Green Bay Packers (1-1, 0-2 ATS) @ Detroit Lions (1-1, 1-1 ATS)
*ATS= against the spread
BETDAQ Line: Detroit -2.5 (52)
Significant Injuries
Green Bay: OT Bryan Bulaga (questionable– knee), LB Brad Jones (questionable– thigh), CB Demetri Goodson (questionable– concussion), S Micah Hyde (questionable– knee)
Detroit: S James Ihedigbo (questionable– knee), S Don Carey (questionable– hamstring), OT LaAdrian Waddle (questionable– calf), WR T.J. Jones (out– shoulder)
Recent Trends
Green Bay is 34-16-1 ATS in their last 51 games vs. NFC North opponents
Green Bay is 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 September games
Green Bay is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings between these 2 teams
Detroit is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. NFC North opponents
Detroit is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a loss
The OVER is 4-0 in Green Bay’s last 4 road games
The OVER is 7-3 in Detroit’s last 10 home games
The UNDER is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings between these 2 teams
Three reasons to back Green Bay
1. The Packers are just better than the Lions, plain and simple, and that’s been true throughout the Rodgers/McCarthy era. They’re 5-1 ATS the last six times these teams have met and 6-2 against the number in their last six visits to Ford Field. Getting the opportunity to back them as an underdog in Detroit is a dream come true for bettors.
2. Aaron Rodgers is future Hall of Fame quarterback who is still in his physical prime, and last week he torched the New York Jets for 346 yards and 3 touchdowns. The Lions, meanwhile, are vulnerable in the secondary, where they have injury issues at safety and talent issues at cornerback. This is a great matchup for the Green Bay offense.
3. The Lions are notoriously unreliable and they looked awful last week, managing just 7 points in a loss to Carolina. Their offense is one-dimensional and their defense has issues in the secondary. They’re not a team that can be trusted.
Three reasons to back Detroit
1. Detroit played poorly last week but they have a great track record of bouncing back from ugly performances, covering in 6 of their last 7 games following outings in which they scored 15 points or fewer. They’ve also played well in division games recently, going 5-2 against the number in their last 7 games versus NFC North opponents.
2. The Packers have a terrible defense that has surrendered 60 combined points over the last two weeks. The Lions, meanwhile, rank 2nd in the league in total defense and 4th in passing offense.
3. Green Bay is badly overvalued and has been for quite some time, as they’ve covered in just 2 of their last 12 games and are 0-2 ATS this season. A leaky defense has been the primary culprit, but their offense has lost some key personnel in recent years and isn’t what it used to be. This Packers team is ripe for the picking.
Prediction
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