Jacksonville Jaguars (0-5, 0-5 ATS) @ Tennessee Titans (1-4, 1-3-1 ATS)
*ATS= against the spread
BETDAQ Line: Tennessee -4 (43)
Significant Injuries
Jacksonville: RB Toby Gerhart (out– foot)
Tennessee: QB Jake Locker (questionable– wrist), CB Coty Sensabaugh (questionable– knee), TE Taylor Thompson (questionable– knee), RB Shonn Greene (doubtful– hamstring), OT Michael Roos (out– knee), TE Craig Stevens (out– thigh)
Recent Trends
Jacksonville is 5-1-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings between these 2 teams
Jacksonville is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games
Jacksonville is 6-20 ATS in their last 26 games overall
Tennessee is 0-7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games
Tennessee is 2-12-2 ATS in their last 16 games vs. AFC South opponents
The OVER is 8-2 in Jacksonville’s last 10 road games
The OVER is 7-2 in Tennessee’s last 9 home games
The UNDER is 6-2-1 in the last 9 meetings between these 2 teams
Three reasons to back Jacksonville
1. The Jags are coming off their best performance of the year and they’ve got an exciting young quarterback under center, as Blake Bortles has now taken the reins. Improvement was evident on both sides of the ball in last week’s game against Pittsburgh, so there’s reason for optimism as the Jags travel to face a Tennessee team that has regressed over the first 5 weeks of the season.
2. Jacksonville always seems to have success in this rivalry, compiling a 5-1-1 record against the spread in the last 7 meetings between these two teams. Tennessee has failed to cover in their last 8 home games and they’re just 2-12-2 ATS in their last 16 games against division opponents.
3. The Titans have been terrible on offense this season, ranking 29th in points scored, and this week they’ll likely be without starting quarterback Jake Locker due to a wrist injury. After surrendering a 25-point lead against the lowly Browns last week, it’s hard to believe the Titans are favored over anybody right now.
Three reasons to back Tennessee
1. The Titans have been better than the Jags in every conceivable way this season: they have a better record, they score more points, allow fewer points, and they’ve been the better team to back, as Jacksonville has failed to cover in every one of their games.
2. Jacksonville is the NFL’s worst team, a laughingstock to all but their bettors, who have taken an awful beating as the Jags have gone 6-20 ATS in their last 26 games despite being underdogs every time (literally every time). The Jaguars have lost all of their games this season by 8 points or more, they’ve yet to score more than 17 points in any game, and their defense ranks last in the league in both yards allowed and points allowed. You do not want your money anywhere near the Jacksonville Jaguars.
3. The Tennessee offense looked dynamic throughout much of last week’s game, providing hope that the team can succeed with Charlie Whitehurst under center. This week Whitehurst will face the defense that has allowed more passing yards than any team in the NFL this season, so don’t be surprised if the Titans light up the scoreboard and stay aggressive even after taking a lead.
Prediction
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