PREMIER LEAGUE: We preview Saturday’s Premier League games with extended stats and a recommended BETDAQ bets.
BOURNEMOUTH V MANCHESTER UNITED
12.30pm Another action packed Premier League Weekend begins with Manchester United traveling to take on Bournemouth. United got back to winning ways last weekend at home against Everton however they remain “dodgy” away from home and this will be a very interesting tie. Bournemouth have been superb thus far this season – they currently sit three points ahead of United in the table in 6th position and they made it to the Quarter Final of the League Cup during the week. Everything points to this being an incredibly tough test for United – especially as they have looked poor away from home this season – and we simply have to lay Jose Mourinho’s men at 2.06. It’s the first game of the weekend; but United look the best lay of the weekend at these odds.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Manchester United at 2.06.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQBnmMun
MATCH STATS
- After winning their first Premier League meeting with Man Utd (2-1 in December 2015), Bournemouth are winless in their last five against the Red Devils (D1 L4).
- Manchester United have won their last two Premier League visits to the Vitality Stadium, by an aggregate score of 5-1.
- Bournemouth have kept a clean sheet in each of their last three Premier League games – they’ve never done so in four consecutively in the top-flight.
- Bournemouth are unbeaten in six Premier League home games (W4 D2), with their last defeat at the Vitality Stadium coming against Manchester United in April (0-2).
- Man Utd have won just two of their last seven away Premier League games (W2 D2 L3).
- In their 10 Premier League games this season, Man Utd have conceded 17 goals and kept just one clean sheet; after 10 games last term, they’d conceded just four goals and kept eight clean sheets.
- Man Utd striker Romelu Lukaku has scored six goals in his last three Premier League meetings with Bournemouth, including netting in both matches for the Red Devils last season.
- Man Utd’s Anthony Martial has scored in each of his last three Premier League games (4 goals in total) – he’s never scored in four in a row in the competition.
- Under Jose Mourinho, Paul Pogba has been directly involved in more goals in all competitions than any other Man Utd player (20 goals, 22 assists).
- Bournemouth’s Callum Wilson has been directly involved in nine goals in 10 Premier League games this season (5 goals, 4 assists) – just one fewer than he was in 28 games last term (8 goals, 2 assists).
CARDIFF V LEICESTER
3pm Leicester have to return to action on Saturday afternoon after the tragic events after their game against West Ham. They’ve lost their owner who took them from such a low place in football to the highest high they could have possibly imagined – winning the Premier League. He will never be forgotten in Leicester and the sadness is bound to effect their season – it’s such a huge loss and a sad situation. Obviously their game was postponed in the League Cup during the week but now they get back to business against Cardiff who have pulled themselves out of the bottom three in recent weeks. They lost last weekend away to Liverpool; however you can hardly expect anything else given the way Liverpool are playing this season. Cardiff have been way better in front of their home fans as we saw with their 4-2 win over Fulham prior to the Liverpool game. Leicester look short at 2.24 and we feel this game will be closer than those odds suggest so from a value point of view – we’re happy to lay Leicester.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Leicester at 2.24.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQCarLei
MATCH STATS
- Cardiff have lost just one of their last six meetings with Leicester in all competitions (W2 D3), with this their first match since March 2013 (1-1 in the Championship).
- Leicester have won their last three top-flight meetings with Cardiff, by an aggregate score of 10-0. However, this is the first such meeting since April 1962 (Cardiff 0-4 Leicester).
- Cardiff are unbeaten in four home games against Leicester in all competitions (W1 D3), since a 2-3 defeat in the 2009-10 Championship play-offs.
- Cardiff are looking to secure consecutive home top-flight wins in the same season for the first time since their last two home matches in the 1961-62 campaign.
- Cardiff have conceded 29 goals in their last 11 home Premier League games, keeping just one clean sheet in that time.
- Leicester have won six of their last eight Premier League games against promoted sides (D1 L1).
- Leicester have scored at least once in each of their last 12 Premier League games, though they’ve ended up losing more of these games than they’ve won (W5 D1 L6).
- None of Leicester’s last 12 away Premier League games have finished level (W4 D0 L8).
- Callum Paterson has scored in his last two Premier League games for Cardiff and could become the first player to score in three consecutive games in the competition for them.
- This will be Cardiff manager Neil Warnock’s 22nd meeting with Leicester in all competitions (W8 D4 L9), and only his second in the top-flight, after his Crystal Palace side beat Nigel Pearson’s Leicester 2-0 in September 2014.
EVERTON V BRIGHTON
3pm This should be a very interesting clash as Brighton are in good form at the moment. They don’t have a good record away against Everton though – they’ve never won here! They arrive off the back of three 1-0 wins though and still happily in the middle of the table. Everton have been hard to predict thus far this season and have quite an even mix of results with four wins, three draws and three losses from their ten games. They are usually better at home compared to away from home; however we feel that they look too short here at 1.68. Those odds very very short considering that Brighton are in good form and similar to the Leicester price above; we’re very happy to lay these odds from a value point of view.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Everton at 1.68.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQEvrBri
MATCH STATS
- Everton are unbeaten in their last four league meetings with Brighton (W2 D2) since a 3-1 away defeat in February 1982.
- Brighton have never won away at Everton in any competition, drawing two and losing four of their six visits.
- Everton have won their last two Premier League home games without conceding. They last won three in a row without reply in the competition in March 2017.
- Brighton have won their last three Premier League games, all by a 1-0 scoreline. The last team to win four in a row by this scoreline were Leicester in April 2016.
- Brighton are looking to win four consecutive top-flight matches for the first time since May 1981.
- Brighton have kept a clean sheet in each of their last three Premier League games – more than they had in their previous 24 in the competition (2).
- Three of Everton’s last four Premier League goals at Goodison Park have been scored by substitutes – prior to this, only one of their previous 26 home league goals were netted by subs.
- Seven of Everton’s last eight Premier League goals have been scored in the second half of games.
- Everton’s Gylfi Sigurdsson has scored five goals in his last six Premier League games – more than he had in his previous 31 for the Toffees in the competition (4).
- Glenn Murray has scored six of Brighton’s 11 Premier League goals in 2018-19 (55%), the only player to score more than half of his clubs’ goals in the competition this term.
NEWCASTLE V WATFORD
3pm Newcastle grinded out a 0-0 draw away against Southampton last weekend to get into 19th position in the table. The fact that they aren’t rock bottom any more won’t ease the tension around St James’ Park though. They have been very poor thus far this season; as their place in the table reflects and to be honest Southampton have been poor too so the 0-0 away from home isn’t much to write home about. This is the most open market of the weekend with the match odds at the time of writing trading; Newcastle 2.82, Watford 2.88 and the draw is 3.3. Newcastle are yet to even draw a home game this season and although they have had some tough fixtures; they will need to turn their home form around quickly if they want to stay up. Watford have been impressive this season and bar a 4-0 blip against Bournemouth they have been pretty reliable form wise. Given the form of both teams; we simply have to be against Newcastle here and we’re happy to lay 2.82.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Newcastle at 2.82.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQNwcWat
MATCH STATS
- After winning two and drawing two of their first four Premier League meetings with Watford, Newcastle have lost the last four in a row against the Hornets.
- Watford have won their last four Premier League meetings with Newcastle – only against Stoke (5 between 1983 and 2015) have they had a longer winning run against an opponent in the top-flight.
- Newcastle are winless in their 10 Premier League games so far this season – they’ve never failed to win any of their first 11 in a single top-flight campaign before.
- Newcastle have lost all five of their Premier League home games so far this season – no top-flight side have ever lost their first six, while the last side to do so in any division were Watford in 1990-91 (second tier).
- Watford have won their last two Premier League games without conceding – they last won three in a row without reply in December 2015.
- Watford have won seven points away from home in the Premier League this season (W2 D1 L1) – two more than they earned from their last 48 available on the road (W1 D2 L13).
- Newcastle have failed to score in four of their last five Premier League games, with their only goals in this run coming in the first 10 minutes of their 2-3 defeat at Man Utd.
- Watford’s Andre Gray has scored in both of his Premier League appearances against Newcastle, netting in both such games for the Hornets last season.
- Watford’s Roberto Pereyra has scored as many goals in 10 Premier League games this season as he did in 32 in the competition last season (5).
- Watford’s Roberto Pereyra is looking to score in three consecutive big five European league games for the first time in his career.
WEST HAM V BURNLEY
3pm This is bound to be a very close game with both sides only separated by goal difference in the Premier League table. Both sides will tell you that they are having a disappointing season and perhaps home advantage will play a big part in this tie. Burnley’s problem this season has been that they are just conceding too many goals – only Cardiff and Fulham have conceded more and they both sit in the bottom four – although Burnley aren’t too far ahead of them! West Ham have come out the wrong end of some very close games recently however they managed to stop Chelsea from winning here and beat United prior to that run. We feel that they can get back to winning ways here and we’re happy to back them at 1.83.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
West Ham to beat Burnley at 1.83.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQWhmBur
MATCH STATS
- West Ham have won five of their eight Premier League meetings with Burnley (D1 L2), though they failed to win either encounter last season (D1 L1).
- Burnley won this exact fixture 3-0 last season, having lost their last five visits to West Ham in the top-flight.
- West Ham haven’t conceded more than once in any of their last seven Premier League matches, shipping six goals in total.
- Burnley have conceded 21 goals in their 10 Premier League matches this season – it took them 24 games to concede the same amount last term.
- Burnley’s last two Premier League games have ended 0-5 (vs Man City) and 0-4 (vs Chelsea). Only two teams have ever lost three consecutive Premier League games by a margin of 4+ goals (West Ham in March 2008, Wigan in August 2010).
- West Ham have dropped more points from winning positions than any other Premier League side so far this season (8).
- Burnley have conceded more goals from outside the box than any other Premier League side so far this season (6), with four of their last seven conceded coming from distance.
- No keepers have made more saves this season than West Ham’s Lukasz Fabianski or Burnley’s Joe Hart (44 each).
- Chris Wood was involved in all three of Burnley’s goals in their 3-0 win away against West Ham last season, scoring twice and assisting another in a 29-minute substitute appearance.
- Burnley boss Sean Dyche is unbeaten against West Ham’s Manuel Pellegrini, winning one and drawing one against Pellegrini’s Manchester City side in 2014-15.
ARSENAL V LIVERPOOL
5.30pm This is undoubtedly the highlight of the weekend. Unfortunately Arsenal lost their winning last weekend with a late Crystal Palace goal; however they still impressed away from home again. Everyone has been saying that this is a different Arsenal side this season; and it is – they look to have far more backbone, especially away from home, than they have had in recent seasons. However they haven’t really be truly tested against one of the big sides in the league and this will be great to see where they stand against one of the leagues best teams. Liverpool have been superb thus far this season and it’s hard to see how Arsenal can stop them from scoring at some stage. However, Arsenal have been banging in the goals for fun too this season – so an entertaining game awaits!
The match odds at the time of writing currently trade; Arsenal 3.75, Liverpool 2.06 and the draw is 3.9. Although Liverpool have been impressive this season, we feel that they are too short here at 2.06. Arsenal look big at 3.75 in front of their home fans and full of confidence – some of the football they have been putting together lately has been very impressive and from a value point of view we’re happy to lay Liverpool at 2.06. We can see this game being way closer than those odds suggest.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Liverpool at 2.06.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQArlLvr
MATCH STATS
- Arsenal are winless in their last six Premier League meetings with Liverpool (D3 L3), their longest such run against them since a run of 12 between 1994 and 2000.
- Liverpool have won just two of their last 18 away league games against Arsenal (D8 L8), though these victories have come in their last six such visits.
- Liverpool have scored at least three goals in each of their last five league games against Arsenal (17 in total). Liverpool have never done this in six consecutive top-flight games against an opponent, while no side has ever done so in six against the Gunners.
- The last five Premier League meetings between Arsenal and Liverpool have produced a total of 27 goals (5.4 per game).
- Arsenal have scored at least twice in each of their last nine Premier League games, remaining unbeaten in their last eight (W7 D1).
- Arsenal haven’t been ahead at half-time in any of their 10 Premier League matches this season. Indeed, if games finished at the 45 minute mark, the Gunners would be 17th in the Premier League table.
- Liverpool are unbeaten in their last 11 Premier League games (W9 D2 L0), conceding just four goals in this run.
- Liverpool’s Roberto Firmino has both scored and assisted in each of his last three Premier League games against Arsenal – no player has ever done this in four consecutive games against an opponent in the competition (Steven Gerrard vs Newcastle and Theo Walcott vs West Ham also three).
- Liverpool’s Mohamed Salah has scored in all three of his Premier League games against Arsenal (one for Chelsea, two for Liverpool). Only Charlie Austin has a better 100% strike rate against the Gunners in the competition (4).
- Liverpool manager Jurgen Klopp is unbeaten in all five of his Premier League games against Arsenal – only Jose Mourinho (12), Gerry Francis (8) and Alex Ferguson (6) have waited longer for their first defeat against them in the competition.
- The only previous meeting between Arsenal’s Unai Emery and Liverpool’s Jurgen Klopp was the 2016 Europa League final – Emery’s Sevilla beat Liverpool 3-1.
- Arsenal forward Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang has scored five goals in his last three Premier League matches.
WOLVERHAMPTON V TOTTENHAM
7.45pm We don’t usually get to enjoy a Premier League game at this time on a Saturday night! This looks like a very tricky away tie on paper for Spurs; however they will probably be happy to get away from Wembley after the pitch on Monday night! That turned into a farcical situation to have such a high profile game against City on such a poor pitch. Wolves have got used to life in the Premier League very quickly and they are having a very impressive season. They had a good summer, and now their plans are going very well – it’s a sign of how many people have been impressed by them that a side like Spurs at 2.3 to beat them away from home. Not many newly promoted sides who see those odds! We feel that the 2.3 on Spurs is too big – they have been grinded out some good results away from home this season and we expect that to continue here. Wolves will probably set out to stop Spurs, however they have a quality attacking line up and it’s hard to not see them scoring at some stage – a 1-0 win is very likely.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Tottenham to beat Wolverhampton at 2.3.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQWolTot
MATCH STATS
- Wolves are winless in their last four Premier League meetings with Tottenham (D2 L2) since winning both games against them in the 2009-10 season.
- Tottenham have won four of their last six top-flight games against Wolves at Molineux (D1 L1).
- This will be the fourth Premier League game kicking off at this timeslot on a Saturday, after Southampton 4-0 Arsenal (26/12/2015), Leicester 2-2 Man Utd (23/12/2017) and Tottenham 1-3 Man City (14/04/2018).
- Tottenham are unbeaten in their last 38 Premier League games against promoted sides (W35 D3). Wolves were the last promoted side to beat Spurs twice in the same season (2009-10).
- Wolves have failed to score in their last two league games – they have never failed to score in three consecutive league matches under Nuno Espirito Santo.
- Spurs have won 71% of their Premier League points this season (15/21) in away matches – only Crystal Palace (75%) and Newcastle United (100%) have a higher percentage.
- Wolves have won none of their last 24 Premier League matches against sides starting the day in the top half of the table (D10 L14) since winning 1-0 against Man Utd in February 2011.
- Tottenham had just four shots in their previous Premier League match against Man City – their fewest in a game under Maurico Pochettino; they last had as few as four in January 2014, also against Man City.
- Despite playing just 250 minutes of Premier League football this season, no player has completed more dribbles than Wolves’ Adama Traore (24) – the only player with as many is Chelsea’s Eden Hazard, who has played 417 more minutes.
- Since the start of the 2014-15 season, Tottenham’s Harry Kane has scored 25 Premier League goals against newly promoted sides – six more than any other player.
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