New York Giants (3-5, 3-5 ATS) @ Seattle Seahawks (5-3, 3-5 ATS)
*ATS= against the spread
BETDAQ Line: Seattle -8.5 (44.5)
Significant Injuries
New York: CB Zack Bowman (questionable– abdomen), DT Cullen Jenkins (questionable– calf), DE Mathias Kiwanuka (questionable– knee), RB Rashad Jennings (doubtful– knee)
Seattle: CB Byron Maxwell (questionable– calf), CB Marcus Burley (questionable– hamstring), G James Carpenter (doubtful– ankle), S Kam Chancellor (doubtful– groin), G Stephen Schilling (doubtful– knee), LB Malcolm Smith (doubtful– groin), TE Zach Miller (out– ankle), LB Bobby Wagner (out– toe)
Recent Trends
New York is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a double-digit home loss
New York is 5-11 ATS in their last 16 road games
New York is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning record
Seattle is 22-10 ATS in their last 32 home games
Seattle is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing record
Seattle is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall
The OVER is 4-1 in New York’s last 5 games following a loss of more than 14 points
The OVER is 4-1 in Seattle’s last 5 games following a win
The OVER is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these 2 teams
Three reasons to back New York
1. Though it hasn’t been talked about much due to their mediocre record, the New York offense has come alive over the past 6 weeks, producing 21 points or more in 5 of their past 6 games. The Seattle defense, meanwhile, has badly regressed since last season. Last week, for instance, the Seahawks surrendered 21 2nd-half points to the lowly Oakland Raiders, and that was just 2 weeks after they allowed 28 points in a loss to St. Louis. The Giants will be able to move the ball and put up some points in this game.
2. The weakness of the Giants defense is in the secondary, where they rank 28th against the pass. Fortunately for them, the Seahawks have one of the NFL’s most one-dimensional offenses, a unit that ranks 2nd in rushing but 30th in passing. This is a favorable matchup for the New York defense.
3. The Seahawks have been badly overvalued all season but especially lately, as they’ve failed to cover in 4 straight games despite winning two of those games. They’ve been especially bad against losing teams, covering just once in their last 5 games against teams with losing records.
Three reasons to back Seattle
1. The Seahawks are one of the NFL’s best teams and they’re especially good at home, where they’re 3-1 this season with wins over Green Bay and Denver, two teams who may be the favorites in their respective conferences. They’re simply much better than the Giants, a team that’s lost 3 straight games and is 1-3 on the road this season.
2. Seattle continues to win with dominant defense, as they rank 4th in total defense, 4th against the run, and 6th against the pass. They should feast on a shaky New York offense that ranks 20th in points scored and is led by turnover-prone QB Eli Manning.
3. The Giants are a bad team that regularly loses by more than 8.5 points, which is the line in this game. As a matter of fact, every single one of their 5 losses this season has come by double-digits, so Seattle bettors shouldn’t bat an eye at the number here. Keep in mind also that New York is 5-11 ATS in their last 16 road games and just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with winning records.
Prediction
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