THE FINAL DAY OF THE PREMIER LEAGUE: The Champions are already crowned and the relegation places sorted but still remaining business of European places for next season up for grabs.
Arsenal v Aston Villa
We start the final day of the Premier League with the shortest priced favourite, Arsenal are currently 1.17 to beat the lowly Aston Villa and who can argue with that price after the season Villa have had! They haven’t won an away game since beating Bournemouth on the first day of the season, and they’ve lost 14 of the last 17 away from home. Arsenal on the handicap appeals here but it’s not one to go mad about given that they have averaged just 1.5 goals per game at home in the league this season but they should be able to find the net a few times against this Villa side – they’re 1.77 -2 on the Asian Handicap and Any Other Home Win would be worthy of a bet at 3.0+ too.
You can see all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQArsVil
Chelsea v Leicester
There are reasons to back Leicester here, and they look huge value at their current 3.2. They have lost just two of their last 21 away games in the Premier League, and showed no signs of easing up after winning the title by thrashing Everton the weekend, Chelsea meanwhile have only record five wins at home all season in the league, one against Arsenal and the other four were against the current bottom four in the table – not the record of a side you’d want to back at 2.32 against the Champions. They’ve also now gone 11 home matches without a clean sheet, and with Leicester’s great away record this season, they do look to be overpriced at 3.2 – draw-no-bet is also of interest around the 2.4 mark which looks on the large side too.
You can see all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQCheLeic
Everton v Norwich
Not a match to lump on here with Everton sacking their manager midweek and Norwich going down after Sunderland’s midweek win. Norwich have lost eight of their last nine away games and with form like that it’s easy to see why they finished in the bottom three – Everton have been poor at home this season however they have done well against teams near the bottom of the table and given Norwich’s away form and now with having nothing to play for, it’s worth having a small bet on Everton around the 1.8 mark.
You can see all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQEveNor
Manchester United v Bournemouth
Manchester United bring down the curtain on another Premier League season at Old Trafford where their fans have seen the fewest goals of any ground in the league this season, they’ve only conceded eight (the fewest in league) however they’ve only scored 24 – whether or not Louis Van Gaal will be allowed to see out his contract, we’ll just have to wait and see, but hopefully he will allow his players to play with the freedom they deserve in their final league game. Under 2.5 goals could be worth a bet here at around the 2.4 mark though, it could be an odd atmosphere at the ground with most fans probably more interested in what is happening with Swansea v Manchester City, where United need a Swansea win and to win themselves to finish top four.
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Newcastle v Tottenham
It’s a shame from a betting point of view that Newcastle were confirmed as going down midweek with Sunderland winning, as Spurs could have been a good lay here at 1.85. Newcastle are unbeaten in their last five home games and after Southampton beating Spurs when their title hopes were gone, it could have been another good chance to lay Spurs again – however, Newcastle now have nothing to play for and after what must have had a sickening week, it will take a lot for them to pick themselves up again – on balance Spurs are probably a better back than lay given the gulf in class between the sides.
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Southampton v Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace’s focus seems to have been on the FA Cup for quite a while now and their results in the league have reflected that, Southampton meanwhile are finishing the season in superb form and have won four of their last five, the other being a draw. It’s hard to see Crystal Palace caring too much about this fixture given the FA Cup final is next weekend and Southampton on the handicap’s here seems like the best call. They’re currently trading around 2.0 -1.5 goals.
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Stoke v West Ham
The Hammers bid a great farewell to Upton Park midweek when they beat United 3-2 in a highly entertaining game. They’ve now seen over 3.5 goals in four of their last five matches, the other being a 3-0 win for them – they’ve had a wonderful season and should be able to finish it well here against an out of form Stoke side who have lost four of their last five, drawing the other. They are without a win in their last four home games and have kept just one clean sheet in their last 15 Premier League games – not the kind of stats you want going up against this West Ham side full of goals. Over 3.5 goals is worth a bet at 2.6 or bigger given West Ham’s games this season and West Ham at 2.2 in the 90 minutes market also appeals.
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Swansea v Manchester City
The biggest game of the day, with Manchester City needing just not to lose to secure the final Champions League spot – Manchester United won’t want to know that they’ve won six of the last seven meetings with Swansea, drawing the other. However, Swansea have won their last four at home and just conceded three goals in their last seven home matches – so maybe there is some hope for United fans. It is hard to see how City fail to come away with any points here though and given that they will certainly be more up for this game than Swansea with a Champions League spot at stake, they should get the job done, but you couldn’t back a side at sub 1.6 who have just four wins in 15 away games.
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Watford v Sunderland
After securing their place in the Premier League for another season midweek, Sunderland must be riding on a high and they could be worth supporting here at around the 3.75 mark. Watford have little to play for and in 2016 thus far only won four league games from 18, not the stats of a side you want to back at around the 2.1 mark, they’ve also lost 11 of those so Sunderland could offer some value to sneak a win here given the good feeling that’s around the club at the moment.
You can see all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQWatSun
West Brom v Liverpool
It’s not too surprising to see Liverpool as big as 3.1 given they’re highly likely to have one eye on the Europa League Final and you should see Klopp make a few changes to the starting XI. West Brom don’t make too much appeal from a betting point of view here at around the 2.44 mark so maybe the best option to to look to the goals market for some value. Liverpool have bee full of goals recently finding the net in each of their last 13, and while West Brom have failed to find the net in their last three at home, this game could have an open-friendly type feeling to it and over 2.5 goals is currently trading 1.8.
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