ODDSTRACKER: A thrilling finale to the Men’s US Open in the early hours of Monday morning makes for the perfect subject for this week’s Oddstracker!
The odds showing how Thiem battled back to win his first Grand Slam
Although he came into the US Open final as the strong 1.25 favourite, for much of the match it looked as if Dominic Thiem would lose a fourth Grand Slam final and his wait for a maiden tennis major would go on.
At BETDAQ we’ve traced the Austrian’s epic comeback against Alexander Zverev on Sunday evening in this week’s ‘Oddstracker’.
Having faced Novak Djokovic in this Australian Open final and Rafael Nadal in the 2018 and 2019 French Open finals, Thiem would have been much more hopeful of finally breaking his Grand Slam duck with the lower-ranked Zverev the only man between him and that elusive trophy.
However, things couldn’t have started much worse for the 27-year-old as he lost the opening two sets, seeing his odds drift to 2.90, while Zverev’s contracted to 1.40.
It appeared lightning would strike for a fourth time as Thiem was broken early in the third set, meaning he was now out to 5.75 for victory with his Russian opponent just 1.14.
Thiem broke back quickly, though, and carried that momentum as he won the third set – a victory which BETDAQ’s punters saw as crucial as he was heavily backed into 1.91. With the set advantage, Zverev was the favourite, although only marginally at 1.85.
The odds suddenly flip-flopped when Thiem broke in the fourth and when he successfully sewed up that set, he was just 1.30 for a first major, while Zverev was now 3.40.
The remarkable comeback looked near completion when the Austrian broke the Zverev serve in the fifth, meaning he was only 1.11 for that elusive victory. Zverev, seemingly down and out, was now 7.0.
However, the drama was only just beginning as Zverev broke Thiem’s serve and with the momentum now in his favour, he was the overwhelming favourite at 1.13.
Amazingly the same thing happened again soon after, but this time it was Thiem who turned the tide on Zverev’s serve and the third seed was now only 1.07 for victory.
The ebb and flow didn’t end there, though, as Zverev remarkably broke back again to take the incredible match into a deciding set tie-break.
There was little to split them in the betting at that point, with Zverev the marginal favourite at 1.75, while Thiem was 2.05.
A thrilling tie-break ensued, but it was Thiem who emerged victorious 8-6 and in doing so, came out on top in one of the most thrilling finals in recent memory.