PREMIER LEAGUE SATURDAY: We preview Saturday’s Premier League games with a recommended BETDAQ bet and extended stats. After the international break, the Premier League is back with the action starting at Anfield with Liverpool v Newcastle.
LIVERPOOL V NEWCASTLE
12.30pm After what has felt like a long International Break, the Premier League finally returns on Saturday with Liverpool hosting Newcastle. There’s plenty of great memories from this fixture down through the years; however the two sides couldn’t be much further apart these days. It’s unlikely we’re going to see any high scoring thrillers today; with most of the goals probably coming from Liverpool!
Liverpool are currently the joint lowest price of the weekend with the match odds at the time of writing currently trading; Liverpool 1.17, Newcastle 24.0 and the draw is 9.4. Newcastle did shock Spurs away from home already this season; however they have lost to Norwich and were held to a 1-1 draw at home to Watford. Liverpool have been utterly dominant in their games thus far this season and we expect that to continue – they look good value at 2.3 -2.5 goals to cover the handicap and we’re happy to start the day with that.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Liverpool -2.5 goals to beat Newcastle at 2.3.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQlivnew
MATCH STATS
- Liverpool are unbeaten in their last 23 Premier League home games against Newcastle (W19 D4), scoring in every single one of those matches (58 goals), while keeping 12 clean sheets.
- Newcastle were the second side to defeat Jurgen Klopp’s Liverpool in the Premier League in December 2015. Since then they’ve drawn two and lost three of their top-flight meetings with the Reds.
- Liverpool have scored 98 Premier League goals against Newcastle – they could become the third team to score 100+ against a single opponent in the competition, and first to do so against a side who hasn’t been ever-present (Arsenal 107 v Everton, Manchester United 100 v Everton).
- Only against Manchester United between 1973 and 2012 (29 games) have Newcastle had a longer winless run away from home in the top-flight than their current run of 23 games without a win against Liverpool.
- Liverpool are looking to become the fourth team to win 14 consecutive English top-flight matches, after Arsenal (14, August 2002), Man City (15, August 2019) and Man City again (18, December 2017). The Reds could become the first team to win 14 in a row while scoring more than one goal each time.
- Newcastle have won three of their last five Premier League away games (D1 L1), as many as they had in their previous 24 on the road (W3 D9 L12). They last won consecutive games away from home in January 2018.
- Liverpool are looking to win their opening five Premier League matches of a season for the second time in as many seasons, having done so in 2018-19 – the only two teams to do so previously in back-to-back seasons are Chelsea (2009-10/2010-11) and Man City (2015-16/2016-17).
- Newcastle United have won none of their last 27 away top-flight games against teams starting the day top of the table (W0 D5 L22) since a 1-0 win at Brian Clough’s Derby County in April 1972.
- Sadio Mané has played 50 Premier League matches at Anfield without losing – 49 with Liverpool, one with Southampton (W40 D10 L0) – more than any other player has played on a ground without ending on the losing side in Premier League history.
- Steve Bruce has lost just four of his last 17 Premier League meetings with Liverpool (W5 D8 L4), winning his most recent game against the Reds in April 2015 with Hull City.
BRIGHTON V BURNLEY
3pm After a really bright start to their Premier League campaign when beating Watford 3-0 away from home, Brighton have only picked up one point since and now find themselves in 16th position. It’s early; but they’ll have bad memories of falling over the line last season to stay in the Premier League and they’ll view this as a great chance to pick up some points. Burnley actually have the same amount of points as them; however they have had to play Liverpool at home, Wolves away and Arsenal away. While Brighton have impressed us at times this season compared to last season; we can’t have them as short as 2.24 to win this game. We expect a very close game here and Burnley are a very tough side to beat. They also have a good recent record against Brighton, so from a value point of view we have to lay the home side.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Brighton at 2.24.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQbribur
MATCH STATS
- Brighton are winless in their last seven league meetings with Burnley (D5 L2), losing both matches in the Premier League last season.
- Burnley won this exact fixture 3-1 last season – they’ve never won back-to-back away league games against Brighton.
- Burnley are unbeaten in their last six Premier League games on the south coast (W4 D2), winning 3-1 against Bournemouth and Brighton in their last two.
- Brighton haven’t scored more than once in any of their last 14 Premier League home games (eight goals in total) and are winless in their last seven at the Amex Stadium (D2 L5).
- Burnley have given more minutes to Englishmen than any other team in the Premier League this season (2,712).
- Brighton have picked up just 15 points in 22 Premier League matches in 2019 (W3 D6 L13), eight fewer than any other side to have played in the top-flight in 2018-19 and 2019-20.
- Burnley have used just 14 players in the Premier League this season – two fewer than any other side.
- Brighton’s Leandro Trossard and Neal Maupay have combined to create six chances or one another in the Premier League this season – the only duo to combine for more are Man City’s Kevin De Bruyne and Sergio Agüero (seven).
- Although they lost 4-0 at Man City, Brighton’s possession of 46.5% was the fourth-highest by an away league side against a top-flight side managed by Pep Guardiola in his career and most since Liverpool had 50.4% in January 2019.
- Ashley Barnes has attempted 31% of Burnley’s shots at goal in the Premier League this season (15 of 48) – only Norwich’s Teemu Pukki has had a higher percentage of his team’s shots (14/41, 34%).
MANCHESTER UNITED V LEICESTER
3pm We know it’s early; but Manchester United are already in mid-table. And to be honest, it’s looked like that’s where they belong. They may have blew Chelsea away here on the opening day but since then they have looked laboured and it won’t be a surprise to see them struggle to win games this season. It’s hard to believe that United would be as big as 1.89 at home to a side who finished 9th last season yet here we are. And to tell the truth; it looks a little short. Leicester have been impressive thus far this season and it’s no surprise that they sit 3rd in the table. They have yet to be beaten, looked like they could have won away to Chelsea and have been scoring goals too. We expect another tough day at the office for United, and until they show us some improvement – we’ll be happy to lay them, especially against teams playing better football than them at the moment.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Manchester United at 1.89.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQmunlei
MATCH STATS
- After winning just one of their first four home Premier League games against Leicester (D2 L1), Man Utd have won eight of their last nine against the Foxes at Old Trafford (D1).
- Leicester have won just one of their last 20 league games against Man Utd (D4 L15), coming from behind to win 5-3 at home in September 2014.
- Manchester United have lost three of their last five Premier League games at Old Trafford (W1 D1), as many as they had lost in their previous 52 at Old Trafford (W32 D17 L3).
- Should Leicester avoid defeat at Man Utd, it would be only the second time in the last 19 seasons the Foxes have gone unbeaten in their first five league games of a season – they went on to win the Premier League title in the other (2015-16 – W3 D2 L0).
- Man Utd winger Daniel James could become only the second Red Devils player to score in his first three Premier League appearances at Old Trafford – the other was his current manager Ole Gunnar Solskjær in September 1996.
- Since Brendan Rodgers’ first Premier League game in charge on March 3rd, only Liverpool (40) and Man City (37) have won more points than Leicester City (25).
- Man Utd’s Marcus Rashford has scored three Premier League goals against Leicester – against no side does he have more in the competition.
- Leicester manager Brendan Rodgers’ only previous Premier League victory at Old Trafford was with Liverpool in March 2014 (3-0). He could become just the third manager to win away at Man Utd in the competition with two different clubs, after Martin O’Neill (Leicester and Aston Villa) and Rafael Benitez (Liverpool and Chelsea).
- Only Manchester City’s Kevin De Bruyne (13) has created more chances in open-play than Manchester United’s Paul Pogba (11) this season, with the Frenchman top of this category since Ole Gunnar Solskjær’s first game in charge in December 2018 (48).
- Leicester striker Jamie Vardy has scored more Premier League goals than any other player since Brendan Rodgers’ first game in charge on March 3rd (12 goals).
- Among players to play at least 1000 minutes under a manager in the Premier League, only Sergio Agüero under Manuel Pellegrini (one goal every 96 minutes) and Alan Shearer under Ray Harford (one goal every 102 minutes) have a better mins/goal ratio than Jamie Vardy under Brendan Rodgers (one goal every 104 minutes).
SHEFFIELD UNITED V SOUTHAMPTON
3pm Prior to the International Break; we noted how important the Sheffield United v Crystal Palace game might be when we look back at the end of the season. They won that game 1-0, and perhaps this is very similar. They have home advantage against one of their rivals for relegation and three points would be a huge boost – even this early in the season. Sheffield United were clear favourites to go down at the start of the season but they have shown some good signs – they even managed to battle back from two goals down away to Chelsea for another massive point. We feel that they’re worth backing here at 2.62 – which looks around ten ticks too big. Southampton may have held Manchester United to a draw prior to the International Break but United look poor away from home and with home advantage, Sheffield United can edge this one.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Sheffield United to beat Southampton at 2.62.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQshesou
MATCH STATS
- This will be the first Premier League meeting between Sheffield United and Southampton since March 1994, a 0-0 draw at Bramall Lane.
- Southampton have won just one of their last five away league games against Sheffield United (2-1 in September 2007 in the Championship), failing to score in the four they didn’t win (D2 L2).
- This is the first meeting between Sheffield United and Southampton in any competition since December 2014, when League One Sheffield United beat Premier League Southampton 1-0 in the League Cup quarter-final.
- Sheffield United have only lost consecutive home Premier League matches once previously, doing so in March 1993 under Dave Bassett.
- Southampton are looking to win consecutive away Premier League matches for the first time since March 2017 under Claude Puel.
- Neither Sheffield United or Southampton have scored in the first-half of a Premier League game this season – the Blades have attempted 21 shots and the Saints have had 19 without success in the first 45 minutes of games.
- Only Leicester’s James Maddison (13) has had more shots without directing one on-target in the Premier League this season than Southampton’s Che Adams (7).
- Excluding own-goals, all four of Sheffield United’s goals this season have been scored by British/Irish players – in Premier League history, 90% of the Blades’ goals have been scored by British/Irish players, the third-highest share behind Blackpool (98%) and Oldham (94%).
- Southampton have won their last two away games in all competitions without conceding a goal – they last won three on the road without conceding back in March 1986.
- 43% (6/14) of Premier League debuts given to Englishmen this season have been handed out by Chris Wilder and Sheffield United – Henderson, O’Connell, Lundstram, Baldock, Freeman and Osborn.
TOTTENHAM V CRYSTAL PALACE
3pm It’s still so early in the season, but we already have people writing off Spurs. Maybe they’re right too; one win from four games just won’t cut it in the Premier League these days with how good Liverpool and Manchester City are. If Spurs had any title ambitions; they are gone. Now they must fight for a Top Four finish and hopefully have a good run in the Champions League. Crystal Palace sit above them in the table after shocking Manchester United away from home, and Spurs have been a little disjointed thus far this season – the home side look more than a little short at 1.39. In terms of long-shots; the Spurs lay looks to be the best big odds play of the day and we’re going to take a chance. Palace have been very good away from home for some time now and Spurs need to improve to justify odds of 1.39.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Tottenham at 1.39.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQtotcry
MATCH STATS
- Tottenham have won their last eight Premier League games against Crystal Palace, conceding just one goal in that run. Only against Birmingham (10 in September 1964) and Blackpool (9 in January 1964) have they had longer winning runs in their top-flight history.
- Crystal Palace are winless in their last seven away Premier League games against Spurs (D2 L5), failing to score in each of the last six.
- Tottenham lost their last home Premier League London derby, 0-1 against West Ham in April. They last lost consecutive home London derbies in the league back in November 2004 (vs Charlton and Arsenal).
- Tottenham have lost two of their last four home league games (W1 D1) – more than they had in their previous 30 in the Premier League at White Hart Lane/Tottenham Hotspur Stadium (W25 D4 L1).
- Crystal Palace’s last five Premier League away games against ‘big six’ sides have seen them pick up wins against Man City, Arsenal and Manchester United (L2), while they were also the last side to win away at Anfield. Indeed, since the start of 2016-17, the Eagles have won away at five of the ‘big six’ sides (more than any other club), with Tottenham being the only exception.
- Spurs have trailed for 127 minutes in home Premier League games this season – 22 minutes more than any other side.
- This is only the fourth time Crystal Palace will play a Premier League match starting the day in the top-four and the first time manager Roy Hodgson has done so since March 1998 with Blackburn Rovers, losing 4-0 away at Leeds United.
- Spurs have won just 16 points from their last 16 Premier League matches (W4 D4 L8), 23 fewer than they won in their previous 16 games (W13 D0 L3).
- Harry Kane’s goal against Arsenal for Spurs was his 28th in Premier League London derbies, drawing him level with Jermain Defoe and Ian Wright – only three players have more than Kane; Thierry Henry (43) and Frank Lampard & Teddy Sheringham (32).
- Crystal Palace’s Jordan Ayew has scored in each of his last two Premier League appearances – he could become the first Ghanaian to score in three in a row since his brother André Ayew in 2016 and only the fourth overall (also Asamoah Gyan in 2010 and Tony Yeboah in 1995).
WOLVES V CHELSEA
3pm Another week; another tricky fixture for Frank Lampard and Chelsea. They had a golden opportunity to put three points on the board before the International Break at home to Sheffield United; however they blew a two goal lead and now they sit in mid-table and look in big trouble. Top Four will no doubt be the main aim, but they just don’t look good enough. They now come up against a Wolves side who held United here a couple of weeks ago and United looked much better than Chelsea. We can’t have Chelsea as favourites here and the 2.6 on them looks massively short. They have looked very weak at the back and although they might outscore Wolves here; from a value point of view we simply have to lay them at the odds. They will face plenty of tough sessions away from home this season unless they improve at the back.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Chelsea at 2.6.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQwolche
MATCH STATS
- Wolves remained unbeaten in their two Premier League meetings with Chelsea last season (W1 D1), having lost seven of their first eight games against them in the competition (W1).
- None of the last 13 top-flight meetings between Wolves and Chelsea at Molineux have ended level, with Chelsea winning six of those (L7). Indeed, the Blues have won five of the last seven, though Wolves have won two of the last three.
- Wolves have won more games than any other Premier League team in all competitions in 2019-20 (six) despite failing to win any of their first four league games of the season (W0 D3 L1), winning all six of their Europa League qualifying matches.
- Wolves are the only Premier League team yet to lead for a single minute in a game so far this season, while only Norwich (187) have trailed for more minutes (182).
- Chelsea midfielder Jorginho has started more open-play sequences ending in a shot (11) than any other player in the Premier League this season.
- All three of Chelsea’s away Premier League wins in 2019 have been against newly-promoted teams – in eight matches against teams who aren’t newly-promoted, they’ve won none, drawn two and lost six of eight games, scoring only once and conceding 21 times.
- Wolves’ Raúl Jiménez scored home and away against Chelsea in the Premier League last season, the only player to do so in the competition in 2018-19.
- Chelsea have already given more Premier League minutes to English players aged 21 or younger this season (703) than in any of their previous 14 seasons, since José Mourinho gave 1,170 minutes in 2004-05.
- Wolves have conceded 60% of their Premier League goals in the opening 15 minutes of games this season (3/5), while a third of Chelsea’s goals have been scored in this period (2/6).
- Tammy Abraham has scored twice in each of his last two Premier League appearances for Chelsea – only two players aged 21 or younger have scored two or more in three consecutive games; Cristiano Ronaldo in December 2006 and Dele Alli in January 2017.
NORWICH V MANCHESTER CITY
5.30pm We noted above that Liverpool were the joint lowest price of the day; well no guesses for who is the other one! Manchester City trade as low as 1.17 at the time of writing, and the markets have almost wrote this one off before it starts! City look absolutely world class this season and it’s very hard to see anyone living with them apart from Liverpool. Spurs managed a draw but the expected goals had a huge difference. Norwich will have to sit back and try to contain City but we can’t see how to be honest and we like the away side to cover the handicap. They’re currently trading 2.2 -2.5 goals and that looks cracking value. City have been scoring goals for fun this season and we can only see one way traffic here.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Manchester City -2.5 goals to beat Norwich at 2.2.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQnormci
MATCH STATS
- Norwich have won just one of their last 14 Premier League meetings with Manchester City (D6 L7), winning 3-2 at the Etihad in May 2013.
- Man City are unbeaten in their last seven away Premier League games against Norwich (W3 D4), since losing their first Premier League visit to Carrow Road in February 1993. Their last two trips have finished 0-0, however.
- Norwich have lost 11 of their last 12 Premier League games against reigning Premier League champions, with the only exception in that run a 3-2 win against Man City in May 2013.
- Manchester City are unbeaten in their last 25 Premier League games against promoted sides (W20 D5), since losing 0-1 at Burnley in March 2015 under Manuel Pellegrini.
- Norwich have only lost four consecutive games in all competitions under Daniel Farke once previously, doing so in November 2017.
- Sergio Agüero has scored in Man City’s four Premier League matches this season; only two players have ever scored in a club’s first five matches of a season – José Antonio Reyes for Arsenal in 2004-05 and Wayne Rooney for Manchester United in 2011-12.
- Norwich City have given 1427 minutes to players aged 21 or younger this season; 380 more than any other Premier League team.
- Man City’s Sergio Agüero has been involved in eight goals in his five Premier League starts against Norwich, scoring five and assisting a further three.
- Norwich have faced the most open-play shots in the Premier League this season (54) and conceded the most open-play goals (9), while opponents Man City have attempted the most shots in open-play (62) and scored the most open-play goals (13).
- Since the start of the 2010-11 season, Man City’s David Silva has assisted 87 Premier League goals, 27 more than any other player. Silva has assisted two goals in each of his last two Premier League games – no player has ever set up two or more goals in three consecutive appearances.
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