PREMIER LEAGUE: We preview Saturday’s Premier League games – all with extended stats and a recommended BETDAQ bet.
BOURNEMOUTH V LIVERPOOL
12.30pm We have a very busy day in the Premier League today with eight action packed games! We start with Bournemouth hosting Liverpool would were in trouble against Burnley midweek however bounced back to win – they face another tricky away game here however the market is confident on an away win. The match odds at the time of writing currently trade; Bournemouth 5.9, Liverpool 1.62 and the draw is 4.6. Bournemouth ended a run of four losses when beating Huddersfield on Tuesday however they have had a tough run of fixtures – United and Arsenal both won 2-1 here and they lost 3-1 away to City. We feel that Liverpool look a bit short here at 1.62 based on how Bournemouth are playing – we expect a much closer game than those odds suggest and from a value point of view, we’re happy to lay Liverpool at the odds.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Liverpool at 1.62.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQBneLiv
MATCH STATS
- Bournemouth have lost four of their six Premier League matches against Liverpool (W1 D1), losing both matches last season by an aggregate score of 0-7.
- Liverpool’s only defeat in 13 previous matches against Bournemouth in all competitions (W9 D3) came at the Vitality Stadium in the Premier League in December 2016; the Reds lost 3-4.
- Bournemouth had 43 shots in their first three Premier League games against Liverpool, while facing 47; in their last three, they’ve had just 20 shots while facing 61.
- Bournemouth’s win against Huddersfield in the midweek fixtures ended a run of four successive defeats for the Cherries.
- Liverpool have won 39 points from 15 league games this season, which is their best-ever start to a top-flight league season. Only six sides (including Manchester City this season) have won more points from their opening 15 league games to a top-flight season (based on three points for a win).
- Against no side has Bournemouth’s Eddie Howe lost more games as a manager in all competitions than he has against Liverpool (7, level with Man City).
- Liverpool’s Roberto Firmino has been involved in five goals in his last five Premier League appearances against Bournemouth (3 goals, 2 assists).
- Bournemouth’s Callum Wilson has scored eight goals in his 15 Premier League games this season – he last scored more in a league campaign in 2014-15, when he netted 20 goals in 45 Championship games in Bournemouth’s promotion season.
- Alisson has remained unbeaten in his opening 15 league matches as a Liverpool player; equalling the club record in the Premier League set by Javier Mascherano in November 2007. If he plays and doesn’t lose this match, he’ll set the new outright club record.
- James Milner could make his 500 th Premier League appearance in this match, becoming the 13th player to reach this landmark. Should he play in this game, he’ll become the 2nd youngest to do so aged 32y 338d old, behind only Gareth Barry (32y 219d).
ARSENAL V HUDDERSFIELD
3pm Arsenal have come through two tough games against Spurs and United with four points and a higher reputation. They could have easily had six points too; they performed well at Old Trafford but had to settle for a draw in the end. They are now 20 games unbeaten in all competitions and have an excellent record at home against sides similar to Huddersfield. We expect a smooth win for the Gunners here and feel that they can cover the handicap too. Huddersfield got some very big points a couple of games ago however they arrive here having lost their last two against Brighton and Bournemouth – Arsenal are 1.9 -1.5 goals which looks massive.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Arsenal -1.5 goals to beat Bournemouth at 1.9.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQArsHdd
MATCH STATS
- Arsenal won both Premier League meetings with Huddersfield Town last season (5-0 at home, 1-0 away) and are unbeaten in 10 games against them in all competitions (W8 D2).
- Huddersfield have lost eight of their last nine top-flight matches against Arsenal (W1), failing to score in each defeat.
- Arsenal are now 20 games unbeaten in all competitions (W15 D5 L0); their longest run without a defeat since November 2007 (28 unbeaten).
- Huddersfield have collected just two points in their seven away Premier League matches against the ‘big six’ clubs (W0 D2 L5), scoring just twice in those seven games.
- Since winning 3-0 away at Crystal Palace in their first ever Premier League match, Huddersfield have failed to win any of their subsequent four league visits to London (W0 D1 L3), scoring just once and conceding 10 goals.
- Arsenal have lost just two of their last 19 Premier League home games (W13 D4 L2), with both of those defeats coming against Manchester City.
- Arsenal have won 16 of their last 17 Premier League games at 3pm on a Saturday, including each of the last nine. The only exception in that run was a 0-0 draw vs Middlesbrough in October 2016.
- Although Huddersfield have only won one of their last 10 away games in the Premier League (D5 L4), they’ve not lost back-to-back games on the road in the competition since March.
- Arsenal haven’t led any of their 15 Premier League games at half-time this season (drawing 11, losing four), but they have scored the most second half goals in the competition (25).
- In Arsenal’s 5-0 win over Huddersfield in the Premier League at the Emirates last season, Mesut Özil had a hand in three goals, scoring once and assisting twice.
BURNLEY V BRIGHTON
3pm This is a very interest clash with a very open market. The match odds at the time of writing currently trade; Burnley 2.94, Brighton 2.88 and the draw is 3.15. The last five league meetings between these sides have ended with a draw; so we expect another very close affair! Burnley find themselves sitting in 19th position, on the same number of points as 20th and having a very tough time of things – if they can’t stop conceding goals it looks like they’ll be heading down to the Championship after managing to qualify for Europe last season! Brighton have just got into the Top Ten after beating Palace midweek and arrive here off the back of two wins – there’s only one team in form here and we have to lay Burnley at the odds. We expect a close game here but Burnley aren’t playing well enough to be sub 3.0 – having the draw and Brighton on side looks a good play.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Burnley at 3.0.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQBrlBri
MATCH STATS
- Both Premier League meetings between Burnley and Brighton & Hove Albion ended goalless last season, despite both teams attempting at least 10 shots in each match (43 in total).
- The last five league meetings between Burnley and Brighton have ended as draws – the Seagulls are unbeaten in eight league games against the Clarets (W3 D5) since a 0-1 defeat in the Championship in April 2012.
- Burnley vs Brighton is one of just three fixtures in top-flight history to have seen the first two fixtures end goalless, along with Glossop vs Notts County (1899-1900) and Arsenal vs Derby County (1904-1905) – no fixture has ever seen the first three matches end goalless.
- Burnley have won just nine points from their opening 15 games this season. Just three of the previous 18 teams to have won nine points or fewer from their first 15 games of a Premier League season have avoided relegation: Sunderland in 2013-14, Wigan in 2007-08 and Coventry in 1995-96.
- Burnley have allowed the opponents the most shots (316), most shots on target (106) and have given their opponents the best quality chances (29.5 xG conceded) in the Premier League this season.
- These two clubs have attempted the fewest shots on target in the Premier League so far this season: Burnley (40) and Brighton & Hove Albion (44)
- Brighton are looking to secure consecutive away wins in the Premier League for only the second time, also doing so in October/November 2017.
- Brighton have won six of their 15 Premier League games this season – it took them 26 games to reach six wins in the competition last term.
- There has been a red card in each of Brighton’s last four Premier League games (2 for Brighton, 2 against). The only team to see at least one sending off in five consecutive games in the competition are Liverpool (September/October 1999).
- Brighton’s Florin Andone has scored in his last two Premier League matches, and could become only the third Romanian player to score in three consecutive Premier League apps, after Dan Petrescu (August 1997) and Adrian Mutu (September 2003).
CARDIFF V SOUTHAMPTON
3pm What a huge game at the bottom of the table! Much like the game above, we have another very open market with the match odds at the time of writing currently trading; Cardiff 2.96, Southampton 2.74 and the draw is 3.3. Southampton are currently sitting in the bottom three on nine points and while Cardiff are in 16th, they are only two points ahead. Both sides lost 3-1 away from home midweek but looking at the stats we feel that we have the wrong favourites here. We feel that Cardiff should be favourites considering they have home advantage – they have won three of their last four home Premier League games and we have noted all season that they look much better in front of their home fans. Southampton haven’t had a win in their last 13 games and we simply have to lay them at 2.74 which looks very, very short.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Southampton at 2.74.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQCarSou
MATCH STATS
- Cardiff and Southampton last faced in league competition in 2013-14 in the Premier League – Saints won 3-0 at the Cardiff City Stadium but the Bluebirds won 1-0 at St. Mary’s.
- Prior to winning 3-0 away at Cardiff City on Boxing Day in 2013, Southampton had lost seven consecutive league matches there between 1976 and 2011.
- Cardiff have won three of their last four Premier League home games (L1), as many as they had in their previous 18 in the competition (W3 D5 L10).
- Cardiff have come from behind to win their last two home Premier League games – only twice has a club ever done so in three consecutive games at home, Blackburn in November 2009 and Newcastle in March 2013.
- Cardiff haven’t kept a clean sheet in any of their last 12 Premier League games. Only Fulham are on a longer current run without one in the competition (15).
- Southampton’s current 13-game winless run is (W0 D7 L6) is their longest such-run in all competitions since October 1998 (also 13 matches).
- Southampton striker Charlie Austin has been involved in nine goals in nine Premier League starts against newly-promoted opposition (8 goals, 1 assist).
- Cardiff manager Neil Warnock has lost his last three league matches against Southampton, doing so in April 2009 and December 2014 with Crystal Palace and March 2012 with Leeds United.
- Southampton’s new appointment Ralph Hasenhüttl will be the Premier League’s first Austrian manager. None of the last seven permanent Southampton managers have won their first Premier League game in charge of the club (D4 L3), with Paul Sturrock vs Liverpool the last to do so in March 2004.
- New Southampton manager Ralph Hasenhüttl won 120 points in the Bundesliga during his two-season spell as manager of RB Leipzig; only Bayern Munich (166) won more in this period.
MANCHESTER UNITED V FULHAM
3pm Manchester United had to come from behind twice against Arsenal during the week to get a draw and while Fulham have been playing poorly this season; it would still take a brave punter to back United at 1.37 today! It’s difficult to support Fulham though and all the stats point to a home win, although it’s hard to see it being easy considering that Untied aren’t exactly banging in the goals for fun this season. Fulham have lost their last six away Premier League games and have have conceded plenty of goals along the way – they have a terrible record against United too losing 21 of their last 23 trips to Old Trafford. We expect a United win but we don’t feel that it will be easy – they just aren’t playing fluid football and struggling to break down teams. We’re happy to take a chance on under 2.5 goals at 2.52 which looks worth a play in what could be a poor game to watch – perhaps a United lay is an option at 1.37 for the brave?
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Under 2.5 goals at 2.52.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQMunFul
MATCH STATS
- Manchester United and Fulham last met in February 2014 in the Premier League – a 2-2 draw in which the Cottagers equalised in the 90 th minute via Darren Bent.
- Fulham have lost 21 of their last 23 away matches against Manchester United in all competitions (W1 D1) – their only win in this sequence was a 3-1 victory in the Premier League in October 2003.
- In their last meeting in February 2014, Manchester United produced a tally of 81 crosses against Fulham – the most in a Premier League match since the 2003-04 campaign.
- Fulham have only lost more Premier League matches against Arsenal (19) than against Manchester United (18).
- Among Premier League fixtures to have seen at least 50 goals scored, Manchester United vs Fulham has seen the highest percentage of goals in the first half (51 of 86, 59%) – only two of the 26 Premier League meetings between the teams have been goalless at half-time.
- Manchester United have made 46 changes to their starting XI overall this season; including seven in their midweek draw with Arsenal. No side have made as many as the Red Devils this season in the Premier League.
- Fulham are winless in 10 Premier League away games (D1 L9), losing their last six in a row. They last lost more consecutive away in the competition in March 2006 (8).
- This is the 10 th meeting between Man Utd boss Jose Mourinho and Fulham’s Claudio Ranieri in all competitions – Mourinho has won his last three against the Italian since losing in his final match in charge of Chelsea in December 2015 against Leicester City.
- Fulham boss Claudio Ranieri could become only the third manager to win a Premier League game away at Old Trafford with two different clubs, after Martin O’Neill and Rafael Benitez.
- Jose Mourinho will look to seal his 50 th Premier League victory as Manchester United manager in this game – his 92nd game in the competition at the Red Devils. He sealed his 50th Premier League win in his first spell at Chelsea in his 63 rd game and in his 50 th league win during his second spell at the Blues in his 73 rd game.
WEST HAM V CRYSTAL PALACE
3pm West Ham come into this fixture off the back of two wins with six goals and now they have a chance to win three games in a row for the first time since 2016. They have a great chance to do so too against a Crystal Palace side who have only managed one draw from their last four away games in all competitions; although that draw did come at Old Trafford against Manchester United. Palace lost 3-1 midweek away from home against Brighton and with West Ham in excellent form we’re happy to back the home side here at 2.3 which looks at least ten ticks too big. They have a good record against Palace and Palace haven’t managed a win away from home in the Premier League in their last five.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
West Ham to beat Crystal Palace at 2.3.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQWesPal
MATCH STATS
- West Ham are unbeaten in their last six Premier League games against Crystal Palace (W3 D3) since a 1-3 defeat in February 2015 at Upton Park.
- Both Premier League meetings between West Ham and Crystal Palace ended as draws last season – prior to that, only two of the last 16 top-flight games between the sides had ended as draws.
- The side scoring first in Premier League fixtures between West Ham and Crystal Palace have never lost (W10 D4).
- West Ham are looking to win three consecutive Premier League games for the first time since December 2016. Their last two wins have been 3-0 and 3-1, they’ve not won three in a row while scoring at least three goals in the top-flight since October 1982.
- Each of West Ham’s last 10 Premier League wins have been by a margin of two or more goals – their previous 10 such wins in the competition had come over a period of 25 victories between January 2016 and January 2018.
- After winning two of their first three away league games this season, Crystal Palace are winless in their last five on the road (D1 L4).
- Following his brace against Cardiff, West Ham’s Lucas Perez’s first three Premier League goals have all been from the bench. The last player to score his first four in the competition as a sub was Nolito in December 2016.
- Crystal Palace boss Roy Hodgson has managed just one win in 16 away London derbies in all competitions as a manager (D4 L11), though that win came on the opening day of this season at Fulham.
- West Ham manager Manuel Pellegrini won six of his seven meetings with Crystal Palace in all competitions (L1) when he was manager of Man City between the 2013-14 and 2015-16 campaigns.
- After netting in three of his first four Premier League appearances this season, Crystal Palace’s Wilfried Zaha has failed to score in his last nine in the competition.
CHELSEA V MANCHESTER CITY
5.30pm This is undoubtedly the highlight of the weekend and Chelsea have plenty of questions to answer after losing 2-1 Wolves on Wednesday night. After losing 3-1 to Spurs recently too, City could really wave goodbye to Chelsea’s Premier League title hopes – if they had any prior to today! City grinded out a 2-1 win away to Watford during the week and it seems impossible to stop them winning at the moment, at least for the mid table Premier League sides – this will be a tougher test however they look more than good enough to pass.
The match odds at the time of writing currently trade; Chelsea 4.1, Manchester City 2.0 and the draw is 3.8. Here’s a stats – over the last two Premier League meetings between the sides last season; Chelsea only had seven shots! City have won 11 of their 14 unbeaten games away in the Premier League and we’re very happy to back them here at 2.0 – they just look different class at the moment and when you get the chance to back them at odds like 2.0, you have to take it. They are a better side than Chelsea and they should control the game.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Manchester City to beat Chelsea at 2.0.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQChlMnc
MATCH STATS
- Chelsea have lost two of their last three home Premier League games against Man City (W1), having lost just two of their first 18 against them in the competition (W11 D5 L2).
- Manchester City haven’t won consecutive top-flight visits against Chelsea since January 1955.
- Manchester City have never won four consecutive matches against Chelsea in all competitions – this is the 161 st meeting between the teams.
- Chelsea had just seven shots against Man City across their two Premier League meetings last season – only Leicester vs Man City (4) and Huddersfield vs Liverpool (6) had fewer against an opponent last season.
- The reigning top-flight champions haven’t won at Stamford Bridge against Chelsea in the Premier League since April 2002, when Man Utd won 3-0; the Blues have won five and drawn six of 11 matches since then.
- This will be the fifth time Chelsea have faced Man City in the Premier League with the Citizens top of the table – Chelsea won the first two (December 2011 and December 2016), while Man City won both last season.
- Manchester City are unbeaten in their last 14 away Premier League games (W11 D3) – they’ve never gone 15 without defeat on the road in the top-flight before.
- Maurizio Sarri hasn’t lost two successive league games as a manager since October 2016, when Napoli lost in Italy’s Serie A against Atalanta & Roma.
- Only Robin van Persie (6) has scored more away Premier League goals at Stamford Bridge against Chelsea than Manchester City’s Sergio Agüero (5).
- Man City boss Pep Guardiola failed to win any of his first seven matches against Chelsea in all competitions (D4 L3) but has since won each of his last three against them.
- Man City’s Leroy Sane hasn’t failed to score or assist a goal in any of his eight Premier League starts this season, with the German scoring six and assisting five.
LEICESTER V TOTTENHAM
7.45pm We don’t usually get to enjoy a Premier League game at 7-45pm on Saturday and we have a good one here as Spurs travel to take on Leicester. Spurs have really been grinding out some good away wins against the midtable sides this season and they have also had some good result against the top sides too. We have almost a mirror image of prices on this game and the Chelsea v City game, with the match odds at the time of writing; Leicester 4.0, Tottenham 2.02 and the draw is 3.75.
Leicester actually beat Spurs here last season, however Spurs have won four of their last seven visits here in all competitions. Harry Kane also has an excellent record against Leicester scoring 13 goals in 11 games – he’ll be looking forward to this fixture! Leicester have been very up and down this season and they couldn’t beat Fulham midweek who sit bottom of the table – Spurs have been rock solid and we’re happy to back them here at 2.02 which looks good value.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Tottenham to beat Leicester at 2.02.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQLeiTtm
MATCH STATS
- Leicester and Spurs both won their respective home Premier League meetings last season – there were 12 goals scored in matches between the sides, with only Arsenal vs Everton (13) producing more last season.
- Spurs have won four of their seven matches against Leicester at the King Power Stadium in all competitions (D1 L2), but one of their two defeats came in the Premier League last season.
- Since Leicester were promoted back to the top-flight in 2014-15, Premier League fixtures between Leicester and Spurs have produced 34 goals – only Arsenal vs Liverpool (38) has had more in that time.
- None of Spurs’ last 19 games in the Premier League have ended in a draw, with Mauricio Pochettino’s side winning 14 of those (L5).
- Leicester City are unbeaten in their last six games in the Premier League (W2 D4), their longest run without defeat in the competition since May 2016, which was the final game of their title-winning season (12 games).
- Tottenham lost their last away league game against Arsenal – they last lost consecutive games on the road in November 2017, in a run of three that included defeats at Arsenal and at Leicester.
- Tottenham’s Harry Kane has scored 13 goals in 11 appearances against Leicester City in all competitions during his career – more than he has versus any other opponent.
- Leicester’s Jamie Vardy has scored four goals and assisted three in his last seven Premier League appearances against Spurs.
- Harry Kane has had a hand in eight goals in his last three Premier League appearances against Leicester for Spurs (7 goals, 1 assist).
- James Maddison has been directly involved in more Premier League goals than any other Leicester player this season (seven – five goals, two assists).
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