BID FOR NINE BANKERS IN A ROW: Daqman has had 13 winning naps from the last 19, a sequence of 1111141231311114112, including eight bankers in a row. All 19 best bets have finished in the first four. Today he bids for 20 from a ninth consecutive banker. Here’s the list of maximum-stakes bets so far:
WON 4-6 BRAVO ZOLO
WON 1-4 GERMANY CALLING
WON 4-11 HIGH SECRET
WON 4-6 CONVEY
WON 5-6 SOUTHFIELD THEATRE
WON 8-13 SHAKOPEE
WON 3-10 SARSTED
WON 2-11 THE NEW ONE
STARS CLASH IN THE BETDAQ SPRINT
This race looks hot! Two previous winners, Steps in 2011 and Dungannon last year, along with the runner-up in 2012, Jamaican Bolt, are all likely contenders for Saturday’s big sprint at Doncaster.
The Betdaq Betting Exchange £50 Free Bet Handicap (3.15) will be one of the betting features of the day as the prelude to the Racing Post Trophy.
Steps won the race off 89 but has been a fantastic servant to Roger Varian in the intervening years, stepping up the ratings ladder to Saturday’s top rung off 110. He must have cut in the ground to be seen at his best.
The years when Steps and Dungannon were winning this sprint, Camelot and Kingston Hill were winning the Trophy on this same card, and the successful colt in Saturday’s renewal is sure to be promoted to the front ranks of the 2015 Derby market.
CAN PALLISTER STAY OUT IN FRONT?
Now he tells us! After Far West (my nap which ran second) and Alcala (I backed the winner, Hello George) were both beaten yesterday, trainer Paul Nicholls claimed that ‘it has been much harder to get the string fit this year, and quite a few have needed the run.’
I’m often to be found in a Somerset town not a million miles from Paul and the weather has been so good, even I am running fit. Or is it the nightcap of Kentucky bourbon sent me by an American trainer-journalist (I don’t think we’ve ever had one of those over here).
What happens next? Well, Press and punter start swerving the Ditcheat beasts and up they come! No, I’m not being cynical, or being a conspiracy theorist, I’m saying that, like Morito Du Berlais (won 14-1), a Nicholls will pop up unexpectedly – to trainer and punter – and the odd computer mouse will be hurled against a home-office wall in frustration.
The professional punter has two stances here: Nicholls horses are to be avoided until he achieves a better strike rate (though 5-27 ain’t bad) but watch out for offers that are too big about horses which don’t need much getting fit.
NEWMARKET Seven straight races for two-year-olds and the only money horse I could spot this morning was for the 10-1 paper-forecast Afjaan (4.20). At 5.7 as I write, was closing down Tempus Temporis and Racing History in exchanges.
Crafty Choice (4.55) was easily winning the market battle with Pallister, though that one has been seen at Pattern level and is taking a huge drop in class here. As a Pivotal, should be suited to the soft surface this afternoon.
A Mark Johnston, Pallister is sure to play catch-me in this small field and the questions are: can he stay out in front, up three furlongs, and can Crafty Choice overhaul him over two furlongs further than his last Newmarket win (July Course)?
BETDAQ to the rescue. A tasty 3.5 Pallister can be covered at nigh-on-evens by a saver on Crafty Choice, which is the way I played Hello George (WON 3-1) and Alcala yesterday.
In the only all-age race, the lightly-raced three-year-old filly Temptress (5.25) appears to have enough scope for improvement to take care of No Poppy, a six-year-old who has just failed twice at this class-2 level.
However, a second look at the race tells us that it’s a weak one for the level and a second look at No Poppy reveals that she was fourth in this last year and her trainer regards today’s conditions – ‘she likes a big galloping track on soft ground’ – as ideal, and is bringing her down from Yorkshire. We don’t know for sure that Temptress will act on the surface.
FONTWELL Miles To Memphis (1.55) is put up to land a ninth consecutive banker, with offers which can make you a 50% profit on outlay or more, at the time of writing.
As opposed to P. Nicholls, Alan King has had his stock in a winning drove. His strike-rate of runners at 9-1 or less over the past fortnight is 50% for seven winners. ‘A lovely, exciting horse’ is how Kingy describes this son of Old Vic.
WORCESTER There’s a similar situation with Lady Buttons (4.00), also coming from top-level bumpers into her first hurdle, going very close in a Listed bumper at the Aintree Festival.
But, back on the subject of stables in and out of form, the one I am likely to be taking out of this race is Sea Claria.
Venetia Williams, who always pays to follow, has not yet set her Kings Caple kindling alight,, but Sea Claria, a daughter of Sinndar, and twice a winner on the Flat in France, is expected to be a winter warmer with this under her belt.
DAQMAN’S BETS
BANKER: BET 20pts win (nap) MILES TO MEMPHIS (1.55 Fontwell)
BET 4.2pts win AFJAAN (4.20 Newmarket)
BET 8pts win on each PALLISTER and (stakes saver) CRAFTY CHOICE (4.55 Newmarket)
BET 5pts win NO POPPY and 3pts win (stakes saver) TEMPTRESS (5.25 Newmarket)
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