🇺🇸  BREEDERS CUP PREVIEWS: Daqman checks out the Saturday Breeders Cup card at Del Mar by stats and facts, race by race from the Sprint through the Classic to the Mile.

CUP CONTROVERSY: Saturday is the big day for Aidan O’Brien and City Of Troy. Tuesday is not! Stewards have banned Jan Brueghel from the race after ‘ridiculous’ CT scans.


BREEDERS CUP: SATURDAY

🇺🇸 7.41 Del Mar, Saturday (Breeders Cup Turf Sprint, 5f) The only English-trained winner in the decade was Kevin Ryan’s Glass Slippers (Keeneland 2010).

🔢 Results by gate: 2017 Del Mar 4, 7, 1 (12 ran) and 2021 Del Mar 3, 4, 6 (12 ran)

On Saturday at Del Mar, in draw order: Believing, George Boughey, Ryan Moore (1); Starlust, Ralph Beckett, Rossa Ryan (4); Star of Mystery, Charlie Appleby, Willaim Buick (6); Big Evs, Michael Appleby, Tom Marquand (11); Bradsell, Archie Watson, Hollie Doyle (12).

🇺🇸 9.01 Del Mar, Saturday (Breeders Cup Turf, 1m 4f) Aidan O’Brien’s Found (2015) and John Gosden’s Enable (2018) were superstar fillies who won this. <>Results by gate: 2017 Del Mar 1, 11, 3 (13 ran) and 2021 Del Mar 8, 6, 10 (14 ran).

Auguste Rodin (2021) made it 3-9 for O’Brien after back-to-back wins for Charlie Appleby (2021-22). Appleby runs his 2022 winner, Rebel’s Romance, again on Saturday. Last year’s third, Shahryar is also back for more.

O’Brien saddles Luxembourg (Ryan Moore, 4) and Wingspan (Wayne Lordan 10). Emily Upjohn (Frankie Dettori, 2) runs for Team Gosden.

🇺🇸 9.41 Del Mar, Saturday (Breeders Cup Classic, 1m 2f, Dirt) Leading trainer Bob Baffert, four in the decade, has booked Frankie Dettori for Newgate (13). Newgate was winner of the Santa Anita Handicap for Frankie in March and narrowly beaten there on his return after a long break in September.

🔢 Results by gate: 2017 Del Mar 5, 11, 8 (11 ran) and 2021 Del Mar 4, 7, 3 (8 ran). On Saturday at Del Mar, City Of Troy (Ryan Moore, 3) 14 runners.

🇺🇸 10.25 Del Mar, Saturday (Breeders Cup Filly And Mare, Turf 1m 3f) Six out of 8 to raiders from England and Ireland, including Aidan O’Brien and Charlie Appleby

They now run: Appleby – Cinderella’s Dream (William Buick) and Beautiful Love (Oisin Murphy). O’Brien – Content (Frankie Dettori) and Ylang Ylang (Ryan Moore).

🇺🇸 11.45 Del Mar, Saturday (Breeders Cup Mile, Turf) Five out of six to English and Irish raiders.

🔢 Results by gate: 2017 Del Mar 5, 4, 13 (14 ran); 2021 Del Mar 2, 1, 12 (13 ran). On Saturday in draw order: 1 Ramatuelle (Christopher Head, Aurelien Lemaitre), 4 Diego Velazquez (Aidan O’Brien, Ryan Moore), 6 Notable Speech (Charlie Appleby, William Buick), 7 Porta Fortuna (Donnacha O’Brien, Tom Marquand).


BLIND BET AT 5.1 ON BETDAQ

⭕ 3.08 Nottingham today Nottingham is not a winning track for Declan Carroll but, if that prompts you to oppose his four-year-old in this, I suggest strong reasons for a Changeofmind, particularly at Betdaq Betting Exchange offers (9.3 taken)

Six of Carroll’s last nine runners have been placed, two of them winners and the jockey today, Paul Mulrennan, has had a great season, topping £1.2m in earnings and only five short of 100 winners.

Changeofmind was just half a length away from victory last time the ground was heavy which was also the last time he was dropped to class 3.

He had operated at Listed level last year, when Carroll described him as ‘exciting.’ It didn’t last and his being gelded tells part of the reason why.

Winner-a-year Makanah is nine now and has had his win. Hyperfocus, even older at 10, is a bigger danger, still able to put two wins together on soft-heavy in the summer.

But my second choice is Blind Beggar (BETDAQ 5.1), whose form on heavy is 112. He beat Silky Wilkie at Bath in the Spring.

Rossa Ryan’s ride, Moulin Booj, has class-4 and class-5 wins and Fantasy Master is also up in grade here. It desn’t mean they won’t win; it means they have less chance of winning and chance is what betting is all about.


SKELTON? CAN’T CATCH HIM!

⭕ 3.30 Newton Abbot Since Dan Skelton landed a hat-trick last Wednesday, he’s had eight more winners, with Harry steering all 11 strikes by the Warwick yard.

My pick of their day today is Catch Him Derry, who has progressed 21lb this year, from success in class 5 up to this class-3 level, but with Dan daring:

‘After his rest, we’ll still go quietly, as I remember him as a wayward baby and how he grew to love being competitive. He’s on our side so we will look after him’.

Shallow River has his first race for Olly Murphy and is partnered by Sean Bowen for the first time.

He broke a two-year drought when winning at Exeter on heavy at the start of the year, ultimately not disgraced at Cheltenham (class 2) in April.


THEY DIDN’T KEEP LIGHT DARK

⭕ 6.00 Kempton Charlie Appleby has swerved Saturday’s cut in the ground at Newmarket with Season Of Light, a Too Darn Hot filly for whom Newmarket was too darn soft a month ago.

Newmarket work-watchers couldn’t keep Light dark after a recent gallop so she has been well supported this morning.

Some 26 of the stable’s 33 runners at Kempton this year have been placed, including 13 wins (33%) and you’d be surprised to know that Dougie Costello is its second highest scorer with 35% when William Buick is not available.

DAQMAN’S BETS

3.08 Nottingham (win 20)
BET 5pts win BLIND BEGGAR
BET 2.5pts win CHANGEOFMIND

3.30 Newton Abbot (win 12)
BET 6pts win CATCH HIM DERRY
BET 2pts win SHALLOW RIVER

6.00 Kempton (win 12 nap)
BET 8pts win SEASON OF LIGHT


What are points? Points facilitate a staking plan, which is the secret to creating profit. One point is whatever you choose: a pound, a euro, or whatever ….

Start with a bank and decide how much you can afford to lose over a period of time, and determine the size of your bets accordingly. Daqman makes this variation every day.

Did you know? DAQMAN’s tips are posted each and every day so he’s always on hand to help with your horse racing betting.


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