DAQMAN SETS THE PACE: 15 HITS: Winner in a fast time at Newbury yesterday, the Daqman nap, Yantarni (WON 4-5), is one to follow. It was winner number 15 for Daqman in 11 days. Can he keep up the pace at Salisbury, Naas and Kempton today?
THE FORTUNES STILL TO BE MADE: Who is setting the pace at the halfway stage of the 2024 Flat season, with millions in the bank already? And how many millions to go? Daqman’s Fortune Cookies (latest list yesterday) will try to trap winners of these 20 races.
WHO IS MAKING THE MILLIONS…
We are just about at halfway. With 105 day’s racing gone since the Irish Lincolnshire launched the 2024 Flat, there are 102 days left before the Arc de Triomphe; finally the late, late show, Champions Day on October 19.
And it has been all so predictable: City of Troy wins £880k; Aidan O’Brien £3.5m; Rossa Ryan and Oisin Murphy the winningmost jockeys, so far on 102 and 94 respectively, but Ryan Moore clear on £3.7m prizemoney won plus another £800k in Ireland.
But there’s still millions all to play for, starting this weekend with the Irish Derby (Daqman’s guide tomorrow).
Irish Derby €712k to the winner, Sunday at the Curragh; target of Ambiente Friendly, second in the Epsom Derby.
Eclipse Stakes £425k; Sandown Park, Saturday July 6; target of City Of Troy, the Epsom Derby winner.
July Cup £340k: Newmarket July, Saturday July 13; target of Inisherin, the Commonwealth Cup winner.
Irish Oaks €285k; the Curragh, Saturday July 20
King George V1 and Queen Elizabeth Stakes £709k: Ascot, Saturday, July 27; target of Auguste Rodin, multiple winner this year and last.
Goodwood Cup £283k: Goodwood, Tuesday, July 30
Sussex Stakes £567k: Goodwood, Wednesday, July 31; target of Rosallion, the Irish 2,000 Guineas and St James’s Palace Stakes winner.
Nassau Stakes £340k: Goodwood, Thursday, August 1.
Juddmonte International upgraded to £709k: York, Wednesday, August 21; target of Economics.
Irish Champion Stakes upgraded to €712k: Leopardstown, Saturday, September 14.
St Leger £786k: Doncaster, Saturday, September 14.
Arc de Triomphe £2.5m: Longchamp, Sunday, October 6.
British Champions Day (£3.4m total prizemoney) Ascot, Saturday, October 19
Melbourne Cup AS8.4m: Flemington, Tuesday, November 5.
CHANGE-OF-GRADE HINT
FIRM ground has diminished two tasty handicaps at Salisbury today, notably the Bibury Cup (4.15), but first a double bid by Bluelight Boy in the one-mile Whitsbury Manor Handicap.
⭕ 3.15 Salisbury Good-to-firm was also returned last year when Bluelight Boy was rated 88 but carried 9st 2lb as a three-year-old, receiving weight from second, third and fourth, all older horses.
Now, though down to an 84, and with nothing much in the bag since he overcame a slow start to win a year ago, the Boy is giving weight to two of the three second-season runners. All except Mortlake.
Mortlake won on ground like a road at Leicester (7f) in August and is unexposed after just four starts for a stable in form that won two handicaps at Royal Ascot.
LAYS LOGIC: Crown Estate, wearing cheekpieces first time, is receiving weight from the entire field, a gelding who’s won only his maiden from seven attempts, always a bad sign, the more so because he’s stayed in class 4 ever since.
Change For Good could also be accused of a maiden win and nothing more; but he’s been tried in Group 3 twice and been seen in public just four times.
Leuven Power has failed in all races above the class 4 and 5 of his Salisbury double in the summer of 2022; at least he likes it here.
I shall assume that one of the two unexposed, Mortlake or Change For Good, can come through at 6 and 11 offers respectively on Betdaq Betting Exchange
SUBSEQUENT CASH FOR CUP
⭕ 4.15 Salisbury The Bibury Cup rarely has an each-way field, so I was glad last year to find a winner was 12-1 in a field of eight for Andrew Balding.
Balding now has 3.45 offer Subsequent from the one stall trying to halt the run of Silent Glance, 2-2 on AW but now switched to turf and on the drift this morning to around 4-1.
Silvestre De Sousa is booked for Subsequent and Rossa Ryan for Silent Glance, with the exclusion of Ryan Moore, the two hottest jockeys at this time.
VELAZQUEZ DERBY DAY PREP
⭕ 6.30 Naas American Hall Of Fame jockey John Velazquez, who will ride at the Curragh during Irish Derby weekend, has his first mount in Ireland in this maiden at Naas this evening.
Velazquez will partner 4.2 early offer De Janeiro, sole runner of the night for Dermot Weld, against likely hot-pot Over The Blues, who is following an odds-on favourite in this last year who was only third of 10.
HIDDEN HORSE BETDAQ 11.5
⭕ 7.40 Kempton Hidden Horse of the day is Ring Of Light, 11.5 morning offers on BETDAQ, returning to his favourite track on AW after a good run on turf the last day in first-time cheekpieces which are retained.
Henry Candy’s grey won here from a high draw in 11, fending off the placed horses in stalls 3 and 4.
That was the third leg of a hat-trick (two of the three at Kempton) before he had to take a long break through injury. Gate 5 is handier today.
DAQMAN’S BETS
3.15 Salisbury (win 20)
BET 4pts win MORTLAKE
BET 2pts win CHANGE FOR GOOD
4.15 Salisbury (win 10, nap)
BET 4pts win SUBSEQUENT
6.30 Naas (win 10)
BET 3pts win DE JANEIRO
7.40 Kempton (win-50 bull’s-eye bet)
BET 4.75pts win RING OF LIGHT
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