PREMIER LEAGUE SATURDAY: We preview Saturday’s Premier League games with recommended BETDAQ bets and extended stats. The action kicks off at 12.30pm with SHEFFIELD UNITED v LIVERPOOL.
SHEFFIELD UNITED V LIVERPOOL
12.30pm We kick off a very busy day in the Premier League with Sheffield United hosting Liverpool. Including last season, Liverpool come into this game with 15 consecutive Premier League wins and it’s fair to say that it’s difficult to see how Sheffield United can stop them. The home side have adjusted to life in the Premier League reasonably well and continue to pick up points here and there. They will of course have to battle to stay up; but they don’t look like a side who started the season odds on to go down. While they may be performing well; we can’t see them stopping a side like Liverpool. Klopp’s men have been in superb form this season and it’s hard to see how anyone apart from City can stop them – we fully expect Liverpool’s winning run to continue and they can cover the handicap in doing so. They’re currently trading 2.1 -1.5 goals and that looks cracking value to start a brilliant day of action.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Liverpool -1.5 goals to beat Sheffield United at 2.1.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQsheliv
MATCH STATS
- Sheffield United haven’t hosted Liverpool in a match in any competition since the opening day of the 2006-07 Premier League season, drawing 1-1 at Bramall Lane.
- Liverpool have never won a Premier League match at Bramall Lane in three attempts (W0 D2 L1), though those games were played in 1992, 1993 and 2006.
- Bramall Lane is one of only three grounds Liverpool have played at without winning in the Premier League (three games), along with Nottingham Forest’s City Ground (five games) and Blackpool’s Bloomfield Road (one game).
- Liverpool have won their last 12 Premier League matches against newly-promoted sides, scoring 35 times and conceding only four goals in that run; the last team to have a longer winning run against newly-promoted teams was Spurs (16 wins between 2015 and 2018).
- Sheffield United haven’t lost three consecutive home games in league competition since February 2013 when in League One. The last time they lost three in a row at Bramall Lane in the top-flight was October 1990.
- Liverpool are unbeaten in their last 23 Premier League games, winning the last 15 in a row. Only between May 1987 and March 1988 have they had a longer unbeaten run in top-flight history (31 games).
- All seven of Sheffield United’s Premier League goals have been scored by different players this season. This includes two own goals – no side have benefited from more so far this term (Liverpool also two).
- In Liverpool’s current run of 15 consecutive Premier League wins, they’ve scored 42 goals. Their front three of Sadio Mané (12), Mohamed Salah (9) and Roberto Firmino (6) have scored 64% of those goals, with there being just one game in which none of the trio have found the net during this run (2-0 vs Cardiff in April).
- Since the start of 2014-15, Sheffield United manager Chris Wilder has won more English league games (125) and earned more points (426) than any other manager in the top four tiers.
- If he plays, Sheffield United will be the 24 th different side Mohamed Salah has faced with Liverpool in the Premier League. The Egyptian has scored against 21 of the previous 23, only failing against Swansea (two games) and Manchester United (four games) whilst with the Reds.
ASTON VILLA V BURNLEY
3pm This should be a very close affair and a very interesting game to watch. Both sides are coming off a win with Villa winning away to Brighton in the Carabao Cup during the weekend and Burnley beating Norwich last weekend in the Premier League. Apart from losing 3-0 against Liverpool, which can be forgiven easily, Burnley have been pretty solid this season and sitting in around 9th in the Premier League looks about right for a side like them. Aston Villa are going to have to battle to stay up this season, and start this weekend in the bottom three – if they’re going to stay up they really need to pick up points in games like this in front of their own fans. Villa have performed better at home, however we like Burnley to get something from his game and the home side look ten ticks too short at 2.5. They are a good value lay at those odds.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Aston Villa at 2.5.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQastbur
MATCH STATS
- Aston Villa have won one of their four Premier League meetings with Burnley (W1 D2 L1), winning 5-2 under Martin O’Neill in February 2010.
- Burnley have lost only one of their last eight top-flight meetings with Aston Villa (W3 D4 L1), winning 1-0 in the most recent meeting on the final day of the 2014-15 campaign.
- All 12 Premier League goals in games between Aston Villa and Burnley have been scored by British players – it is the only fixture to have been played this century to see as many as 12 goals exclusively by British players.
- Aston Villa have dropped a league-high six points from winning positions in the Premier League this season. Indeed, the Villans have lost three of their last four games in the competition in which they’ve scored the first goal.
- Burnley have won each of their last five Premier League games against promoted sides, more than they had in their first 20 such games in the competition (W4 D9 L7).
- Aston Villa are looking to record three consecutive home Premier League clean sheets for the first time since December 2012. They’ve recorded a shutout in three of their last four top-flight games at Villa Park, as many as they had in their previous 19 such games.
- Burnley haven’t kept a clean sheet in any of their last 10 away Premier League games (W2 D4 L4) and are winless in their last five on the road since a 3-1 win at Bournemouth in April.
- Aston Villa’s John McGinn has been on the losing side in both Premier League games in which he’s scored. The only player at the club to lose each of the first three games in which they found the net in the competition was Jordan Ayew in 2015.
- Ashley Barnes is Burnley’s highest goalscorer in the Premier League (36 goals in 142 games). However, he’s never scored in 18 appearances against promoted sides in the competition.
- Villa boss Dean Smith and Burnley’s Sean Dyche have met just once previously as managers, when Smith’s Brentford lost 3-1 to Burnley in a Championship clash in January 2016.
BOURNEMOUTH V WEST HAM
3pm This fixture has to most open market of the day in the Premier League with the match odds at the time of writing currently trading; Bournemouth 2.56, West Ham 2.88 and the draw is 3.75. Heading into week 7 they sit in fifth and sixth in the table and given all the problems with Arsenal, United, Spurs and Arsenal – perhaps we’ll see sides like this dream of a Top Four finish; or at least a more realistic Top Six finish. Since the opening day loss against Manchester City; West Ham have been impressive and easily brushed aside Manchester United last weekend. Bournemouth come into this game after winning their last two league games though and they scored six goals in the process. A midweek loss in the Carabao Cup would have been disappointing, however West Ham lost 4-0 to Oxford. We can’t see anything other than a very close game here between two sides in solid form and the draw makes the most appeal at 3.75 – that looks more than a shade of value.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Draw at 3.75.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQbouwhu
MATCH STATS
- Bournemouth are unbeaten in five Premier League matches against West Ham United (W3 D2 L0) since losing 1-0 in August 2016.
- The four previous Premier League meetings between Bournemouth and West Ham at Vitality Stadium have produced 17 goals (nine for Bournemouth, eight for West Ham).
- Against no other side have Bournemouth won more Premier League games than they have against West Ham (four wins, level with Swansea City).
- 22 of the 30 goals scored in Premier League games between Bournemouth and West Ham have been scored in the second-half (73%), including 10 of the last 11.
- Bournemouth are looking to win three consecutive Premier League games for the first time since a run of four wins between May-August 2018, while they’re looking to do so within a single season for the first time since March 2016.
- After previously going on a run of seven defeats in eight away Premier League games (W0 D1 L7), West Ham United are now unbeaten in their last five on the road in the competition (W3 D2). They last had a longer unbeaten away run in the top-flight in January 2009 (7 games).
- Only Liverpool (23 games) are on a current longer unbeaten run in the Premier League than West Ham United (5 games), who have won three and drawn two games since an opening day defeat against Manchester City.
- Bournemouth striker Callum Wilson has scored six goals in six Premier League appearances against West Ham – more than against any other opponent.
- Bournemouth’s Callum Wilson is looking to score in four consecutive Premier League games for the first time. The England striker is also currently on 48 goal involvements in the competition (37 goals, 11 assists), with only Josh King previously reaching 50 for the Cherries (currently 43 goals, 11 assists).
- With 18 wins from 44 Premier League games, Manuel Pellegrini has the best win rate of any permanent West Ham manager in the competition (41%).
CHELSEA V BRIGHTON
3pm Despite scoring seven goals midweek in the Carabao Cup; it still hasn’t been a good few days for Chelsea. They started their Champions League campaign with a loss at home and then followed that with another loss here against Liverpool. A lot of sides will lose to Liverpool this season; but the reality is that Chelsea need to put in some more consistent performances if they are going to finish in the Top Four. Brighton have played some good football at times this season, but apart from their impressive win against Watford on the opening day they haven’t really been rewarded. They are leaving too many gaps at the back, and while the same can be said about Chelsea – we fully expect Chelsea to outscore Brighton here. The 1.48 on the home win looks worth backing.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Chelsea to beat Brighton at 1.48.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQchebri
MATCH STATS
- Chelsea have won all four of their Premier League games against Brighton, scoring 11 goals and conceding just once.
- Brighton have lost all eight of their league meetings with Chelsea (four in the second tier between 1983 and 1989, four in the Premier League).
- A defeat here for Brighton against Chelsea would set a record since the Football League began in 1888 for most games against an opponent while losing each game (currently eight defeats) – Bournemouth also lost all eight of their games against Wimbledon between 1977 and 1984.
- Brighton have managed just 11 shots in two away Premier League matches against Chelsea, having just two on target and failing to score in both games.
- Since joining the Premier League in 2017, Brighton have taken just one point from 13 Premier League away games at the ‘big six’ sides (W0 D1 L12).
- Chelsea have shipped 13 Premier League goals so far this season and are yet to keep a clean sheet. The last time they failed to keep a single clean sheet in their opening seven games to a top-flight season was in 1990-91.
- Chelsea are winless in their three Premier League home games this season (D2 L1). The last time they failed to win any of their first four at Stamford Bridge in a league season was 1986- 87.
- Brighton have failed to score in five of their last seven away league games (W1 D3 L3). Indeed, since their promotion to the Premier League in 2017 only Huddersfield (23) have failed to score in more away games than the Seagulls (22).
- Frank Lampard is looking to avoid becoming only the second manager in Chelsea’s history to fail to win any of their first four home league games in charge, after Bobby Campbell in April 1988 (D3 L1).
- Chelsea striker Tammy Abraham has scored seven goals in his last four Premier League games. However, in his English league career, he’s faced Brighton more often without finding the net than he has any other side (four games).
CRYSTAL PALACE V NORWICH
3pm Crystal Palace struggled in front of their own fans last season, however they have improved this season. They are a lot more solid now; however they have also come with them struggling to score goals. We’ve seen under 2.5 goals collect in each home game for Palace this season and Norwich have failed to find the net in each of their last three away games in all competitions. In the match odds market, Crystal Palace look a shade of value at their current 2.0 however we much prefer under 2.5 goals 2.22. We feel that this should be odds on looking at how these two will line up – especially given how Norwich have struggled to score away from home and how dull the game have been here for Palace. At 2.22, unders looks one of the best bets of the day.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Under 2.5 goals at 2.22.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQcrynor
MATCH STATS
- Crystal Palace and Norwich City last faced in the Premier League in 2015-16, with the Eagles completing a double over the Canaries.
- Norwich are winless in their last 15 away league matches against Crystal Palace (W0 D5 L10) since winning 1-0 in the second-tier in May 1996 under Gary Megson.
- In every Premier League season that Crystal Palace and Norwich have met, at least one of the sides has been relegated – Palace in 1992-93, both sides in 1994-95 and 2004-05, and Norwich in 2013-14 and 2015-16.
- Norwich are winless in their last 19 Premier League away games in London (W0 D6 L13); should they fail to win this match, they will be the seventh team to go 20 games without an away Premier League win in the capital and the first since Leicester City in 2015.
- Norwich have lost 12 of their last 13 away Premier League games (W1 D0 L12), scoring only three goals across those 13 matches.
- Crystal Palace are unbeaten in their last five home Premier League games (W2 D3). However, Selhurst Park has seen a joint league-low three goals scored this season among all Premier League grounds.
- Norwich’s Premier League games this season have seen 12 goals scored in the opening 30 minutes of the match (four goals scored, eight goals conceded) – no side has seen more in this time (Manchester City also 12).
- Crystal Palace boss Roy Hodgson has lost his last two matches against Norwich in all competitions, losing twice with West Brom in January 2012 in the Premier League and FA Cup.
- Teemu Pukki’s six Premier League goals this season have been worth five points to Norwich, while he’s also scored what turned out to be the winning goal in both of their victories so far this term.
- Teemu Pukki has been involved in 89% of Norwich’s nine Premier League goals this season (6 goals, 2 assists) and has also taken 36% of their 59 shots (21) – both are league-high ratios so far this season.
TOTTENHAM V SOUTHAMPTON
3pm Spurs faced another embarrassing result midweek when they crashed out of the Carabao Cup on penalties against Colchester. They just aren’t the same team as last season and some of their fans are already calling for a change of manager. Football moves fast these days! It would be absolutely crazy to sack Pochettino but as we all know, these things happen in football these days. The reality is that they need a win, and anything other than three points here will see yet more pressure pile onto the team and management. Southampton managed to beat Spurs last season, even though they were haven’t a bad season and they have won their last three away games in all competitions. Ultimately Spurs will probably get the job done but they look way too short at 1.48 and from a value point of view, we’re happy to lay Spurs at 1.48.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Tottenham at 1.48.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQtotsou
MATCH STATS
- Tottenham Hotspur have won seven of their last eight home Premier League matches against Southampton (W7 D0 L1), losing the other 2-1 in May 2016.
- Southampton are looking to win consecutive Premier League matches against Tottenham for the first time since winning three in a row between January 2003 and March 2004.
- Tottenham versus Southampton will become only the second Premier League fixture to be played in five different stadiums (Wembley, White Hart Lane, Tottenham Stadium, St Mary’s, The Dell), after Tottenham versus West Ham (Wembley, White Hart Lane, Tottenham Stadium, Boleyn Ground, London Stadium).
- Tottenham have lost 10 of their 24 Premier League games so far in 2019, their most in a single calendar year in the competition since 2014 (12/38). Of ever-present sides over the two seasons, only Brighton (13), Watford (12) and Bournemouth (11) have lost more Premier League games this year than Spurs.
- Southampton are looking to win three consecutive away top-flight games for the first time since February 2015 (a run of four), while the last time they did so without conceding was in April 1992. However, Saints have lost eight of their last 10 league games in London (W1 D1).
- Tottenham’s last eight Premier League victories have been in home games – they last had a longer run of wins coming exclusively at home between April 2000-January 2001 (10).
- Southampton have lost more Premier League matches against their former managers than any other club (18 in total), with a third of those coming from Mauricio Pochettino (6).
- Harry Kane has scored with eight of his 12 shots on target for Spurs against Southampton in the Premier League, scoring in each of his last five appearances against Saints (seven goals).
- Spurs’ Dele Alli has been involved in nine goals in six Premier League starts against Southampton (5 goals, 4 assists).
- Since the start of last season, Tottenham’s Harry Kane has ended on the losing side in five Premier League matches in which he’s scored – more than any other player.
WOLVES V WATFORD
3pm Who would have thought these two sides would be the bottom two after six games? Not many is the answer. Neither side will be panicking given the quality they have in their squad over the course of the season; but this fixture has become pretty important for both sides. A win for either could kick off their season, and a loss would see more stress and pressure piled on at the bottom of the table. Wolves were winning in the Europa League until the Group Stages, while Watford have just been very poor this season. At least Wolves have drawn four of their six games, just missing out on a win. Watford have lost four and drawn two, and just aren’t playing good enough football for the Premier League at the moment. With home advantage we’re happy to back Wolves at 1.94 – they have shown better signs than Watford and should get the job done.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Wolves to beat Watford at 1.94.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQwolwat
MATCH STATS
- This will be third Premier League meeting between Wolves and Watford, with both sides winning one game each last season, each time doing so away from home.
- The home team has failed to win any of the last five league meetings between Wolves and Watford (W0 D2 L3) since the Hornets won 2-1 at Vicarage Road in November 2012.
- Wolves have won only three of their 12 Premier League matches against teams starting the day bottom of the table (W3 D2 L7).
- Watford are only the third team to concede 18 goals in their first six Premier League games of a season, after Newcastle in 1999-00 and Southampton in 2012-13 (both 18) – neither side were relegated in those seasons.
- Wolverhampton Wanderers lost their last Premier League home game, conceding as many goals against Chelsea in a 2-5 defeat as they had in their previous nine games in the competition at Molineux.
- Watford are winless in 10 Premier League games (D3 L7), their longest such run in the competition since January 2007 (11 games).
- Watford have conceded at least once in each of their last 18 Premier League games – only between September 1999 and March 2000 have they had a longer run without a clean sheet in the top-flight (20 games).
- Watford have mustered the fourth highest amount of shots among Premier League teams this season (91) and have the ninth highest expected goals total (8.48). However, no side has scored fewer goals than the Hornets (4), while they also have the lowest conversion rate in the division (4%).
- Wolves boss Nuno Espírito Santo and Watford’s Quique Sanchez Flores have met once previously, when Valencia faced Getafe in February 2015 in LaLiga – Santo’s Valencia won 1-0.
- Watford’s Gerard Deulofeu has had more shots (18) and more shots on target (8) without scoring than any other player in the Premier League so far this season.
EVERTON V MANCHESTER CITY
5.30pm Everton may have got quick revenge over Sheffield United by beating them midweek in the Carabao Cup after losing to them in the Premier League, but the reality is they are having a bad season. It’s only early, but another couple of losses and their season is over. Their fans demand more and we could see plenty of changes if that happens. It’s hard to see anything other than a City win here given the form that Everton have been in, and while City have had one shock already this season when they lost away to Norwich – we can’t see another coming quickly. With Everton conceding goals and City banging in goals for fun, we feel that City to cover the 1.5 goal handicap looks the best bet at 1.9. That looks cracking value to end a superb day in the Premier League.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Manchester City -1.5 goals to beat Everton at 1.9.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQevemci
MATCH STATS
- Everton have won just one of their last 12 Premier League matches against Manchester City (W1 D4 L7), hammering City 4-0 at Goodison Park in January 2017.
- Manchester City are looking to win four consecutive league matches against Everton for the first time since March 1972.
- Everton have won 10 home Premier League matches against reigning champions – only Liverpool have won more (13). However, they suffered a defeat in this exact fixture at Goodison Park last season (0-2).
- Manchester City have scored 24 goals in their opening six league games this season – the most by a top-flight team in the opening six matches of a season since Wolves in 1955-56 (25 goals).
- Under Marco Silva, Everton have been able to recoup just four points from the 21 Premier League matches that they have gone behind in (W0 D4 L17) – no team to have played in the Premier League in both 2018-19 and 2019-20 have won fewer from losing positions.
- Manchester City have scored in each of their last 28 Premier League games – only Arsenal (55 between 2001-2002) and Manchester United (36 in 2008) have scored in a longer run of consecutive matches in the competition.
- Manchester City’s Sergio Agüero has found the net in his last seven Premier League appearances – only three players have ever done so in eight in a row; Ruud van Nistelrooy (8 between December 2001-January 2002 and 10 between March-August 2003), Daniel Sturridge (8 between November 2013-February 2014) and Jamie Vardy (11 between August-November 2015).
- Everton manager Marco Silva has lost all five of his Premier League matches against Pep Guardiola – three more than he has against any other manager.
- Among teams he’s faced more than once in the Premier League, Man City striker Sergio Agüero’s worst minutes per goal ratio is against Everton, scoring just twice in 13 appearances and 793 minutes (one goal every 397 minutes).
- Manchester City’s David Silva has won 199 of his 288 Premier League games to date. He could become the 26 th player to reach 200 wins in the competition, and he would be the fastest to do so if City win here (John Terry is the current fastest, 305 games).
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