DAQMAN IN 9-2 STRIKE FOR NINE DAYS IN PROFIT OUT OF 10: Daqman has failed to make a profit on the day just once in the last 10, after Raven’s Ark (WON 9-2) swooped at a big price at Kempton last night. His winners in the 10 days have included 12-1, 7-1 (from BETDAQ 10.0), 13-2 (from BETDAQ 9.8) and 13-2 (from BETDAQ 10.0).
HE LEADS PRICEWISE INTO YORK WITH THE SCORE ON 28-13: Today Daqman puts his slide rule on three big York races, including the International, starting daily this week with an update on winning trainers and jockeys. His main bets today will challenge Pricewise of the Racing Post, with the scores 28-13 to Daqman this season.
Headlines
🔹 YORK: CORALS BETTING ON BANKERS
🔹 ‘ROCCO’ BETDAQ KNOCKOUT AT 15.0
🔹 KAMEKO A CLASSIC FORTUNE COOKIE
🔹 RELY ON HUBERT TO HOLD HIS FORM
YORK: CORALS BETTING ON BANKERS
⚠️ HEADS UP: Paul Hanagan, who figures prominently in my York stats (below), had his first rides back at Beverley yesterday after six months off with a broken back, sustained at Newcastle in February. The former champion has five rides at York this week.
Corals bet Ryan Moore to be top jockey this week, with Jim Crowley second.
They presumably see both as having ‘walkover’ rides with, respectively, Love (Yorkshire Oaks, Thursday) and Battaash (Nunthorpe Stakes, Friday).
Top 10 Trainers with runners today (from 10-year record of winners of races scheduled at York this week): William Haggas 20, John Gosden 13, Kevin Ryan 12, Richard Hannon 10, David O’Meara 10, Richard Fahey 9, Charlie Appleby 8, Andrew Balding 7, Aidan O’Brien 7, Charles Hills 6.
Top 10 Jockeys with rides today James Doyle 13, William Buick 11, Daniel Tudhope 9, Jim Crowley 8, Paul Hanagan 8, Ryan Moore 8, Oison Murphy 8, Andrea Atzeni 5, Richard Kingscote 4, Silvestre De Sousa 4.
‘ROCCO’ BETDAQ KNOCKOUT AT 15.0
⭕ 2.45 York (Great Voltigeur Stakes) Two of the last three winners of this, Cracksman (2017) and Logician last year, went on to make their marks in, respectively, the Champion Stakes and the St Leger.
Both were trained John Gosden, who today relies on an unbeaten dual novice winner, Darain, making the headlines because he’s brother to Too Darn Hot. Of the four placed behind him so far, only one has won since, and that in the same class-5 level.
So, impressive as he was, he has to make a Christian Taylor hop, step and jump to get anywhere near Mogul (13lb higher), and even he has a one-pound deficit with Juan Elcano and Pyledriver (both on 110).
Juan Elcano, fifth in Kameko’s Guineas and third in the Dante here at York last month, has won only his maiden in six starts; always a bad sign. You just don’t know he can take a race when all are wanting to win.
There hasn’t been a penny for Pyledriver in three races this year (SPs 40-1, 18-1, 16-1), including his success in the ‘Ascot Derby’ (King Edward V11 Stakes), when Mogul was only fourth.
Mogul had to be ridden out at Goodwood to beat Highland Chief; both had been down the field in the Derby.
Like Darain, Roberto Escobarr has won a class-5 novice, albeit here at York, and – for me – the one who wouldn’t look out of place in the winners’ enclosure is Berkshire Rocco, second to English King in the Lingfield trial, and also runner-up in the Queen’s Vase to subsequent Irish Derby winner, Santiago.
As one of three improvers in the pack, Rocco is already an official 12lb in front of Darain and 18lb up on Roberto Escobarr. One of them is likely to be a serious problem for Mogul, who is no value at 2.75, which made Berkshire Rocco look huge at BETDAQ 15.0 this morning.
KAMEKO A CLASSIC FORTUNE COOKIE
⭕ 3.15 York (International Stakes) Frankel, Postponed, Ulysses, Roaring Lion. All are on the International roll of honour since 2012, with Aidan O’Brien the winningmost trainer. In official-ratings order, the runners today are:
127 GHAIYYATH (10-111 Charlie Appleby, William Buick): won the Coronation Cup from 2019 Derby winner, Anthony Van Dyck, with Gold Cup sequence winner, Stradivarius, third. Won the Eclipse Stakes from Enable.
124 LORD NORTH (121-11 John Gosden, James Doyle): ex-handicapper who improved 26lb in less than a year, from winning the Cambridgeshire through this year’s pattern-race double, the Brigadier Gerard Stakes (Group 3) and the Prince Of Wales’s Stakes (Group 1).
122 MAGICAL (101-11 Aidan O’Brien, Ryan Moore): British Champion (fillies and mares) 2018; started 2019 with a hat-trick before twice runner-up to Enable, but won third Group 1 in Irish Champion Stakes and added two out of two at the top level at the Curragh this summer.
Gets 3lb from the older colts but gives weight to the three-year-olds, Kameko and Rose Of Kildare.
119 KAMEKO (21-144 Andrew Balding, Oisin Murphy): The 2019 Futurity winner came out seven months later and won the 2,000 Guineas.
Looked edgy, and with a stamina doubt, for the Derby, fourth to runaway Serpentine. Fourth again, not clear run two out, then short of room and eased final furlong, in the Sussex Stakes.
103 ROSE OF KILDARE (1-0331 Mark Johnston, Franny Norton): Oh So Sharp winner as a juvenile; took the Musidora here at York last month, going away. Needs to improve a stone.
Verdict: Kameko hasn’t had the rub of the green since winning the Newmarket Guineas. He gets two years and 7lb from Ghaiyyath. Lord North who has emerged from handicaps, has to find even more from that 26lb trajectory.
Kameko would lift the Fortune Cookies profits to more than 160 points. He’s narrowly in front of Palace Pier on a line through Pinatubo, and today’s 10f could be his optimum trip.
Anthony Van Dyck let the Ghaiyyath form down, both before and after the Coronation Cup and, on lines through Japan, Lord North beats Ghaiyyath, who met a below-par Enable in the Eclipse.
RELY ON HUBERT TO HOLD HIS FORM
⭕ 3.45 York (2m handicap) The last two winners of this are back for more: Ralph Beckett’s Here And Now (2018 from stall 2), 5lb higher this time and drawn on the other side in 11; and Eddystone Rock (2019) 1lb lower today but eight years old now.
A better Beckett’ bet may be Make My Day, still unexposed, after winning here at York first run since gelded and switched from John Gosden, but can he step up in trip?
Monsieur Lambrays has been an improver in a visor on a sound surface and the style of his CD win last month suggests that an outside draw will help not hinder.
Any softening of the ground may not worry him; sire and grandsire both got winners with cut in the ground. I took 10.0 in the BETDAQ orange this morning.
True Destiny is consistent but his CD win over two grades lower has left him struggling a bit off his revised mark and, as a rear runner drawn low, may get in the ruck.
Rajinsky (beat True Destiny and Just In Time at Newbury) is the front-runner most likely to, from his low draw in six.
Hat-trick winner Solo Saxophone couldn’t reach the high of his revised rating on the last day.
Volcanic Sky’s five lengths Kempton strike last month now has him 18lb higher than his only winning turf mark.
Once Just Hubert hits form he can put three or four races together. He’s won from 2m to 2m 4f+, and Tom Marquand was impressed with his stamina at Goodwood. Cesarewitch third, Summer Moon, was eighth. Well drawn in 2, he should last longer over this shorter trip: BETDAQ 15.5.
He’s better off here with Rochester House, who just failed to outrun him and Just Hubert from the front at Goodwood, but has the widest draw of all today to curb his early enthusiasm: 18.5 looked like a full moon.
DAQMAN’S BETS
2.45 York (win 50)
BULL’S-EYE BET: 3.5pts win BERKSHIRE ROCCO
3.15 York (nap)
FORTUNE COOKIE
BET 20pts win KAMEKO
3.45 York (win 50)
BULL’S-EYE BET: 5pts win MONSIEUR LAMBRAYS
BULL’S-EYE BET: 3.5pts win JUST HUBERT
BULL’S-EYE BET: 2.8pts win SUMMER MOON
4.20 York (win 10)
BET 4pts win DANCE INTHESTREET
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