SECRETS OF THE STABLES WHICH GO FOR A TOUCH: Trainers who like to go for a touch is the subject of Daqman’s latest look at what goes on behind the scenes. It’s all part of trying to locate inflated prices on BETDAQ about hidden horses.
BIG-ODDS BETDAQ BETS FROM FIVE MEETINGS: Beverley, Yarmouth, Kempton, Salisbury and Gowran Park. Daqman’s round-up of five meetings today checks out the form, stats and facts. He finds BETDAQ bets at 5.4, 6.0, 9.8 and 26.0.
LOOKING FOR THE ’HIDDEN HORSES’
I don’t bet. As a racecourse writer, I lost count of the number of times a trainer told me that after his stable landed a gamble.
Some of them then did an impression of Arthur Daley, adding: ‘I don’t know where the money came from. Wasn’t me guv.’
They might even elaborate on the horse’s performance: ‘He always had a chance of course and his price in the early shows was ridiculous. I’m not surprised the educated public cottoned on.’
Educated public? As I reported yesterday in ‘Don’t Treat The Punters Like Mugs’, even basic information can be hard to come by.
In his Racing Post interview this week, Grant Tuer, whose burgeoning Yorkshire yard has had 33 winners this year (24% strike rate), admitted to ‘going for a touch’. He said: ‘You’re not playing the game properly if you don’t.’
Thanks for that; now all we have to do is go through his winners and see how he does it.
Is it bringing to the race form at home that no one else knows? Is it playing the handicap?
How trainers improve horses; how they work the ratings; what skills they bring to bear on placing their horses. These things are your concern, as a punter, if you, yourself, hope to land a touch.
If trainers and racing tipsters don’t give you enough information, search the form book for it yourself: it’s readily available if you ‘read’ the stable for its skills and tricks of the trade, notably playing the handicap and placing the horse in the right race on the right day.
There are bonus bets just waiting for you from what I call ‘hidden horses’. That simply means that, after a long forgotten spell of form, or races at the wrong level, the wrong trip or the wrong going, there’s a horse got ready somewhere who will show much better form.. and at an inflated price. Big value on BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE of course. I’ll be trying to find him for you.
GRAYSTONE TOP VALUE AT BETDAQ 9.8
⚠️ HEADS UP Roger Varian, who is in devastating form, with a nine-winner sequence in the last six days of 1134311111121, runs three maidens today: Poet (1.55 Salisbury), Kitsune Power (1.30 Yarmouth) and Mystery Fox (2.50) at Beverley, where his strike-rate is 57%.
⚠️ HEADS UP Sir Mark Prescott has had 10 of his last 11 runners in the frame. His Kempton debutante Dawahy (6.25) is by Bated Breath, who won first time out. The sire has a 32% strike rate with two-year-olds, 42% on the debut. Dawahy was 26.0 on BETDAQ this morning and I asked for 4.3 a place.
⚠️ HEADS UP Most of the runners in the 7.55 at Kempton are maidens but Lucy Wadham’s Graystone has scored twice this year from four starts on the only occasions he was ridden by Daniel Muscott, who returns to his saddle tonight.
BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE 9.8 Graystone
MUNDI BACK TO FORM ON WEDNESDAY
⭕ 4.15 Salisbury (Upavon Stakes) Three-year-olds, who have a 50% strike rate in this, have 75% of the runners today and, of the older fillies, both Freyja and Solsada have only ever won on soft ground. A La Voile has tried four consecutive Listeds and been placed just the once.
John Gosden has won it twice with second-season animals from the extreme ends of the market: one was 1-2 favourite, one was 33-1.
Gloria Mundi was second to a Group-2 placed filly at Newbury but, stepped up to 1m 4f and running too freely, she was sixth of 13 in her own Group-2 test, the Ribblesdale. Back to 1m 2f, the stronger gallop should settle her.
Lady Hayes was runner-up in the Lancashire Oaks and Technique, seventh in the Epsom Oaks and fourth in the Nassau Stakes, was beaten only a head in a Group 2 with Freyja behind.
Disappointing in the Italian Oaks, Invite drops back to her winning distance after moving from Marco Botti to Andrew Balding.
William Haggas and Tom Marquand are 2-2 as a partnership in this kind of contest at Salisbury. They team up with Lilac Road, who was placed three times (132) in Listeds but found the combination of Group 3 and Tapeta too much at Newcastle on the last day.
BETDAQ value 6.0 Gloria Mundi
THE ANSWER IS AN IMPROVING FILLY
⭕ 5.35 Gowran Park (Hurry Harriet Stakes) A modest renewal of this Listed, with Aidan O’Brien saddling the winner three times in four years off 98 and 105 (twice), now responsible for Woodland Garden (rated 89) and Sweet Molly Malone (86).
If the forecast showers haven’t affected the ground, try Dermot Weld’s Emaniya, winner and big-field runner-up on a sound surface to 1,000 Guineas Trial winner, Mehnah, in the Cairn Rouge at Killarney last month (Acanella behind).
But sixth behind her on the debut way back, Emphatic Answer has recently leapt 15lb up the handicap with back-to-back wins, not minding a change of going between Killarney and the Curragh.
Solene Lilyette is another improving filly, and Alazenya (unlucky) ran up to So I Told You here at Gowran before that one was third in the Connacht Oaks.
BETDAQ value 5.4 Emphatic Answer
DAQMAN’S BETS
1.55 Salisbury (win 10)
BET 4pts win POET
4.15 Salisbury (win 20, nap)
BET 4pts win GLORIA MUNDI
5.35 Gowran Park (win 10)
BET 2.25pts win EMPHATIC ANSWER
6.25 Kempton (win 30, win 10 a place)
BET 1.25pts win and 3pts place DAWAHY
7.55 Kempton (win 20)
BET 2.25pts win GRAYSTONE
What are points? Points facilitate a staking plan, which is the secret to creating profit. One point is whatever you choose: a pound, a euro, or whatever ….
Start with a bank and decide how much you can afford to lose over a period of time, and determine the size of your bets accordingly. Daqman makes this variation every day.
