NAPS HAT-TRICK BID TODAY: Daqman yesterday held on to his profit of 42.60 since Saturday. Another winning nap paid for the day, with recommended stakes securing a break-even. Can he work the oracle again today, with a six-horse staking plan? He needs two winners or a hat-trick of naps. Both would be nice.
TUESDAY break even
WON 11-8 AWORKINPROGRESS (nap)
MONDAY 9.80 profit on the day
WON 13-8 KING OF SPEED (nap)
WON 13-8 HAARAR
SUNDAY 6.80 profit on the day
WON 5-1 CREDO
SATURDAY 26pts profit on the day
WON 9-2 JOYEUSE
GRAND NATIONAL WEIGHTS: Daqman was spot on yesterday with the weight given to last year’s Grand National winner. Now he looks at the way the handicapper has dealt with more recent form.
MAXIMUS FOR BOBBYJO RETURN
⭕ 4.00 Aintree, April 5 (Grand National): I started on the right track, with my forecast yesterday that I Am Maximus would be raised 8lb to his 167 top-weight for a Grand National repeat.
And Paul Nicholls will be pleased that his Topham winner over the Aintree fences, Kandoo Kid, has a mark which would currently put him on 10st 11lb.
Willie Mullins was quick to announce that I Am Maximus will run later this month in the Bobbyjo Chase at Fairyhouse (February 22), which he won last year, on way to beating Delta Work and Minella Indo in the big one; all three go to Aintree again.
Three winners have carried 10-10 to 10-13 in the last seven Nationals, and an eye-catcher in that group this year is the big Leopardstown chase winner over Christmas, Perceval Legallois.
His form was boosted when the fourth home, Nick Rockett for Willie Mullins, went on to win the Thyestes and himself take 13lb punishment from the Grand National handicapper.
Intense Raffles is 11lb higher than when he won the Irish Grand National last Spring, and the Kim Muir winner, Inothewayurthinkin, is Aintree-rated 8lb clear of Iroko, whom he beat impressively in the Mildmay.
So it is that Gavin Cromwell has a formidable trio of contenders with Inothewayurthinkin, Percival Legallois and the Punchestown banks and Cheltenham cross-country winner, Stumptown.
Perhaps bearing in mind that Tiger Roll’s path to National glory came on the cross-country route, Stumptown is 8lb higher in the National weights than the 149 throughout his banks sequence.
In addition to I Am Maximus and Nick Rockett, Willie Mullins has Minella Cocooner, the Irish National third who afterwards won the Sandown Gold Cup but has been any price (66-1 twice and 100-1) behind Galopin des Champs in the last six weeks.
Galopin, the Gold Cup ‘monster’, would have been set 12st 8lb had he been entered for the National. And would probably be favourite!
STAR RACE: STAMINA LEGACY
⭕ 4.13 Wetherby Quality race of the day, a big-field class-3 handicap hurdle, with the only CD winner, West To The Bridge, now 12 years old.
American Sniper’s four wins have all come in November and none have been on ground worse than good to soft.
Herbiers has also kept mainly to good going. Bertie’s Ballet was a beaten favourite three times in the autumn before successfully dropping back to 2m.
Highlands Legacy has had three seconds around his maiden win on heavy at Southwell (2m) but the unexposed Kayf Tara six-year-old was unlucky (not fluent two out) upped in trip for his handicap debut at Wincanton. The winner has Aintree (3m hurdle) plans.
Hardy Du Seuil has been more convincing over 2m and Jamie Snowden’s stable is currently 2-16, with two favourites beaten into a place.
Il Va de Soi (‘it goes without saying’) landed back-to-back wins last Spring but has twice had a luckless return when the ground wasn’t soft enough at Cheltenham in November and when he was second at Sandown in January after the stable’s gallops had been flooded.
Harry Derham put things right and had four winners from six runners in four days at the start of February.
Betdaq Betting Exchange 3.3 Il Va De Soi, 6.9 Highlands Legacy
TRIPLE WINNERS AT KEMPTON
⭕ 4.25 Kempton Mark Loughnane’s runners from his Worcestershire yard at Rock are rocking right now, with Monday-Tuesday form figures 113.
Three-time CD winners, Loughnane’s Follow Your Heart (BETDAQ 5.0) and George Boughey’s Brasil Power (6.6), could both outrun Daring Legend, whose AW strike (1-7) was over 6f at Newcastle.
Daring Legend usurped the position at the front of the market held overnight by his stablemate, Bell Shot, a big drifter.
That doesn’t say much for Arctician, who was all out to beat Bell Shot here last month but is worse off at the weights. Sure enough, he, too, is a drifter.
ROSARIO’S TEMPTING AT 10.0
⭕ 7.00 Kempton We’ve got a class-2 handicap on Polytrack, a heat of the sprint series which has its biggest field in this tonight.
Cajetan (BETDAQ 4.7), a CD winner here last Spring, failed to get a run at Newcastle last month, and is better off today with the fourth horse home, Heathcliff, who is 13121 at Kempton.
Fivethousandtoone won this race last year and followed up in the final at Newcastle. But he is now with another stable.
A 10.0 offer on BETDAQ this morning, Rosario, placed three times at Group level, has not been disgraced dropping to a lower mark recently after a long break.
DAQMAN’S BETS on Betdaq Betting Exchange
★ 4.13 Wetherby (win 30, win 10)
BET 5pts win HIGHLANDS LEGACY (nap)
BET 4pts win IL VA DE SOI
4.25 Kempton (win 12 each)
BET 3pts win FOLLOW YOUR HEART
BET 2pts win BRASIL POWER
7.00 Kempton (win 30, win 11)
BET 3.3pts win ROSARIO
BET 3pts win CAJETAN
What are points? Points facilitate a staking plan, which is the secret to creating profit. One point is whatever you choose: a pound, a euro, or whatever ….
Start with a bank and decide how much you can afford to lose over a period of time, and determine the size of your bets accordingly. Daqman makes this variation every day.
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