STAKING PLAN KEEPS YOU IN THE BLACK: Daqman finished in front yet again yesterday through just one winner and a skilful staking-plan. His success story was Mutaaqeb (WON 3-1) at Yarmouth. Again today, just one winner will give you a decent profit or a break-even.
DAQMAN MATCHES UP TO 16.5 OFFERS: BETDAQ betting is a person-to-person trade. So no odds man trying to fix prices for the layer’s benefit. That’s obvious in the latest Arc betting, with Daqman diving ino the BETDAQ market again on his two positional horses, both at 16.5.
BETDAQ ARC TILT AT 100 POINTS
The bait is 3million euros. No wonder the Arc De Triomphe field grows by the hour, despite a short-priced superstar favourite in Enable.
The Lads at Ballydoyle desperately need the prizemoney down to seventh place (as the Leger so the Arc?) and I would not be surprised to hear that Michael Dickinson, he of the first five home in the Gold Cup, will saddle the ghosts of Bregawn, Silver Buck and Wayward Lad.
But Dickinson’s comments on that would be to highlight the serious issue of this year’s Arc. He admits that the famous five ‘still haunt’ him, as he feels ‘guilty’ for sending some of them into battle that day at Cheltenham in 1983.
They were jaded, over the top, simply not fit to do themselves justice, though somehow managing to stay on into the places, turning the race into a procession, his string from morning gallops transferred in no particular order to the Cheltenham course.
The Arc comes at the end of a very long season. We must trust the welfare of the contenders to their trainers. We don’t want to see whole careers left behind at Chantilly on October 1, with some horses having been on the go since the Spring.
Meanwhile my plans to create a ‘book’ of my own on the Arc market is going great guns. I’m diving in again to boost potential winnings to 100 each on my two.
You’d expect that, as more potential runners are announced, and they enter the market, the old fixed odds would be relaxed.
Not a bit of it. Bookmakers, protecting their liabilities, have Cracksman as low as 3-1, 5-1 and 6-1, while Capri ranges from 9-1, 10-1 and 12-1 to 14-1.
This column jumped on Cracksman at around 10-1 and Capri at 22-1 or so on BETDAQ.
This morning you could still bet 16.5 offers about each one!
I’M DRAWN TO NAPPING A FRIEND
1.30 Sandown Horses at the lower levels of competition on today’s racecards rarely hold their form for two races together, but Sandown offers a constant. The effect of the draw.
Low numbers dominate the results by stall of the 3.05 and 3.40 and this opening sprint has gone to horses drawn 3, 2, 1 in three of the last four seasons.
African Friend (in 4) was our punt a grade higher than this, in class 4 at Ascot on the soft, but pulled out the choke at the start and used up the gas.
As when he won at Windsor in July, he could now be given his head and make all the running here, dropped back a furlong and with the ground drying out: 5.1 on BETDAQ.
3.05 Sandown Six out of the last eight runnings of this, admittedly with one or two very small fields, have been won by stalls 1 and 4, and three-year-olds have currently won in three years out of the last five.
Escobar, with Frankie Dettori up from the one stall, drops out of the Pattern to return to the scene 3lb better off for his CD neck defeat by Khafoo Shememi in May, yet is 13.0 on BETDAQ over my cornflakes this morning.
He’s twice the price of morning-glory Richard Pankhurst, last year’s Hungerford winner, who is also dropped from the Pattern but is a hard horse to trust and has never even been placed over a mile. Maybe a first-time visor will help.
D’bai (stall 6) has no choice but to try this Listed, having ruined his handicap mark by winning a July Ascot handicap in first-time blinkers.
3.40 Sandown Stalls 1, 2 and 3 have taken six of the last nine renewals of this handicap for fillies. Dynamic (in 2) and Madeleine Bond (3) are both lightly raced, both well drawn and both from yards that have had a great season. Offered 3.75 and 6.2 respectively on BETDAQ, as I write.
3.50 Yarmouth Another tricky fillies’ Listed but another race in which there are horses dropped from Group level and in which the draw might help. Eight out of 10 winners have come from the low six stalls.
The eye is immediately attracted to a solo Irish raider for Jessica Harrington in Beautiful Morning (5.5 offers), placed in a Group 2 at the Curragh on the last day and coming out of stall 2.
She is sandwiched in the market between Titi Makfi and High Hopes, both only class-3 handicap winners thus far, and drawn in stalls 9 and 11.
DAQMAN BETS (each staked to win 20 points)
BET 5pts win (nap) AFRICAN FRIEND (1.30 Sandown)
BET 1.5pts win and place ESCOBAR (3.05 Sandown)
BET 7pts win DYNAMIC and 4pts win MADELEINE BOND (3.40 Sandown)
BET 4.4pts win BEAUTIFUL MORNING (3.50 Yarmouth)
Did you know that as well as checking the realtime prices on BETDAQ below – you can also log into your account and place your bets directly into BETDAQ from BETDAQ TIPS.
