PREMIER LEAGUE SATURDAY: We preview Saturday’s Premier League games with recommended BETDAQ bets and extended stats. It kicks off with an action replay of the midweek Champions League clash between MAN CITY v TOTTENHAM at the Etihad.
MANCHESTER CITY V TOTTENHAM
12.30pm What a way to start the Premier League weekend! After all the drama between these two sides on Wednesday night in the Champions League; they do battle again very quickly. Wednesday night was a wonderful night for Spurs, but now this game takes on a higher importance for Manchester City as their season could go badly wrong in the space of the week if they don’t win. The reality is though; although Spurs qualified on Wednesday night, City actually won the game in 90 minutes and they would happily take the same result here.
The match odds at the time of writing currently trade; Manchester City 1.28, Tottenham 12.5 and the draw is 6.8. City were actually trading around 1.33 to win on Wednesday night, and it’s very interesting to see them move in five ticks. That result would have hurt massively – are the market expecting a quick revenge here? Perhaps it’s the fact that Spurs played superbly but ultimately still lost in 90 minutes. Everyone is expecting goals again and over 2.5 goals is only 1.47! The bet we like though is Both Teams To Score at 1.87 – it’s hard not to expect an open game here and the 1.87 looks massive when you compare it to the other goal markets. Hopefully we see more drama between these two!
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Both Teams To Score at 1.87.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQMciTtm
MATCH STATS
- Manchester City have won each of their last three Premier League games against Tottenham Hotspur, the Citizens are looking to equal their competition best run of four successive wins versus Spurs.
- Tottenham have only won one of their last eight visits to the Etihad (W1 D1 L6), conceding 23 goals in this period (2.9 per game).
- Tottenham are looking to become the first team since Liverpool in 2008-09 to win away in the Premier League against both Manchester clubs in the same season.
- None of Manchester City’s last 25 Premier League games have ended level, the longest current run in the competition. The Citizens have won 21 of those 25 games (L4), including each of the last nine.
- No side has won more points in Premier League games between the ‘big six’ this season than Man City (19), while only Manchester United (6) have won fewer points than Spurs (7).
- Tottenham have lost each of their last four away league games, conceding two goals each time. They last lost more in row on the road in the top-flight between March-May 2004 under David Pleat (6).
- Mauricio Pochettino has only tasted victory in one of his five Premier League trips to the Etihad (W1 D1 L3), a 2-1 win in February 2016 against Manuel Pellegrini’s Man City.
- Man City striker Sergio Aguero has failed to score in each of his last six Premier League appearances against Tottenham after scoring 10 in his first seven.
- Sergio Aguero has scored 19 Premier League goals for Man City this season – one more will see him become just the second player to score 20+ Premier League goals in five consecutive campaigns, after Thierry Henry (between 2001-02 and 2005-06).
- Tottenham have won all five of their Premier League games without Harry Kane this season. They last lost without the England striker taking part against Man Utd back in October 2017.
BOURNEMOUTH V FULHAM
3pm Bournemouth produced a shock 5-0 win away from home last weekend against Brighton; surprising because they have been so poor away from home this season! Fulham had a surprise result of their own too when beating Everton 2-0; that was a home – but given their run in the Premier League this season you’d have to call any win surprising! This is an interesting fixture, partly because it’s hard to know what to expect from both sides. Bournemouth are without a win in their last four home games; however the Fulham away trend is very poor – they have only taken two points from 51 available away from home this season. That’s two draws from 17 games – a sign of why they are going back down to the Championship. We can’t get away from Fulham’s poor away record here and Bournemouth look ten ticks too big at 1.7.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Bournemouth to beat Fulham at 1.7.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQBouFul
MATCH STATS
- Bournemouth have lost just one of their last 11 league games against Fulham (W7 D3 L1), a 3-1 defeat at the Vitality Stadium in January 1994 when both sides were in the third tier.
- Fulham have only won two of their 13 league visits to Bournemouth (W2 D3 L8), and are winless in their last three trips to the Vitality Stadium (D1 L2).
- Fulham have had a player sent off in each of their last two games against Bournemouth, Fernando Amorebieta receiving a red card in March 2015 and Kevin McDonald in the reverse fixture in October.
- Bournemouth are winless in their last four Premier League home games (D2 L2). They last went five without a win at the Vitality Stadium in February 2017 (D2 L3).
- Following their win against Everton last time out, Fulham are looking to secure back-to-back Premier League victories for the first time since April 2014. However, the Cottagers have won just two points from their 51 available on the road this season (W0 D2 L15).
- Bournemouth’s Premier League games have seen 110 goals scored this season, more than any other side in the competition (F49 A61).
- Ryan Fraser provided two assists in Bournemouth’s 3-0 victory over Fulham at Craven Cottage in October, the only time the Scotsman has achieved this feat in a Premier League game.
- Bournemouth pair Ryan Fraser and Callum Wilson have combined for 11 Premier League goals this season – only one duo has ever combined for more in a season; Alan Shearer and Chris Sutton for Blackburn Rovers during their 1994-95 title-winning campaign (13).
- Following his goal and two assists against Brighton last time out, Callum Wilson has become the first Bournemouth player to register 20 goal involvements in a single Premier League campaign (12 goals, 8 assists).
- Ryan Babel has been directly involved in seven Premier League goals since his debut for Fulham in January (4 goals, 3 assists), at least four more than any other player at the club.
HUDDERSFIELD V WATFORD
3pm Huddersfield are the other side already relegated along with Fulham; but we haven’t seen a surprise win from them and there’s no sign of one coming either. They have conceded 14 goals in their last four Premier League games and if they were to lose this game they would equal the record amount of home games lost in a season in the Premier League. That’s quite a stat considering the lesser teams usually try to survive with their home form. Watford have had a tough run of games recently; they have played Manchester City and United, along with Arsenal inside their last four games. They are having a great season though and it’s hard to expect them to beat the Top Six – the FA Cup final will be the highlight of their season no doubt. Considering how many goals Huddersfield are conceding lately and looking at their home form – Watford look massive at 1.94 here. They played well with only ten men against Arsenal on Monday night, and they should be able to deal with this Huddersfield side – the 1.94 looks huge.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Watford to beat Huddersfield at 1.94.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQHddWat
MATCH STATS
- Huddersfield Town have scored in each of their 14 home games against Watford in all competitions (W9 D1 L4), netting 24 goals in total (1.7 goals per game).
- Watford haven’t completed a league double over Huddersfield since the 2012-13 season, the only occasion they’ve achieved such a feat.
- 17% of Huddersfield’s Premier League wins have been against Watford (2/12) – the Hornets could become the first team Huddersfield have beaten three times in the competition.
- Since beating Bournemouth 4-1 in February 2018, Huddersfield haven’t scored more than once in any of their 22 Premier League home games, netting just nine goals in total (W3 D3 L16).
- Huddersfield have lost 13 Premier League home games this season – only Sunderland in 2002-03 and 2005-06 (14) have ever lost more at home in a single campaign in the competition.
- Watford have lost three of their last four league games (W1), as many as they had in their previous 14 (W6 D5 L3).
- Watford have lost their last three away Premier League games, shipping 10 goals in the process. They last lost more consecutively on the road in their last six such games last season.
- Watford haven’t won an away league game against a team starting in the relegation zone since December 2015 (1-0 at Sunderland), drawing two and losing six since then.
- Steve Mounie is the only Huddersfield player to score more than once in the Premier League at the John Smith’s Stadium this season (2).
- Gerard Deulofeu has been involved in 14 goals in all competitions this season (9 goals, 5 assists), averaging a goal involvement every 129 minutes – the best ratio of any Watford player.
WEST HAM V LEICESTER
3pm This should be a very interesting game, and a very close one too. Leicester lost to Newcastle at home last weekend – seemingly from nowhere given they have been playing some great football under Rodgers. While West Ham will welcome a change in quality after having to play Manchester United and Chelsea in their last two games – both away from home. The Hammers performed very well at Old Trafford, and were probably unlucky not to come away with at least a draw. More worrying would be their losses to Everton here and Cardiff away prior to those games. You’d have to fancy Leicester for this game but they do look a little short at 2.36 and we feel that makes the draw value at 3.6 – it’s hard to see anything other than a very close affair between these two.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Draw at 3.6.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQWhuLcr
MATCH STATS
- West Ham have only managed one victory in their last nine encounters with Leicester in all competitions (W1 D3 L5), a 2-0 away win in May 2018.
- Leicester have won two of their last three league trips to West Ham (D1), as many as their previous 29 visits (W2 D6 L21).
- West Ham have scored in 22 of their last 23 home league games against Leicester City (W17 D3 L3), only failing to score in a 1-0 defeat at the Boleyn Ground in August 2000.
- Since winning 3-2 at West Ham in March 2017, Leicester have won just one of their last 12 Premier League games in London (D4 L7), winning 1-0 at Chelsea earlier this season.
- West Ham have lost their last three Premier League games, last losing four in a row in their opening four matches under Manuel Pellegrini this season.
- West Ham have only lost one of their last seven home league games (W4 D2), though it was against Everton in their last match at the London Stadium.
- West Ham have picked up just four points from their last 27 available against sides starting the day in the top half of the table (W1 D1 L7), with the Hammers scoring just three goals in that run.
- Leicester are looking to win three consecutive Premier League away games for the first time since April 2016.
- West Ham’s top league scorer this season Felipe Anderson is looking to score in consecutive Premier League games for the first time since November.
- Leicester’s Marc Albrighton has been directly involved in five Premier League goals against West Ham (1 goal, 4 assists) – against no side has been involved in more. He’s either scored or assisted a goal in all three of his top-flight away games against the Hammers.
WOLVES V BRIGHTON
3pm Make no mistake about it – Brighton are in trouble. They have a game in hand on Cardiff, however after losing to them at home on Tuesday night there is only two points between the sides and it seems like Cardiff are the ones with the momentum. Brighton have lost six of their last eight away Premier League games and they have conceded in all of their last 11 on the road. Any points would be massive at this stage of the season, especially with that game in hand – but they just aren’t playing well enough at the moment. Wolves lost 3-1 away from home against Southampton last weekend; perhaps a sign of how much losing to Watford in the FA Cup semi-final hurt them. But Southampton have been playing OK football lately and we can see Wolves bouncing back to winning ways against this poor Brighton side. They are worth backing at 1.8.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Wolves to beat Brighton at 1.8.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQWolBri
MATCH STATS
- Wolverhampton Wanderers have only recorded two wins in 14 games against Brighton at Molineux (W2 D5 L7), with a current winless run of four (D3 L1).
- Brighton have won each of their last three league fixtures against Wolves, keeping clean sheets in each encounter – they had won just three of their previous 17 meetings beforehand (W3 D10 L4).
- Each of the last five meetings between Wolves and Brighton have failed to see both teams score; Brighton winning three, drawing one and losing one.
- Wolves have lost two of their last three Premier League games, more than they had in their previous eight in the competition (W4 D3 L1). However, Wolves are unbeaten in their last five at Molineux (W4 D1).
- All five of Brighton’s away wins in the Premier League have come against sides starting the day 13th or lower in the table. Against sides starting in the top half, the Seagulls have earned just two points from their 39 available (P13 W0 D2 L11).
- Brighton have won just one of their last eight Premier League away games (D1 L6), and haven’t kept a clean sheet in any of their last 11 on the road.
- Wolves have a better points-per-game ratio against the current top six in the Premier League this season (1.3) than they do against the sides currently in the bottom six (1.1).
- Wolves’ Raúl Jiménez has been directly involved in six goals in his last five Premier League games at Molineux (3 goals, 3 assists).
- Diogo Jota has had a hand in nine goals in his last seven home Premier League games for Wolves (6 goals, 3 assists). The Portuguese forward has only failed to score or assist a goal in one of those seven matches (1-1 draw with Newcastle in February).
- Brighton’s Glenn Murray has scored 27% of Brighton’s away league goals this season (4/15), with three of those four goals coming in his last four appearances on the road.
NEWCASTLE V SOUTHAMPTON
5.30pm We end the day with the most open market of the day! It’s hard to see anything other than a very close game here, but Southampton arrive to St James’ Park in good form – they’ve won four of their last six games; only losing to Liverpool and Manchester United; hardly unexpected and they did manage to shock Spurs within those four games too. Newcastle produced a surprise 1-0 win away from home over Leicester last weekend, surprising because Leicester had been playing very well under Rodgers but prior to that they lost 1-0 here to Crystal Palace. Southampton are the form team here and we feel that Newcastle look a few ticks too short at 2.56 – we expect Southampton to make that price look short in play and from a value point of view, we’re very happy to lay Newcastle.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Newcastle at 2.56.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQNwcSou
MATCH STATS
- Only at home to Spurs (12), Everton (13) and Aston Villa (14) have Newcastle won more Premier League games at St. James’ Park than they have against Southampton (11).
- Southampton have only lost one of their most recent nine Premier League games with Newcastle (W4 D4), though that defeat came in this exact fixture last season (0-3).
- Newcastle have only lost one of their last 13 Premier League home games against Southampton (W9 D3), losing 1-2 in January 2015.
- Newcastle’s defeat against Crystal Palace in their last home match ended a run of five consecutive victories at St James’ Park. They last lost consecutive home league games in December (vs West Ham and Wolves).
- Southampton have won four of their last six Premier League games (L2), as many as they had in their previous 23 in the competition (W4 D8 L11).
- Southampton are looking to secure consecutive away wins in the Premier League for the first time since March 2017, having won at Brighton in their last game on the road.
- 70% of Newcastle’s Premier League victories this season have been by a one-goal margin (7/10) – only Brighton have won a higher percentage of their Premier League games by one goal this term.
- Southampton have won as many Premier League games in 18 matches manager Ralph Hasenhüttl (W8 D3 L7) as they had in 52 games under their last two permanent managers combined (Mark Hughes and Mauricio Pellegrino; W8 D21 L23).
- Ayoze Pérez has been involved in five goals in his last six home league games for Newcastle, scoring four and assisting another.
- Southampton striker Shane Long has scored in his last two Premier League games – he’s never scored in three in a row in the competition before.
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