DAQMAN’S IZZY HAS LAYERS DIZZY: Back-to-back naps for the start of the week and form guides for the top contenders in the weekend big races. That’s the Daqman service in Betdaq Tips.
WON 5-4 INTERCESSOR (Monday nap; number 74 this year)
WON 1-1 GISELLES IZZY (Tuesday nap; now it’s number 75)
TOMORROW: More for Irish Champions weekend at Leopardstown and the Curragh.
TIGHT CHAMPION STAKES RATINGS
⭕ 3.20 Leopardstown, Saturday (Irish Champion Stakes): The best running of this race in recent years was when Golden Horn (rated 130) beat the subsequent Arc de Triomphe winner, Found, in 2015. Those rated here are within the 117-123 band which would cover all other winners by rating in the decade.
STATS 3yo 60%; no winner older than five since 1998 and only one in 47 years. Favourites 40%.
TRAINERS: Aidan O’Brien 11, including the last four; Saeed Bin Surroor 4, Team Gosden 3.
JOCKEYS: Frankie Dettori 6, Ryan Moore 4, Seamie Heffernan 3; Oisin Murphy, William Buick, Andrea Atzeni 1 each.
123 AUGUSTE RODIN (Aidan O’Brien) Winner of the Epsom Derby, by half a length from King Of Steel, and the Irish Derby but flopped in the King George (last of 10).
122 ONESTO (Francois Chappet) Grand Prix de Paris winner last year; just pipped half a length in this Irish Champion Stakes but well beaten in the Arc de Triomphe and the Japan Cup. Group-1 fourth at Deauville sole start in 2023.
121 BAY BRIDGE (Sir Michael Stoute) Champion Stakes winner at Ascot last October and Group-1 placed twice this season. Stable out of form.
121 LUXEMBOURG (Aidan O’Brien) Won the Irish Champion Stakes on soft last September, holding off Onesto by half a length. Always doing enough, stopped Bay Bridge half a length in the Tattersalls Gold Cup at the Curragh in the Spring.
121 NASHWA (John and Thady Gosden) Peak form last July, winning the Prix de Diane and Nassau Stakes but form 2442132 since, with sole success on good ground in the Falmouth (1m) on the July Course at Newmarket.
120 ALFLAILA (Owen Burrows) Stepped up from handicaps last season with a hat-trick in the Pattern, capping it with further improvement (Group 2 at York) on only appearance this year, when beating My Prospero half a length.
120 KING OF STEEL (Roger Varian) Best form at 1m 4f; second in the Epsom Derby and third in the King George either side of King Edward V11 Stakes (‘Ascot Derby’) victory over subsequent Great Voltigeur winner, Continuous.
119 MY PROSPERO (William Haggas) Lightly-raced winner at this trip in France (good to soft) last season and third, beaten only half a length by Bay Bridge, in today’s race. Beaten similar margin by Alflaila at York in July.
NO DOOM AND GLOOM PLEASE
⭕ 2.30 Lingfield 24 hours is a long time in racing! Tom Marquand brought up his 1,000th career GB win on Monday but yesterday suffered the indignation of being beaten on a 1/25 shot in a two horse race at Ripon. The name of the horse? Doom. You really can’t make it up at times!
Hopefully Gloom doesn’t follow Doom in this case and he can strike here with Cotai Vision who looks the value alternative to Andrew Balding’s Betdaq Betting Exchange market leader Leaves Of Grass who is making his handicap debut.
Cotai Vision was highly tried on her second start finishing last of the 26 runners in the Queen Mary at Royal Ascot but proved she had ability in calmer waters when winning her Bath maiden easily under Marquand.
She since finished sixth at Sandown in a better class race – she gets a couple of pounds back from the handicapper and should be good enough to land this – even if she hasn’t managed to hit the heights connections were presumably hoping for.
Leaves Of Grass ran well over course and distance last time out when seemingly appreciating the drop back to the minimum trip. Her starting mark looks fair but she will need to continue to improve to win off this mark which of course is by no means out of the question.
KARAT’S GOLDEN CHANCE
⭕ 4.15 Lingfield It’s that man again Tom Marquand and whilst my (and Racing Post who forecast 11/10) expectations of even money might not quite get there – it’s hard to ignore the form chances of the William Haggas trained filly.
She was an eye-catcher on debut at Newbury where finishing fourth to Sweet Memories who gave that form a massive boost by winning a Listed race at Newmarket next time out.
Karat Karat then made all to win a soft race at Yarmouth justifying her short price (not as short as 1/25 !) to win by three and a half lengths and eight lengths.
This looks a great stepping stone and she is preferred to the Gosden trained Humanity who flopped here at 1/3 on her second start after her promising Newcastle debut.
DOESN’T MAKE SENSE
⭕ 5.09 Bath Asense looks the pick of Gary Moore’s three runners today but she looks short here having won a modest contest at Lingfield three weeks ago and is now up in the weights.
Uther Pendragon is a course regular and popped up to win over course and distance at 22/1 in July but has run poorly since.
It might be best left to Kindgirl – one of the few who you could actually see improving and she might not need to run to much better form than last time when fourth here to take this weaker looking event.
DAQMAN’S BETS:
2.30 Lingfield (win 10)
BET 3.3pts win COTAI VISION
4.15 Lingfield (win 10, nap)
BET 12.5pts win KARAT KARAT
5.09 Bath (win 10)
BET 2pts win KINDGIRL
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