DAQMAN LAYS LOSING FAVOURITE: Daqman promised a return to his winning lays. It’s been a long time coming and yesterday’s was a tentative one, a five-pointer Waffle, hot favourite, at Carlisle. The one-time Wokingham runner-up was only third at 6-5, unable even to take a seller.
THERE’S A SOUTHWELL BANKER BET: With 27 bankers up out of 40 in his latest sequence – for 86 points profit – Daqman has another maximum-stakes bet at Southwell today. He needs it to break ‘seconditis’ with his nap (currently 212202).
INFORMATION? THANKS, BUT NO THANKS
Trainers don’t run horses for punters. We are largely in the dark about what chance they have, though Press interviews and stable statements are seemingly helpful. Or not.
Before the York International, Aidan O’Brien warned us that Australia might not be fully wound up. Australia won with his head in his chest. On the eve of the Atalanta Stakes at Sandown last week, Andre Fabre said Fintry might need the race and the target was the Sun Chariot Stakes. Fintry won with ‘instant acceleration’.
Now Criquette Head, as was, tells us Treve, aimed of course at the Arc she won last year, will need her run back in the Prix Vermeille on Sunday week after injury. Get on!
Learning the lesson that you, the punter, must decide, instead of listening to gossip and trainer nerves is a hard one. I’d rather a John Gosden any day. ‘Was that race the target, John?’ Answer: ‘Yes, that’s why we ran him.’
The Gosden approach and the Press part in all this reminds me of a time long past at Newmarket when – in those days of racing coverage in all newspapers – a score of Press surrounded the winning trainer after a trial race.
The trainer was Bernard Van Cutsem. An eager, respectful voice among the throng silenced the jostling with the words they all wanted to ask: ‘What’s the plan now for this one, sir?’ Van Cutsem’s face was motionless as he replied: ‘That was the plan.’
SO MUCH GOING FOR CHAMPION JOCKEY
LINGFIELD The opener (2.00) on grass could throw up something decent. Royal runner Kinematic, by soft-ground sire Kyllachy, should get some ease in the ground on this mixed turf and Polytrack day.
Second on the soft at Newmarket, she ran third at Sandown to Ivawood, subsequent winner of both the Richmond and July stakes races, although under quicker conditions.
Aussie Ruler also has plenty of experience, third recently to Johnny B Goode who stuffed my nap, Flash Fire, at Goodwood yesterday. Ouch!
Flash Fire, who had beaten another of today’s runners, Charming Thought, at Nottingham, had to give 9lb to the winner yesterday and will be back.
Charming Thought was too short for me at 1.46 this morning, and I shall wait for a later trade. Meanwhile, I picked at 5.8 Kinematic, since it was 15.0 bar two.
Meanwhile, Ivawood’s sire, Zebedee, has It’s Gonna Be Me (2.30) far too big at 19.5, a decent place bet to make up ground or even overtake Chevalier on their Newmarket form last tome. Time for bet, said Zebedee. Boing!
SOUTHWELL Ever So Much (2.10) is with Ben Haslam, currently top of the Raving Post ‘hot trainers’ list with two from three, and ridden by Tony McCoy. What more do you want!
I’m hoping ever so much that A P can halt my current hiccup of seconds with the nap. My form for the last 13 best bets is 1211301212202.
Andy Turnell has been very quiet over jumps – just four runners so far – but his raids on Southwell in recent years have produced a 50% strike-rate (2-4).
Winning pointer Killimordaly (4.15) might be good enough in a maiden hurdle of losers in his first run under Rules.
Richard Johnson is at the Rolleston Junction track for one ride for canny trainer, Michael Wigham. He has been teaching Gin And Tonic (8.2 on BETDAQ early mouse) to settle in a trio of bumpers. Now gets weight from the principals in his maiden hurdle.
MAKE HAY WITH 25-MINUTE EURO DOUBLE
5.45 Baden-Baden (Group 2) and 6.10 Kempton Park The Hays family, famous as owners of Fame And Glory, and who have horses with half a dozen English trainers, are intent on a quick cross-Channel double tonight.
Here Comes Now (5.45 Baden-Baden) misses Haydock Park on Thursday and the Park Stakes at Doncaster next week for this German prize, saddled by Andrew Balding.
Some 25 minutes later at Kempton Park (6.10), offered at 26.0 on BETDAQ this morning, Inauguraiton in the same ownership is ‘expected to improve’ for Charles Hills in a maiden fillies’ stakes race.
Here Comes When won on soft ground at Chester in the Spring, then finished just behind Group-1 winner, Garswood, in the John Of Gaunt Stakes at Haydock.
Unplaced when drawn on the wrong side in the Royal Hunt Cup, he is best when fresh and racing on the soft. Here he is tonight (after a 77 day holiday) in a Group 2 in the mud, with local hope Amaron his biggest danger.
The Kempton runner, Inauguration, was well in rear on turf at Goodwood in July but his sire, Acclamation, has had 203 winners on a man-made surface.
DAQMAN’S BETS (staked to win 20 points)
BET 4pts win KINEMATIC (2.00 Lingfield)
BANKER: BET 20pts win (nap) EVER SO MUCH (2.10 Southwell)
BET 1pt win and place ITS GONNA BE ME (2.30 Lingfield)
BET 2.7pts win GIN AND TONIC (3.40 Southwell)
BET 3.2pts win KILLIMORDALY (4.15 Southwell)
BET 0.8pts win and place INAUGURATION (6.10 Kempton)
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