9-4 NAP AMONG FOUR WINNERS: Daqman landed a 9-4 nap, an outsider at 13-2 and an 11-2 treble by picking the best of four meetings yesterday, with success coming at Catterick, Chepstow and Newcastle. Today he tries four meetings again in a bid to follow up on:
WON 13-2 Michaels Mount
WON 9-4 Laser Light (nap and treble)
WON 8-11 St Malo (treble)
WON 1-6 Thistlecrack (treble)
60 POINTS PROFIT THIS WEEK: Yesterday made 51-points profit after Monday in the black with a 3-1 winner. That gives him a total of 60 points in two days.
HORSES TO FOLLOW: There’s always a lot to look forward to with Daqman, who is researching his horses to follow list for the Jumps, and today checking up on the Racing Post’s Flat-stable tour.
MINDING THE HORSES THEY FOUND..
Do you follow top horses blind? If so, was it with your own list; or did you bet race by race with those in the Racing Post stable tour for the 2016 Flat season?
With the season nearing its close, around 50% (18-37) of the horses in the Post tour have won a race with a strike rate of 23% (33-140) for a level-stakes loss of 37 points.
That’s not too bad, but looks modest alongside their naps-table winner or the long-term level-stakes profits of our own Shamrock. So could you have done better?
You would surely have celebrated with Found, Minding and Postponed and, equally, might well have drowned your sorrows over Air Force Blue, US Army Ranger and The Great Gatsby, big names that didn’t make the expected impression.
In fact, the whole stable-tour exercise should really be about the dark horses that won; after all, those are the horses that the average punter would have no knowledge of, and would be unlikely to put into his own list. Check them out in these results from the springtime tour:
0000 Air Force Blue (Aidan O’Brien, star quality)
Andastra (Ralph Beckett, dark horse)
Chonoiseries (David Simcock, dark horse)
Covert Love (Hugo Palmer, star quality)
24221441 Dark Shot (Andrew Balding, horse to follow) won 2-9 and 4-1
202100 Dutch Connection (Charles Hills, star quality) won 9-4
Elm Park (Andrew Balding, star quality)
00 Emotionless (Charlie Appleby, star quality)
200 Flaming Spear (Kevin Ryan, dark horse)
312222212 Found (Aidan O’Brien, star quality), won 11-8, won 6-1
23000 Giddy (Richard Fahey, dark horse)
00 GK Chesterton (Charlie Appleby, dark horse)
3131302 Grapevine (Charles Hills, dark horse) won 4-1 and 11-10
0124 Great And Small (Andrew Balding, dark horse), won 10-1
31122 Great Order (Saeed Bin Suroor, dark horse) won 11-10 and 5-2
000 Illuminate (Richard Hannon, star quality)
31303 Hawksmoor (Hugo Palmer, horse to follow) won 6-5
3 Hermann (Richard Hannon, horse to follow)
30013 Lightning Spear (David Simcock, horse to follow), won 4-1
20 Lovell (Charlie Appleby, horse to follow)
1211131 Minding (Aidan O’Brien, star quality), won 10-11, 10-11, 1-5, 1-5, 7-4
Mootaharer (Charles Hills, horse to follow)
1312 Mountain Bell (Ralph Beckett, horse to follow) won 6-4, 5-2
20 Next Stage (Saeed Bin Suroor, horse to follow)
1110 Postponed (Roger Varian, star quality), won 11-10, 4-5, 8-11, 15-8
0 Racing History (Saeed Bin Suroor, star quality)
31312 Ribchester (Richard Fahey, star quality) won 7-1, 11-4
24013 Simple Verse (Ralph Beckett, star quality) won 3-1
10011 Spangled (Roger Varian, horse to follow) won 11-8, 5-2, 14-1
004000000 Tatlisu (Richard Fahey, horse to follow)
000 Telegram (Richard Hannon, dark horse), won 16-1 but before publication
0 The Corsican (David Simcock, star quality)
42000 The Grey Gatsby (Kevin Ryan, star quality)
11 To Be Wild (Hugo Palmer, dark horse), won 4-6, 6-4
1000 Top Of The Bank (Kevin Ryan, horse to follow), won 6-4
310 Uae Prince (Roger Varian, dark horse), won 4-7
12420 US Army Ranger (Aidan O’Brien, star quality) won 4-11 (also won before publication)
FOOL IF YOU MISS FAKENHAM FILLY
2.20 Nottingham Once upon a time not so long ago, a two-year-old was slowly away on his debut in this, came through with purpose but only just hung on to win by a head.
That winner, Golden Horn, went on to take the Epsom Derby and the runner-up was second in the Irish Derby. Easy, isn’t it!
The same stable runs Face The Facts today at 5.0 on BETDAQ this morning. If you want to back him, don’t be disheartened that his sire, Nathaniel, was beaten when he himself made his debut as a two-year-old in 2010. But it was only by half a length to another debutant by the name of Frankel!
3.00 Chelmsford Cambridgeshire third Very Talented swerves this, so I shall have a bit of win and place the winner of the Silver Cambridgeshire, Mithqaal, big at 10.0 in the BETDAQ orange.
Raising Sand is bred to take this step up from a mile and maybe his poor performance on his only start at Chelmsford 13 months ago was because he was green on the debut.
Lusory should be in at the finish but had to be pushed along at Doncaster, hence the application of cheekpieces (on top of the tongue-tie) this afternoon. Could do the trick, but I usually swerve a bet when the trainer starts piling on the aids.
3.10 Fakenham The burgeoning Bath yard of Neil Mulholland makes the 474-mile round trip to Fakenham to get another win into the filly Fool To Cry before the mud starts flying. She is on a hat-trick, Flat and Jumps. Napped at 3.35.
Alan King won the race last year but Giveaway Glance doesn’t rate a ‘mench’ from Barbary Castle, and Kingy has only ever had one winner at Fakenham.
8.15 Kempton Loveable Helen could be a hidden horse. The daughter of Dylan Thomas makes a solo journey from North Yorkshire for this.
She impressed racereaders on her only appearance on a man-made surface, winning as she liked by seven lengths at Newcastle.
In the absence of Rock Steady, ‘the word’ for the race is Red Rannagh, who should benefit from the step up in trip after finishing well here over 1m 3f off a modest pace last month.
DAQMAN’S BETS (staked 1 to 9 for strength)
BET 4pts win FACE THE FACTS (2.20 Nottingham)
BET 2pts win and place MITHQAAL (3.00 Chelmsford)
BET 8.5pts win (nap) FOOL TO CRY (3.10 Fakenham)
BET 2pts win and place FLEETING DREAM (4.30 Chelmsford)
BET 3pts win and place LOVEABLE HELEN and 2pts win (stakes saver) RED RANNAGH (8.15 Kempton)
DAQ MULTIPLES: 3 x 1pt win doubles and 1pt win treble Mithqaal (3.00 Chelmsford), Fool To Cry (3.10 Fakenham), Loveable Helen (8.15 Kempton)
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