PREMIER LEAGUE SATURDAY: We preview Saturday’s busy Premier League fixture list which kicks off at 12.30pm with FULHAM v MAN CITY at Craven Cottage. All matches have a recommended BETDAQ bet and extended match stats.
FULHAM V MANCHESTER CITY
12.30pm The Premier League finally returns after the International Break and we kick off the weekend with Fulham hosting Manchester City. Fulham have conceded two goals or more in all of their last 11 Premier League games, so we could see a cricket score here if Manchester City turn up ‘in the mood.’ It’s almost impossible to see past a City win here and the markets agree with the away side trading as short as 1.14 at the time of writing. Prior to the International Break, Fulham did give Liverpool some trouble here although it’s fair to say that Liverpool haven’t been creating as many chances as City have for the last few weeks. We can City running out comfortable winners here and we like them to cover the handicap, they’re currently 1.96 -2.5 goals which looks good value.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Manchester City -2.5 goals to beat Fulham at 1.96.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQFulMci
MATCH STATS
- Fulham are winless in 13 games against Manchester City in all competitions (W0 D3 L10) and have lost the last seven consecutively.
- Man City have won their last six Premier League meetings with Fulham, scoring 19 goals and conceding just three since drawing 2-2 – after being 2-0 ahead – in September 2011.
- Fulham have lost seven consecutive top-flight matches against an opponent on one previous occasion, losing eight in a row against Man Utd between 2005 and 2009.
- Man City haven’t failed to score against Fulham in all competitions since a 0-0 draw in March 2004, netting 51 goals in their 23 games since.
- After a run of six straight Premier League wins in London, Man City lost their last such game against Chelsea in December. They’ve not lost consecutive games in the capital since December 2015 (vs Spurs and Arsenal).
- Fulham have lost 25 of their last 26 Premier League matches against the ‘big six’, drawing the other 2-2 at Old Trafford against Manchester United in February 2014.
- Fulham have conceded at least twice in each of their last 11 Premier League games, a record in the competition. The last top-flight side to concede more than once in more consecutive games were Newcastle between May-October 1977 (14 games).
- Man City’s Sergio Aguero has been involved in six goals in his last four starts against Fulham in the Premier League (4 goals, 2 assists), netting three times at Craven Cottage.
- Since his debut for Fulham in January, Ryan Babel has been involved in more Premier League goals than any other Cottagers player (2 goals, 2 assists).
- Since the start of the 2011-12 season, Man City striker Sergio Aguero has been involved in more Premier League goals against newly-promoted teams than any other player (34 – 28 goals, 6 assists).
BRIGHTON V SOUTHAMPTON
3pm We have a very open market here with the match odds at the time of writing currently trading; Brighton 2.68, Southampton 3.15 and the draw is 3.2. It’s hard to see anything other than a close game here with the two sides right beside each other in the Premier League table too. At this stage of the season, every game is a big game for those in the battle to stay up and while Southampton have had some good results lately, so have the teams around them – whoever finishes 18th will go right down to the final day. Brighton may have their heads turned by the FA Cup semi-final but they can’t afford to take their eye off the ball in the Premier League but with Southampton playing well against Spurs, United and Arsenal in recent weeks we can see them getting a result here. We like the Brighton lay at 2.68.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Brighton at 2.68.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQBriSth
MATCH STATS
- Brighton have won just four of their last 30 matches against Southampton in all competitions (D12 L14).
- All three Premier League meetings between Brighton and Southampton have ended as a draw. Only three previous Premier League fixtures have ended as a draw in their first four meetings – Arsenal vs QPR, Southampton vs Stoke City and Bournemouth vs Watford.
- Brighton have lost once at home against Southampton this season, losing 0-1 in the EFL Cup; only Derby County in 2013-14 have won twice away at the Amex in a single season against the Seagulls.
- Brighton have won their last two Premier League games, more than they had in their previous 12 combined (W1 D3 L8).
o Southampton have lost their last two Premier League away games – they’re yet to lose three in a row on the road under Ralph Hasenhüttl. - Southampton have scored a league-high ratio 32% of their Premier League goals from outside the box so far this season (11/34).
- Southampton have lost more points from leading positions in the Premier League than any other side this season (20), including dropping five points over their last three away games in the competition.
- Southampton striker Charlie Austin has scored more goals in all competitions against Brighton (7) than he has against any other side since his debut in the Football League in October 2009.
- After scoring in six of his first seven league appearances at home this season, Brighton’s Glenn Murray has failed to score in his last seven at home in the Premier League. His last goal at the Amex Stadium was in December vs Crystal Palace.
- James Ward-Prowse has scored in his last three Premier League games for Southampton – the last player to score in four in a row for Saints was Jay Rodriguez in March 2014.
BURNLEY V WOLVES
3pm Burnley are another one of those sides fighting to stay in the Premier League this season and they are currently behind Southampton on goal difference. Wolves are having an excellent season and reached the FA Cup semi-finals prior to the International Break when beating Manchester United 2-1. We have another very open market here with the match odds at the time of writing currently trading; Burnley 3.25, Wolves 2.54 and the draw is 3.25. Wolves have been involved in a lot of draws recently, three of their last five Premier League games have finished without a winner. More importantly they have conceded in each of their last 11 away Premier League games and with Burnley playing some solid football lately we’re happy to lay Wolves at 2.54. We expect Burnley to make this one closer than odds of 2.54 on the away side suggest.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Wolves at 2.54.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQBurWol
MATCH STATS
- Burnley are winless in their last nine top-flight home matches against Wolves (W0 D4 L5), with the only previous Premier League meeting at Turf Moor ending 2-1 to Wolves in March 2010.
- Wolves have a 100% win record against Burnley in the Premier League, winning all three matches against the Clarets (two in 2009-10 and this season’s reverse fixture).
- Wolves have won their last seven top-flight matches against Burnley – they’ve only had a longer winning run in the top-flight against Birmingham (10 between 1957-1962).
- Burnley have conceded 10 goals in the 90th minute of their Premier League games this season – no team has ever conceded more in a single campaign (also 10 for Cardiff City in 2013-14 and Hull City in 2016-17, both of whom were relegated).
- Wolves have lost only one of their last eight Premier League games (W4 D3), against Huddersfield in February. However, they’ve also won only one of their last five in the competition (D3 L1).
- After keeping a clean sheet in two of their first four away league games this season, Wolves have conceded in each of their last 11 on the road.
- Burnley lost 1-2 to Leicester City in their last match despite the Foxes receiving a red card; the Clarets are one of four teams in Premier League history to lose more games than they’ve won when an opponent has received a red card (W5 D3 L7), along with Huddersfield, QPR and Sheffield United.
- Raúl Jiménez has scored six of Wolves’ last 10 Premier League goals, with three of those strikes being assisted by Diogo Jota.
- Burnley’s Dwight McNeil has been directly involved in six Premier League goals this season (2 goals, 4 assists). Only Ryan Sessegnon (7) has been involved in more as a teenager in the competition this term.
- Raúl Jiménez has had a hand in 18 goals in 30 Premier League games for Wolves (12 goals, 6 assists); the last player to reach 20 goal involvements for a newly-promoted team in a season was Troy Deeney in 2015-16 for Watford (13 goals, 7 assists).
CRYSTAL PALACE V HUDDERSFIELD
3pm Huddersfield remain nailed to the bottom of the Premier League and bar a surprise 1-0 win over Wolves they haven’t got many points at all. They were involved in a seven goal thriller against West Ham prior to the International Break but it still goes down as another loss for them and Palace will be looking at this fixture expecting three points. The thing is though, Palace look exceptionally short here at 1.49. They have a terrible record at home this season, and while Huddersfield are worst – Palace aren’t far behind! Perhaps Huddersfield have just decided to throw caution to the wind now that they look certain to go down and will play with freedom – as we seen in their seven goal affair with West Ham. Palace may come out on top but the odds of 1.49 are just too short for a side who have only won 13 points and scored 11 goals at home this season. We’re happy to lay Palace from a value point of view.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Crystal Palace at 1.49.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQCryHdd
MATCH STATS
- Since losing 0-3 to Huddersfield Town on the opening weekend of the 2017-18 season, Crystal Palace have won their last three games against the Terriers in all competitions without conceding a goal.
- Huddersfield have never registered consecutive away league victories against Crystal Palace, although they are unbeaten there in the top-flight (P3 W2 D1 L0).
- The home side has never scored a goal in top-flight fixtures between Crystal Palace and Huddersfield – all 12 goals have been scored by the away side in seven previous meetings.
- Since scoring three times against Crystal Palace in their first away Premier League game, Huddersfield have scored just 20 away league goals in 33 games – although 15% of those goals came in their last away match, a 3-4 defeat to West Ham United.
- Only Huddersfield have won fewer points (8) and scored fewer goals (7) in home Premier League games than Crystal Palace this season (13 points, 11 goals).
- Crystal Palace’s Selhurst Park has seen fewer league goals scored than any other Premier League ground this season (28), with Manchester United the only side to score more than twice in a game there so far this season (3).
- Despite only making his Premier League debut on February 2 nd , Karlan Grant is Huddersfield Town’s joint-top league scorer this season with three goals.
- Luka Milivojevic has scored 45% of Crystal Palace’s home Premier League goals this season (5/11). The Serbian is the only player to score more than once at Selhurst Park for the Eagles this term.
- Crystal Palace manager Roy Hodgson has won three games in all competitions against Huddersfield as Eagles boss – only against Leicester (4) has he won more with Palace.
- Huddersfield boss Jan Siewert could become the first permanent Premier League manager to lose his first five away matches in the competition since Ole Gunnar Solskjær in 2013-14, when the Norwegian was Cardiff City manager.
LEICESTER V BOURNEMOUTH
3pm Interesting stat for this fixture – Leicester have never beaten Bournemouth in the Premier League; however Bournemouth are winless in five visits to Leicester! A lot of draws. There shouldn’t be much between these too again today, however it’s very ahrd to support Bournemouth away from home these days. Their away record is woeful – they’ve won just once in their last ten away Premier League games and that came in their last away game against Huddersfield who are nailed to the bottom of the table. Leicester have been having a real up and down season, and they’ve been tough to call correct, however they look massive here at 1.88. We feel that they should be closer to 1.68 given Bournemouth’s away record and we’re happy to back a home win here at odds.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Leicester to beat Bournemouth at 1.88.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQLcrBne
MATCH STATS
- Leicester City have never beaten Bournemouth in the Premier League in seven attempts (P7 W0 D5 L2), facing the Cherries more often without winning than any other opponent in the competition.
- Bournemouth are winless in five away league visits to Leicester (W0 D3 L2) since a 1-0 win on Boxing Day in 1988 under Harry Redknapp.
- Among Premier League fixtures to have played at least five times, only Bournemouth vs Watford (75%) has a higher percentage of draws than Bournemouth vs Leicester (71%), with five of the seven previous meetings ending level.
- Leicester are looking to win three consecutive Premier League home games for the first time since May 2017, when they won their first five under Craig Shakespeare.
- After a run of nine successive away league defeats, Bournemouth won their last Premier League game on the road. None of their last 18 away games in the Premier League have finished level (W5 D0 L13).
- Bournemouth haven’t won any of their last 12 Premier League games in which they’ve conceded a goal (D3 L9) since beating Huddersfield 2-1 in December. Only Huddersfield themselves (33 games) are on a longer such run among teams currently in the competition.
- Leicester have been shown a league-high five red cards in the Premier League this season, while Bournemouth’s opponents have had more sendings off than any other side in the division this term (6).
- Bournemouth boss Eddie Howe is winless in seven away league visits to Leicester City during his managerial career (W0 D4 L3).
- Leicester manager Brendan Rodgers has won all three of his games in all competitions against Bournemouth – the only teams he has a better 100% win record against in his career are Hamilton Academical (9 wins), Fulham (7) and Coventry City (5).
- Bournemouth midfielder Jefferson Lerma has received 11 yellow cards in the Premier League this season, more than any other player; the last player to receive more in his debut season in the competition was Cheick Tioté in 2010-11 (14 yellow cards).
MANCHESTER UNITED V WATFORD
3pm The Red half of Manchester has been buzzing for the last few days after the announcement that Solskjaer has been made Manager on a permanent basis. There’s no getting away from the fact that he has made this United team better and given them a lot more freedom. The real challenge starts now though as they make one final push for a Top Four position – the loss to Arsenal prior to the International Break was a huge setback, and they really need to be winning games like this one. With Solskjaer’s style of play, it’s highly likely that we’ll see an open game here – Watford like to play an attacking game and we could see a very end-to-end game. United have only kept two clean sheets at home in the Premier League this season and with over 2.5 goals trading 1.71, we’re happy to back that. This should be an enjoyable game to watch.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Over 2.5 goals at 1.71.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQMunWfd
MATCH STATS
- Manchester United have won 10 of their 11 Premier League matches against Watford, losing the other in September 2016.
- Watford are winless in all 11 away league visits to Manchester United (W0 D2 L9); they have won once at Old Trafford against the Red Devils, a 2-1 victory in the League Cup in October 1978.
- In top-flight history, the only team to play more away matches against Manchester United without winning than Watford (11) are Luton Town (15 matches between 1955 and 1991).
- Watford have lost 16 of their last 17 away games in Manchester (vs Man Utd and Man City), since a 2-1 win against the Citizens in April 1987.
- Manchester United lost their first league match under Ole Gunnar Solskjaer last time out against Arsenal. They’ve not lost consecutive league games since August.
- Manchester United have kept just two home clean sheets in the Premier League this season – only Fulham have kept fewer (1).
- Since their return to the Premier League in 2015, Watford have taken just four points from 66 available away against ‘big six’ sides (W1 D1 L20), losing the last 13 in a row. The exceptions were a 2-2 draw at Chelsea in December 2015 and a 2-1 win at Arsenal in January 2017.
- Man Utd haven’t lost three consecutive games in all competitions since September 2016, the third game of which was a 1-3 defeat against Watford.
- Watford’s Gerard Deulofeu has had a hand in six goals in his last four Premier League games (4 goals, 2 assists). 41% of the Spaniard’s total goal involvements in the competition have come in his last 21 games this season (12/29).
- Man Utd duo Marcus Rashford and Anthony Martial have scored nine Premier League goals each this season, with Romelu Lukaku and Paul Pogba having already reached double figures. The last time the Red Devils had three players reach 10 Premier League goals was 2012-13 (Hernandez, Rooney, van Persie), while the last time they had four reach double figures was 1995-96 (Scholes, Cole, Giggs, Cantona).
WEST HAM V EVERTON
5.30pm We finish the day with West Ham hosting Everton. The Hammers are actually above Everton in the Premier League table heading into this weekend, and while West Ham are a good side – Everton fans won’t like that. It feels like so long ago that they spent all that money in the summer in an effort to challenge the Top Four. Now they are nothing other than a mid-table side and they don’t look like getting into the Top Six, as they are called now, any time soon. Everton had a surprise 2-0 win over Chelsea prior to the International Break and they managed to hold Liverpool to a 0-0 draw before that too. Those two results came at home though, while they lost away to Newcastle in between. West Ham are solid in front of their own fans and we feel that will be the difference today; they’ve had some excellent results at home this season while Everton have struggled away from home. West Ham are big enough to back at 2.62.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
West Ham to beat Everton at 2.62.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQWhuEvr
MATCH STATS
- West Ham have won their last two Premier League games against Everton, one more than they managed in their previous 19 against the Toffees (W1 D6 L12).
- Everton haven’t lost three consecutive league matches against West Ham since a run of four between April 1929 and December 1931.
- In what is the 63rd season in which West Ham and Everton have faced in league competition, the Hammers are looking to complete only their fourth double over the Toffees (also 1926-27, 1929-30 and 1972-73).
- West Ham are unbeaten in their last six Premier League home games (W4 D2), winning the last three in a row. They last won four at home consecutively in the top-flight back in May 2002 under Glenn Roeder.
- West Ham haven’t lost any of their last 17 Premier League games in which they’ve scored at least once since a 1-3 loss at Arsenal in August – the longest current such run in the division (W12 D5).
- Everton are winless in their last 10 Premier League games played in London (D3 L7) since a 1-0 win at Crystal Palace in January 2017.
- West Ham manager Manuel Pellegrini has only faced Newcastle United (eight times) more often in the Premier League without losing than he has against Everton (P7 W5 D2 L0).
- Everton manager Marco Silva is winless in nine matches in London in all competitions (W0 D1 L8).
- Manuel Lanzini has scored three Premier League goals in three home appearances for West Ham against Everton, scoring once at Upton Park in 2015-16 and a brace at London Stadium on the final day of the 2017-18 season.
- West Ham striker Javier Hernandez has scored all 52 of his Premier League goals from inside the box – only Tim Cahill (56 goals) has scored more exclusively from inside the box in the competition’s history.
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