BEAMING WITH 100/30 WINNER: Daqman saved the best until last on Tuesday with a 221 performance from his selections. His winner was Beamish at 100/30 which paid 4.73 on Betdaq XSP.
WINNER A DAY: Daqman is out to continue his winner a day run this week following Monday’s winner Award Dancer WON 15/8. Another three bets recommended today.
IS THE CREAM TURNING SOUR
£2.50 the price of strawberries and cream this week at Wimbledon. Not as much as I would have thought given the venue is often much maligned for their catering prices.
Compare that to the price of a pint of Guinness at the Cheltenham Festival – a mouthwatering £7.
There’s huge pressure on the cost of living £/€ and maybe Wimbledon have cottoned on this?
It’s so surprise that, in the midst of a crisis, to read that crowds are down significantly on both sides of the Irish Sea and predictably it’s the midweek cards that are suffering the most.
The big events will usually find they still have an audience and in the circumstances the Curragh’s crowd of 11,700 for the Irish Derby on Saturday stacked up pretty well, given the track were charging €50 admission.
But you can’t get away with high admission prices and catering prices for midweek mediocrity. Case in point being Brighton yesterday where racegoers were ‘treated’ to a match where the favourite was 1/66 and won by an eased down 21 lengths.
So what’s the answer …..
The status quo – no, because that’s not working – people are voting through their pockets.
Free admission – seems a perilous business model and didn’t work for Towcester.
Reduction in prices – seems the most sensible option at this point in time. Surely courses will settle for more racegoers paying less rather than fewer paying more?
The courses that react quickly are more likely to gain. Otherwise it will be plenty of head scratching in 12 months time wondering where did it all go wrong? By that time, like the Wimbledon cream, it will have all turned sour.
CRACKING BET
⭕ 1.50 Thirsk Jim’s Cracker was quite well supported on debut at Doncaster (5/1 > 100/30) but ran green and was a well beaten fourth behind Brave Nation. He did show promise though when the penny dropped and was doing his best work in the closing stages – suggesting the step up to six furlongs will suit.
In a really modest race he could easily prove too strong and is preferred to Betdaq Betting Exchange rival Fiery Bond who was last of 11 on debut at Redcar but showed more over this trip at Carlisle last time out when third. The form of Michael Dods runners at present continues to raise the eyebrows though with just 1 winner from his last 27 runners including a few beaten favourites.
Equity’s Darling and Patricia Grey showed minor promise on their respective debuts and should both improve for the experience.
NOT COLD ON ANTARCTIC
⭕ 5.10 Tipperary (Listed) It’s an O’Brien top three in the market – Aidan, Donnacha and Joseph in that order but it should be Fathers Day as The Antarctic can again prove his class.
I say again as he already holds Donnacha’s Wodao and Treasure Trove on course and distance form from April.
Since then, The Antarctic was in at the deep end in the Norfolk Stakes at Royal Ascot and was a little disappointing but not disgraced in finishing seventh – not helped by swerving as he left the stalls.
This is much easier though and he can get back on the winning track.
KELAPA FOR FINALE
⭕ 8.20 Bath Seven For A Pound and Beau Geste are both prominent in the market but eminently beatable coming from stables not in flying form.
In contrast Kelapa looks interesting from the Joseph Parr stable who have saddled four winners from their last 14 runners.
She’s up in trip and with first time tongue tie but if both turn out as positives then she could easily land this weak event.
Unlike most of her rivals she is lightly raced and probably capable of better.
DAQMAN’S BETS:
1.50 Thirsk (win 10)
BET 3.7pts win JIM’S CRACKER
5.10 Tipperary (win 10, nap)
BET 12.5pts win THE ANTARCTIC
8.20 Bath (win 10)
BET 2.0pts win KELAPA
What are points? Points facilitate a staking plan, which is the secret to creating profit. One point is whatever you choose: a pound, a euro, or whatever ….
Start with a bank and decide how much you can afford to lose over a period of time, and determine the size of your bets accordingly. Daqman makes this variation every day.
Did you know? DAQMAN’s tips are posted each and every day so he’s always on hand to help with your horse racing betting.