HAT-TRICK OF WINNING DAYS: Profit, profit, profit! Yes, Daqman’s finished in front for three days in a row with four fine BETDAQ bets: two naps and two value hits at 9-2 and around 13-2.
Tuesday profit on the day: 7.10 points
WON 9-2 VESPASIAN
Monday profit on the day: 2.70 points
WON 15-8 KORKER (nap)
Sunday profit on the day: 17 points
WON 2-1 RUBAUD (nap)
WON 67-10 LOS ANGELES
HE’S FLAT OUT TO THE FINISH: Just 18 days of the Flat season left, mainly concerned with two meetings each at Doncaster, Newmarket and Redcar. Here’s the first of the farewell cards from HQ, where six of the seven races are for two-year-olds.
SUR THING FOR THE CHAMPION
⭕ 2.25 Newmarket (2yo colts and geldings novices 7f) The opening fillies novices at 1.50 may help you with this one: did it follow the pattern of 70% winners from the low four stalls having raced only once or twice beforehand?
A similar situation here but, notably, Charlie Appleby has won two from high stalls, suggesting he saddles something he knows is that bit better quality.
Both winners were ridden by champion-jockey William Buick, who takes over on Point Sur (stall 11), with James Doyle on the seeming second-string, the unraced Strong Opinion (out of gate 2).
Both pick from three engagements this week. The essential is to run at Newmarket; better for the CV; better to find out if they are likely to handle the dip.
SOFT GOING COULD SUIT STAR
⭕ 3.00 Newmarket (2yo maiden 1m 2f) Charlie Appleby has won three out of six, all ridden by William Buick, two of them scoring first time out.
The 550,000gns Tribal Star is by Sea The Stars out of a Pivotal mare; both were winners on soft ground. Sea The Thunder improved on the soft three weeks ago and is the danger.
Team Gosden runs the grey Dr Hackenbush, named after a song cut from the Marx Brothers film A Day At The Races.
Groucho Marx had good advice for punters: ‘Learn from the mistakes of others. You can never live long enough to make them all yourself.’
WELL-BRED CURRAN TO SCORE
⭕ 3.35 Newmarket (2yo nursery, 1m 2f) Appleby has withdrawn Emperor’s Star, who was three lengths and more behind Ralph Beckett’s Spanish Poet over 7f at Sandown (heavy).
Spanish Poet tried this step up in trip at Nottingham but ran a stinker, beaten favourite.
Compare with Charlie Johnston’s Curran (Gleneagles out of a Camelot mare), a winner twice over 1m 2f, beating the consistent Prepschool at these weights at Pontefract.
The Windsor 1-2-3 of High Point, Spaceport and Monterosa (hooded first time that day) may be affected by the change in weights and will be affected by the ground, which was good that day.
High Point is by soft-heavy performer New Bay; Spaceport by a top-of-the-ground sire; Monterosa by a French Derby winner on soft.
KARMOLOGY STAYS FURTHER
⭕ 4.10 Newmarket (fillies handicap 1m) A breather from the two-year-olds and their unreliable form.
More is known about this field yet, because most of them are three-year-olds and four of them have raced only three times or less this year, we still need to find a progressive sort; seven of the last eight winners have been 11-2 or shorter, two of them favourite.
Karl Burke sees the Golden Horn filly Karmology as ‘very much one for next year over further’ but she has done well enough already to win her first two starts and looks solid win and place at 6.0 in a straight-eight each-way race.
Zouzanna was the one for the money this morning; she and Choisya have been consistent but may need more to stop Karmology with her stable in great form.
Daughter of a Listed level winner on the soft, the well-drawn Orzo (stall 4) is very lightly raced and must have had her problems. Keep an eye on the Betdaq Betting Exchange.
PLAY UP CRISFORD WINNINGS
⭕ 7.30 Kempton (1m) First of two class-3 handicaps worth checking out at Kempton tonight.
In this one, the Crisfords, who landed me a superb play last night with Vespasian at 9-2, drop Al Agaila a grade, bringing her back to the Sunbury track, where a CD win launched her treble last winter; the final two legs were in class 2 at Lingfield over 1m 1f.
A rise of a stone for that hat-trick didn’t altogether stop a fine run, fifth after a slow start, in the Seaton Delaval at Newcastle in June behind Lattam, William Haggas’s Irish Lincoln winner. BETDAQ 6.0.
HUNT BETDAQ VALUE ON FOX
⭕ 8.00 Kempton (1m 7.5f) Sir Michael Stoute’s grey Fox Journey (Saffie Osborne) is a Roaring Lion half-brother to a 2m winner out of a Galileo mare, related to an Oaks winner but also to 2m Flat and hurdles winners.
Fox Journey stepped up from winning a 1m 4f class 4 at Newbury to third in the Melrose (class 2) at York.
His run from the rear suggested today’s trip, down in grade, would be ideal on performance as well as pedigree. Expect the BETDAQ 2.5 to go.
With two of Charlie Johnston’s in the race, we shouldn’t go short of pace; just don’t let them get too far ahead, Saffie!
DAQMAN’S BETS
2.25 Newmarket (win 10)
BET 5.5pts win POINT SUR
If lose
BET 3pts to win 12 TRIBAL STAR
Plus 2pts win double the two
3.35 Newmarket (win 10)
BET 3pts win CURRAN
4.10 Newmarket (win 20)
BET 4pts w/p KARMOLOGY
7.30 Kempton (win 10)
BET 2pts w/p AL AGAILA
8.00 Kempton (win 15, nap)
BET 10pts win FOX JOURNEY
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