28 RACE MEETINGS IN FIVE DAYS: Six meetings today and 22 more to come in England and Ireland before the week is out has Daqman looking forward to the Goodwood, Galway and York festivals, starting at the end of the month.
PERCENTAGES IN YOUR FAVOUR: But don’t be put off by quantity when you have the quality of BETDAQ value betting at the touch of your mouse. You won’t face the shocking 136% Total SP by bookies for an eight-runner race at Carlisle yesterday.
DOLPHIN IS THE WORD IN THE VILLAGE
3.50 Catterick: The David O’Meara pair, Patrona Ciana and Scrutiny, are miles clear on the ratings – Scrutiny runs off 78 to Lady Dancer’s 34 – and I shall put them in my Daq Multiples together.
5.00 Lingfield Paul Cole is not the force he was but can still place a handicapper first time (33% strike rate) and Fort Berkeley (5.6 on BETDAQ this morning) has suggested in his maidens that there are better things to come.
6.05 Sandown Just how hard it is for apprentices losing all or part of their claim is revealed by the past results of this handicap.
Even against their own, the four best ‘boys’ who could not claim in this last year because of winningmost superiority were beaten by two who were allowed 5lb because they had not had more than five winners.
The year before that the only 5lb claim among nine runners for the race was triumphant, winning four-and-a-half lengths!
Experienced horses are a big help for apprentices (three of the last four winners of this were six-year-olds), and Highlife Dancer was Paddy Pilley’s first win under Rules. I fancy he needs to try to get the run of the race over this trip. A bit of 12.0 win and place.
6.35 Sandown Three-year-olds are going for a five-timer in this with Matravers and Alketios, both first-time handicapping. Could go either way. Mix ’em in your Multiples!
7.45 Sandown There must be a doubt about taking a short price Provenance, with trainer Sir Michael Stoute having saddled eight losing favourites in a row.
He’s had 21 consecutive losers in England, four of them visored or hooded for the first time, as Provenance is today. His stable has troubled the judge just once during that losing English run, a winner at the Curragh.
This does not augur well for the King George on Saturday, though Stoute has a habit of getting punters to look look through the wrong end of the Telescope.
July has no juice in it for betting in small fields and low-level meetings, so we’ve kept stakes down to the minimum (win 20) so far, knowing that August is a wicked month: roll on Galway, Goodwood (starts end of July) and York. Meanwhile, we don’t want to lose too much of this year’s fortunes.
Let’s go for a half-stake lay Provenance, and a bit of 4.7 the Ralph Beckett grey, Crystal Lake, second run back after a break (the first was on unsuitable soft ground) and back down in class.
7.55 Leicester George Challoner has scored both times he’s ridden Dolphin Village and the only dips in the Cape Cross gelding’s progress has been wrong trip or wrong ground.
DAQMAN’S ABC GUIDE TO PUNTING PESTS
A is for AFTER-TIMER He knows all the winners after they have won. He knows all the losers after they have lost. Then, worst of all, he tells you about them (who else knew!)
Suitable racing aids: tongue-tie to replace blinkers. Age: juvenile approach to betting. Occupation: needs to improve his Post. Psychology: catoptrophobia (fear of mirrors). Bucket list: a Life.
DAQMAN’S BETS
BET 4.3pts win FORT BERKELEY (5.00 Lingfield)
BET 1.8pts win and place HIGHLIFE DANCER (6.05 Sandown)
DOUBLE WHAMMY: LAY 5pts PROVENANCE and BET 5.4pts win CRYSTAL LAKE (7.45 Sandown)
BET 10.8pts win (nap) DOLPHIN VILLAGE (7.55 Leicester)
DAQ MULTIPLES: 4 x 2pt win doubles Patrona Ciana and Scrutiny (3.50 Catterick) with Alketios and Matravers (6.35 Sandown) and 4 x 1pt win trebles the same four with Dolphin Village (7.55 Leicester).
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