DAQMAN QUARTET AT VALUE ODDS ON BETDAQ: Daqman mixes Jumps at Chepstow with Flat racing at Nottingham taking offers at 4.6, 6.0, 9.4 and 21.0 on BETDAQ (that’s yankee material!) after checking out the latest on the Elite Hurdle and the Ladbrokes Trophy.
TOMORROW: Look out tomorrow for Daqman’s countdown to the Breeders Cup.
YOU MUST JUMP THE FENCES!
⚠️ HEADS UP Shan Blue, who was hot stuff for the Ladbrokes Trophy after Saturday’s eye-opener at Wetherby, will not run again this year.
The eye-opener was his 15 lengths lead, suggesting he was headed for the Grade-1 arena, but it became eyes closed as he sprawled after the third last in the Charlie Hall Chase.
Trainer Dan Skelton will now give the young horse time and prepare him for the Spring festivals. Aintree looks made for his style in my view.
That leaves the Irish a short price to win the Ladbrokes via either Eklat De Rire (Henry De Bromhead) or Ontheropes (Willie Mullins). Connections will be hoping for heavy ground for Eklat de Rire at Newbury on November 27.
Colin Tizzard, who could run Fiddlerontheroof after his Listed win at Carlisle, considers testing another entry, The Big Breakaway, at Wincanton on Sunday.
Fiddlerontheroof and The Big Breakaway were second and third to Monkfish in the Broadway Novices’ Chase at the Cheltenham Festival in March.
⚠️ HEADS UP Shan Blue is a reminder of Goshen’s misfortune last year; he was 10 lengths clear in the Triumph Hurdle at Cheltenham when he made a mistake and unseated at the last.
That handed the race to Willie Mullins’ Burning Victory and Goshen has another problem with the Irish on Saturday.
As well as the possibility of facing up to Alan King’s recent Kempton winner Sceau Royal, it’s probable that Belfast Banter will be sent over to Wincanton for the race in question, the Elite Hurdle (3.35).
Belfast Banter won back to back at Cheltenham (County Hurdle) and Aintree in the Spring but, in his prep for this last month, the Grade B Ladbrokes Handicap Hurdle at Listowel, he fell at the last, would you believe.
ONE WITH A SKY-HIGH FUTURE
⭕ 2.30 Chepstow Colin Tizzard has suddenly left his troubles behind him, scoring with Fiddlerontheroof at Carlisle at the weekend, shrugging off the seven-year-olds ‘bridesmaid sequence’ of 22223.
Then yesterday he won the Haldon Gold Cup, his grey Eldorado Allen brushing aside the Paul Nicholls’ pair, Hitman and last year’s winner Greaneteen, who seemingly had the race between themselves.
Now here’s Amarillo Sky in a novices’ handicap chase Tizzard has won before with a five-year-old who had a run back in October.
Amarillo Sky’s run back was in a hurdle a grade higher than today and before that he ran very well in a Pertemps qualifier at the Aintree Grand National meeting.
The 3m Point winner drops to class 3 today for his first chase under Rules. He’s a Westerner out of a Flemensfirth mare, a mouthwatering steeplechase pedigree.
Shantou Express and Witness Protection have already raced over fences but the one is now tongue-tied despite a wind op, the other a beaten favourite.
Not Available, an Irish chase winner for Henry De Bromhead, is a bigger worry, and Brewers Project, marked down personally by Paul Nicholls as ‘one for the future’ must also be a threat.
BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE 6.0 Amarillo Sky
THE NAP? IT’S JUST WILLIAM
⭕ 2.40 Nottingham Forever William looked nailed on ‘next time’ when placed here over a quarter of a mile shorter in first-time cheekpieces..
He seems really well in here, getting around a stone and more from the older stayers.
Three-year-olds are more or less meeting the other horses on equal terms now but not over marathon trips. Forever William was 4.6 on BETDAQ this morning.
9.4 WRENTHORPE BIG VALUE
⭕ 3.10 Nottingham The progressive Raasel gets in under the radar if he can show the same form of a week ago here, which raised him 13lb in the handicapper’s computer.
He carries just a 6lb penalty today, so races off 86 instead of his future 94.
The second horse home last week, Dark Shot, is a couple of pounds better off but that doesn’t look good enough to close the gap of two and threequarter lengths.
But an earlier Nottingham win by Raasel was achieved at the expense of Wrenthorpe, who is 7lb better off for half a length, and has a further 7lb to play with from Gianluca Sanna’s claim.
Front-runner Wrenthorpe won this race in 2018 and also won at Nottingham on the soft last year off today’s 84 rating.
So again, the 7lb claim is a bonus, and the rider comes out of the one stall, same as last year’s winner of the race. A 5f race of question marks that will be all over in a minute!
Can Raasel make further improvement or can the inexperienced claimer on Wrenthorpe use the weights advantage from the front?
Finally, another mud-lover, Tomahawk Ridge (3.40) has the same weight, similar ground and a high draw for the race in which he was beaten a head last year.
BETDAQ value 9.4 Wrenthorpe, 21.0 Tomahawk Ridge
2.30 Chepstow (win 20)
BET 4pts win AMARILLO SKY
2.40 Nottingham (win 12, nap)
BET 3.25pts win FOREVER WILLAM
3.10 Nottingham (win 20, win 10 place)
BET 2.25pts win and 2.75pts place WRENTHORPE
3.40 Nottingham (win 20, place win 4)
BET 1pt win and place TOMAHAWK RIDGE
What are points? Points facilitate a staking plan, which is the secret to creating profit. One point is whatever you choose: a pound, a euro, or whatever ….
Start with a bank and decide how much you can afford to lose over a period of time, and determine the size of your bets accordingly. Daqman makes this variation every day.