EURO 2016 SATURDAY: The third quarter-final between GERMANY v ITALY will be played at 8pm on Friday.
Germany v Italy
8pm This will no doubt be the most anticipated of the Quarter-Finals and hopefully it turns into a cracker and it’s not too defensive, at the time of writing the match odds are currently Germany 2.3, Italy 4.1 and the draw 3.0. Much like the Spain game, we feel that the market is pretty correct here. The Italian’s have been going out of their way to say that this isn’t like an Italian side of old and has more attacking flare, but they still have got the most cards of the tournament thus far, racking up 13 in just four games, so they haven’t totally changed their ways! That being said they out-played Spain for the whole first half in the Last 16 and finished the job solidly in the second.
Germany come into the game having yet to concede a goal in the tournament, but have obviously played lesser teams to reach this stage, and you would imagine that both sides will approach the game in a cagey fashion to begin with – an early goal would be excellent for the game from a neutral point of view however we can see this being a low scoring start. Looking at games where the sides have met too, in the last eight games, 15 of the 18 goals have been scored after half time. Under 2.5 goals is currently trading 1.52 and while that somewhat appeals, we much prefer a draw at half time, which is trading at 1.95 and that looks like the best value on offer.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Draw at Half-Time at 1.95.
Some Germany v Italy facts:
- Germany have never beaten Italy at a major tournament (D4 L4).
- Germany have yet to concede a goal at Euro 2016.
- 15 of the 18 goals in the last eight meetings between the sides have come after half time.
- Italy have kept 19 clean sheets in their 27 European Championship games, more than any other side.
- Germany averaged 69% possession in their games coming into the Quarter-Finals, the highest in the tournament.
- Muller has yet to score at the European Championships from nine games.
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