON 4-9 Cue Card
WON 1-3 Paint The Clouds (gold)
WON 8-11 Frodon
WON 13-8 Second Thought
WON 11-10 Two Smokin Barrels
CHELTENHAM: ONLY SIX DAYS LEFT: Look out today for more in Daqman’s See How They Won series of stats and facts that made champions as he guides you to your selections for Wednesday of next week. In Daqman’s Bets is an ante-post bet for next Friday.
WAIT FOR WOLF AT CHELTENHAM
1.30 Cheltenham, next Wednesday (Neptune Novices’ Hurdle)
The last nine winners were 7-1 or shorter. Six-year-olds have landed seven; five-year-olds three in the decade.
Horses of huge quality were winners of this, including Simonsig, The New One and Faugheen, rated 146-152. Yorkhill, who scored off 156 last year, looks exceptional and the winner won’t top 150 this time around.
Betdaq Neon Wolf, whom we saw at 12.5 for the Supreme yesterday, is 3.2 with BETDAQ for this Neptune, top rated on 148.
Daqman Neon Wolf is one of the Daqman Cheltenham Cavalry horses to follow but he considers the horse too short to back until the day.
2.10 Cheltenham, Wednesday (RSA Novices’ Chase)
Some 23 consecutive eight-year-olds have failed to win this since 2006. Seven-year-olds are nine out of 10.
Betdaq American, as short as 7-1 with bookmakers, is 11.0 in the BETDAQ ante-post orange.
2.50 Cheltenham, Wednesday (Coral Cup)
Favourites don’t win this. But look no further than the next six beyond the favourite in the betting (9 wins out of 10).
Horses aged five and six had won six out of seven but, after last year, three at eight or older have won it since 1998. We’re talking about one of last year’s so-called ‘harsh decisions’ by the English handicapper, when he hit the eight-year-old Diamond King for a 13lb rise for scoring at Punchestown. Mr and Mrs Smith’s little boy, Phil, was vindicated. The horse won at 12-1.
Betdaq Movewithtimes (26.0 in the BETDAQ orange) and Ballyandy (27.0) would be amazing value, if only they were running here instead of in the Supreme.
Daqman This column is on Ballyandy for the Supreme but his horses to follow also has Tombstone in its ranks, favourite at largely 7-1 with bookmakers and 7.6 on BETDAQ for this Coral Cup.
3.30 Cheltenham (Queen Mother Champion Chase)
Another stat was blown out of the water last year. Only three horses of double-figure age had won in 30 years, and only Moscow Flyer (2003 and 2005) had reclaimed the title after relinquishing it.
But no one told the 10-year-old Sprinter Sacre. He brought the house down with one of the biggest ever Cheltenham roars by reclaiming his 2013 title.
Betdaq The young pretender this year is odds-on Douvan, and your wisest choice is to wait for the BETDAQ place market, in which any other runner is likely to be bigger for a place than Douvan’s price to win!
Daqman Douvan is one of his Cheltenham Cavalry horses to follow but is likley to be the hub for his Daq Multiples on the day, rather than an individual bet, unless he eases in the market.
4.10 Cheltenham, Wednesday (Cross Country)
Banks master trainer Enda Bolger recaptured this last season with Josies Orders, seven years on from his back-to-back success via the great Garde Champetre.
Betdaq Bolger still has five in the race, with their batting order if the market is correct: 3.2 Cantlow, 7.4 Auvergnat, 15.5 Quantativeasing (generally 10-1), 31.0 Colour Squadron (12-1 to 18-1), 45.0 Love Rory
Daqman He says ‘I fancied Auvergnat until Cause Of Causes was announced a runner. He landed me a 44.0 Cheltenham Festival win and another at 11.0, and seems just the type for this test. We’ll see on the day.’
4.50 Cheltenham, Wednesday (Fred Winter Juvenile Hurdle)
A pinstickers’ race, with rank outsiders winning at 40-1, 33-1 and 25-1 (twice) in the last five years, although Paul Nicholls has rewarded the faithful with three successful since 2010.
Daqman Remember that, though this is a handicap, and despite the big-odds returns, the winners have been saddled by the usual suspects – Nicholls, Elliott, Henderson – in four of the last five seasons.
5.30 Cheltenham, Wednesday (Champion Bumper)
Another which was a pinstickers’ race (Cue Card won it at 40-1), then suddenly – in the last two seasons – very strong contenders have landed gambles, Moon Racer and Ballyandy at 9-2 and 5-1 SP respectively.
But they had something in common with the previous nine winners: every one had won his last race, and none had ever been out of the first four in any race under Rules leading up to this. Not a one.
Betdaq Ballyward and Daphne Du Clos, both 7-1 with some bookies, are being ignored on BETDAQ at 23.0 and 58.0 respectively.
So, when the exchange goes shorter Western Ryder and Cause Toujours, it may well be with good reason.
SUITES YOU SIR
Turned out nice again 🙁 Fontwell suffered a deluge overnight (10 more mm) which has left the course saturated with standing water, so it’s no surprise to see the card called off. Frustrating, as DAQMAN had a couple of mudlarks sorted out and will save them for the next time the going is on the heavy side of heavy!
Catterick now stage the only domestic National Hunt fixture this afternoon, while there is all-weather action from Lingfield and tonight at Kempton.
3.30 Lingfield Solajan has an obvious chance after an excellent debut effort at Wolverhampton when a head second to Dark Titan. However, I’m not convinced that the step-up in trip will be ideal.
Arsenio Lupin (not to be confused with Arsene Wenger, who would no doubt go off at 5-1 *apologies to Gunners fans) is also stepping up in trip but with better foundation. He has stayed on well in the closing stages of two previous outings here over the mile trip.
3.50 Catterick I want to be against then hat-trick seeking Bandol here who has shot up in the weights. He races off a mark of 96 today – a full stone higher than when he won at Hereford in December. He has since won on bottomless ground at Sedgefield but despite winning well this is quite a quick reappearance after such a slog.
Preference is for the lightly raced Minella Suite. The handicapper had to be lenient with him as he didn’t get closer than 30 lengths to the winner in his first four races but showed at Wetherby last time out that he could be well treated. He finished second after being headed after the last and could be suited by this sharp, flat track.
8.45 Kempton Last but not least. Joint top-weight King Of Dreams can run into a place here. He bumped into one last time out at Chelmsford when a seven length second to Loyalty. He’s relatively lightly raced and has been tried at a high level – so much so that a Grade 5 should be well within his abilities.
DAQMAN’S BETS:
BACK 6pts win ARSENIO LUPIN (3.30 Lingfield)
BACK 8pts win (nap) MINERAL SUITE (3.50 Catterick)
BACK 3pts win and 3pts place KING OF DREAMS (8.45 Kempton))
ANTE-POST: BULL’S-EYE BET (to win 50): 12pts win THE STORYTELLER (Martin Pipe Hurdle, Friday, March 17)
Did you know that as well as checking the realtime prices on BETDAQ below – you can also log into your account and place your bets directly into BETDAQ from BETDAQ TIPS.
