DAQMAN’S IN COMMAND AS 5-1 WINNER KNOCKS UP 44 POINTS: Daqman’s winner-a-day sequence continued yesterday with a 5-1 strike and his staking plan kept him ahead for a third consecutive day, so that he’s showing an overall profit of around 44 points to recommended stakes since Sunday.
Sunday (profit 36.50)
WON 9-4 HEADMAN
WON 4-6 MEHDAAYIH (supernap)
Monday (break even)
WON 3-1 CALE LANE
Tuesday (profit 07.40)
WON 5-1 DRAGON COMMAND
HORSE-BY-HORSE ABC GUIDE TO SATURDAY’S CORAL-ECLIPSE: Daqman starts today’s column with his ABC guide to the stats and facts which help you decide your Coral-Eclipse bets. Read his final verdict on Saturday.
MAGICAL REVENGE OVER ENABLE?
3.35 Sandown, Saturday (Coral-Eclipse Stakes)
ABC KEY TO THE STATS
A Group 1 or 2 winner (86%)
B Rated 119 to 126 (80%)
C Winner over 1m 2f (75%)
D At least four wins on CV (75%)
E Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (6), Aidan O’Brien (5) or John Gosden (3)
ABCDE Magical
Winner of seven races and rated only 2lb behind Enable on the strength of their Breeders Cup (1m 4f) battle. Enable prevailed that day but Magical is entitled to improve, as the younger of the two.
She is officially 12lb higher now, after a hat-trick in Ireland, culminating in seven-lengths defeat of Flag Of Honour in the Tattersalls Gold Cup, but was always second best to Crystal Ocean at Royal Ascot.
ABCDE Mustashry
Yet again, Sir Michael Stoute has found more from an older horse, raising his game by 9lb since this time last year, landing him two Group-2 wins in the autumn, including defeat of Zabeel Prince and Regal Reality at Newmarket, but making his name this Spring when stopping Laurens in the Lockinge (1m Group 1), quickening clear.
ABDE Enable
Fortune Cookies picked up Enable before she won four Oaks, the King George and the Arc in 2017, staying with her as she returned late in 2018 for a hat-trick which included the Arc and the Breeders Cup Turf.
She’s still had only 11 races in her life and won 10 of them, but none over as short a trip as 1m 2f since a mile maiden launched her career, but unbeaten for Frankie Dettori, including seven Group 1s over 1m 4f.
I remember her making all the running in the Yorkshire Oaks but can she do that first run back after 245 days off? Well, that’s how she started back last year after 342 days off!
ACDE Circus Maximus
Third and fourth to two subsequent Guineas winners – Persian King and Magna Grecia – as a juvenile, was outpaced and eased in the Epsom Derby, but took a Group 1 at Royal Ascot, dropped back to a mile, blinkered first time.
ACD Addeybb
He seemed a Group horse in a handicap when taking last year’s Lincoln Handicap, and so it proved when he won the Group-2 Sandown Mile in his very next race.
But he had to wait until Royal Ascot last month to win again, blinkers replaced by cheekpieces, back on soft ground, but stepped up to 1m 2f, and he’s still 3lb lower than the mark he was given after the Sandown success (also on soft).
AC Knight To Behold
Front-running star of Harry Dunlop’s yard after beating Kew Gardens at Lingfield last May and winning a Group 2 at Deauville in August but he had to give way to Crystal Ocean at Sandown (1m 2f) in April and to Zabeel Prince at Longchamp in May.
AC Telecaster
Sweating and eased, stone last of 13 in the Epsom Derby after winning the Dante in a duel with Too Darn Hot (1m 2f plus), who failed to last the trip. While the Derby was not his true running, and he may still have been feeling his Dante effort, it’s hard to see him bouncing back in this company.
ADE Flag of Honour
Completed a hat-trick when beating Irish Derby winner, Latrobe, in the 2018 Curragh St Leger, but a bridesmaid since, tried at four different trips from 1m 2f to 2m 4f. Three times in a row second to Magical.
AD Zabeel Prince
A 21lb climb from handicap success in October 2017 to winning the Earl of Sefton Group 3 in April and the Group 1 Prix d’Ispahan at Longchamp in May (1m 1f) but in between was beaten by Mustashry over a mile and on the last day was 29-lengths seventh of eight at Royal Ascot to Crystal Ocean and Magical.
AE Magic Wand
A bridesmaid profile since winning the 2018 Ribblesdale, with form figures since the autumn of that year of 22420322 and rating has dropped 7lb.
CD Danceteria
Good progress – 22lb rise – over the last year, from a handicap four-timer (1m 2f) to a Group 3 at Longchamp in June, but he needs much more in this company.
CD Regal Reality
Star of the show at home but has had his own ideas about the game, so getting two Group 3 wins from him in only seven starts is a feat in itself.
Beaten by Mustashry in the autumn but nearly seven lengths in front of Danceteria in the Brigadier Gerard Stakes at Sandown in May. Sir Michael Stoute is capable of maturing him further and his Sandown success was impressive.
CE Hunting Horn
Group 3 winner at Royal Ascot last year, and a globetrotting programme almost paid off this year, headed only 100 yards out, beaten just a length in fourth (Magic Wand third) in the Man O’War Stakes at Belmont Park.
But just the one win since his maiden, and recent form of 33444, reveals him as a nearly horse, 16 lengths then 19 lengths behind Enable in two meetings last autumn.
NOTHING VENTURED NOTHING FLAMED
2.10 Thirsk Harry Love went into my notebook after a cracking run on debut over course and distance when beaten just half a length. He was nibbled at in the market that day (from 28/1 to 18/1) but just failed to peg back Ardenlee Star who went on to run at Royal Ascot. The fourth from that race gave the form a boost when winning at Wolverhampton next time out.
Spygate should improve on his debut course and distance fifth to Commanche Falls in a race where the fourth has won subsequently and has every chance of reversing form with the now penalised Commanche Falls.
2.30 Musselburgh This race sees two runners dropping in class after finding life tough at Royal Ascot.
Preference is for Ventura Flame who was a good second on debut at Carlisle and not totally disgraced at Royal Ascot in the Queen Mary Stakes where she was beaten eight lengths into 17th place.
That gives her the edge over Bill Neigh who has a penalty to carry after his debut success over course and distance in June. He was the outsider of three in that race which was run on good to soft ground and it’s quite hard to assess what the form amounts to. The runner-up went on to finish third at York on soft ground.
Bill Neigh went on to run in the Windsor Castle Stakes at Royal Ascot and finished 12th.
The deciding factor is surely the 7lb penalty which Bill Neigh has to carry which tilts the scales firmly in favour of Ventura Flame today.
3.00 Musselburgh A two mile handicap in which Lever Du Soleil looks a standout bet.
Trained by BETDAQ ambassador Gavin Cromwell, the four-year-old is fit from a successful spell over hurdles and really could be a handicap good thing on his return to then flat off a mark of just 54.
He won on the flat at Ripon last year (when trained by Tim Easterby) when the ground was good to firm like today and front running tactics could easily be deployed again here.
This looks a good opportunity especially as recent Redcar winner Nearly There is now a non runner having looked the biggest danger.
DAQMAN’S BETS (staked to win 20 points)
BET 9pts win HARRY LOVE (2.10 Thirsk)
BET 16.6pts win (nap) VENTURA FLAME (2.30 Musselburgh)
BET 13pts win LEVER DU SOLEIL (3.00 Musselburgh)
BETDAQ MULTIPLES: 3 x 2pts win doubles and 1pt win treble above three
Did you know that as well as checking the realtime prices on BETDAQ below – you can also log into your account and place your bets directly into BETDAQ from BETDAQ TIPS.
