So the Grand National is upon us and the monumental task faces us again, picking a winner from 40 runners! Worse than that, all our friends will want a tip as well.
Picking the winner from this incomprehensible field is a bit of a nightmare. So it makes sense to pick more than one to cover a few angles. If you do this with level stakes however, you will almost certainly end up a long term loser. The reason for this is that the market prices the field to a mixture of demand and true probability. Therefore you must adjust your stake levels to reflect that. Rather than picking five runners and backing them with a tenner, you need to look at ‘Dutching’ to achieve the right stake and payoff. If you are not familiar with the concept of dutching, it is the process of placing more than one bet in a market to create a pre-defined profit. When Dutching you do things backwards; you decide how much money you would like to win, which runners you want to make it on, and away you go. The reason that Dutching works so well on these big meetings is that the huge amounts of money available drives competition to offer better and better prices in the market. This drives down the over-round down to a level where we can reasonably expect to have a good chance of coming out with a profit if you back more than one runner.
If you went up to a bookmaker and said ‘I would like £50 if the favourite wins, £20 if the 2nd, 3rd or 4th wins and break even if the next two come in and I’m happy to lose £50 on the outside’, he would look at you as though you had gone bonkers! While it seems impossible that you could ever place this sort of bet, it is possible using this Dutching software. You can use form, judgement or clairvoyance to pick a winner, but dutching makes finding a winner just so much easier because you are not limited to picking just one winner. You change your approach so to identify a group of horses that are likely to win or not fall and you will profit even if only one of those goes on to win.
Using the Dutching software you can ‘dutch’ your selections to a pre-defined profit or loss per selection. This allows you considerable flexibility in terms of the profit you expect to gain from your winnings selections, or the loss you are willing to bear for your errors. While picking one winner from forty is tough, you would have to suggest that getting one from any ten of forty runners is much more likely.
So, in summary, given the large number of runners in the Grand National; you should stand a good chance of over-turning the odds using a technique such as Dutching. You can now do this simply, easily and quickly using this free new software exclusive to Betdaq. To download and start using the software, visit www.dutchingsoftware.com
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