PREMIER LEAGUE SATURDAY: We preview Saturday’s Premier League games with recommended BETDAQ bets and extended stats. The action kicks off at 12.30pm with BRIGHTON v TOTTENHAM.
BRIGHTON V TOTTENHAM
12.30pm It’s been a week to forget for Spurs. To concede seven goals in front of your own fans on a big Champions League isn’t something that they’re going to forget quickly. Unfortunately for them though they need to – they’ve already dropped points in the Premier League this season and anything but a win here would see huge questions asked. We already have rumours of there being trouble in the camp; and perhaps Tuesday night is a sign of a dressing room who just aren’t playing for each other. Brighton don’t have a good record against Spurs, and haven’t won a home Premier League game in their last eight too – however we just can’t have Spurs at 2.0. They haven’t been playing solid football in the Premier League this season and after the embarrassing result during the week – 2.0 looks like a cracking lay to start the action!
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Tottenham at 2.0.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQbritot
MATCH STATS
- Brighton are winless in all four of their Premier League meetings with Spurs (W0 D1 L3), losing both matches last season.
- Spurs haven’t lost against Brighton since April 1983 when they were beaten 2-1 in a top-flight fixture – they’ve won five and drawn one of six matches against the Seagulls in all competitions since then.
- Brighton haven’t led for a single minute in any of their four Premier League matches against Spurs, with their two goals both coming in matches when they were trailing.
- Brighton have lost just one of their last 19 league matches in October (W10 D8 L1), losing 2-0 away at Arsenal in 2017.
- Starting with a 1-2 defeat to Burnley on February 23rd 2019, Tottenham Hotspur have won just 22 points in their last 19 Premier League matches. 12 teams have won more than them in their last 19 matches, including Bournemouth (23) and Newcastle United (25).
- Tottenham are winless in nine Premier League away games (D2 L7) since beating Fulham in January. They last went longer without a win on the road between April-December 2006 (10 games).
- Brighton & Hove Albion are winless in their last eight home league games (D3 L5), last enduring a longer run in February 2010 (nine games).
- Brighton & Hove Albion have failed to score more than once in any of their last 15 Premier League home games – only Sunderland (28 between Dec 2002 – May 2006) and Huddersfield (24 between Mar 2018 – May 2019) have had longer such runs in the competition.
- Each of Tottenham’s last nine Premier League goals have been scored before half-time, with Spurs last netting in the second half against Manchester City in their second match of the season.
- Christian Eriksen has provided 19 assists for Harry Kane at Spurs in the Premier League and could become just the fifth player to provide 20+ for a single player in the competition, after Frank Lampard for Didier Drogba (24), Darren Anderton for Teddy Sheringham, Steve McManaman for Robbie Fowler and David Silva for Sergio Agüero (all 20).
BURNLEY V EVERTON
3pm Everton have had a terrible start to their season. They always find hope from somewhere at the start of each season but their fans must be sick of being disappointed so early in the season. It’s happened for a number of years now. They only have seven points from seven games and it looks more likely they will be battling to stay up rather than break into the Top Six! The reality is they will finish somewhere midtable, and have a rather boring season in truth. Burnley on the other hand are having a solid season and grinding out results as they do. We have an open market – actually the most open market of the day; however we just can’t have Everton as favourites to win here. They have been poor away from home and with Burnley rock solid at home we are happy to lay Everton at 2.7.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Everton at 2.7.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQbureve
MATCH STATS
- None of the 10 Premier League matches between Burnley and Everton have ended as draws – Burnley have won four and Everton have won six of the previous meetings.
- Everton; who won 5-1 at Turf Moor last season, last won consecutive league visits to Burnley in March 1970.
- Burnley have gone on to lose their last five home league games in a row when they’ve conceded at least once, last winning without a clean sheet at Turf Moor against Spurs in February (2-1).
- Everton are looking to avoid losing four consecutive Premier League games for the first time January 2015. Each of their three defeats in this run have been by 2+ goals – they last lost four in a row by such a margin in the top-flight in September 1958 (a run of five).
- No side has scored more headed goals than Everton in the Premier League this season (4), with those four accounting for a league-high 67% of their six goals this term.
- Everton have conceded goals in both the first half and second half in each of their last
five Premier League matches. The last team to have a longer such run in the competition were West Bromwich Albion, who conceded in both halves in a Premier League record seven consecutive games between Dec 2010-Jan 2011. - Burnley’s Chris Wood is looking to score in three consecutive Premier League games for the first time since March 2018, with one of those strikes back then coming against Everton at Turf Moor.
- Since his first Premier League match in January 2017, Marco Silva’s sides have conceded a league-high 44 goals from set-pieces (excluding penalties), with his Everton side also having conceded the most this term (5).
- Burnley’s Ben Mee has scored two own-goals against Everton in the Premier League – only Jamie Carragher against Spurs and Richard Rufus against West Ham (three each) have scored more against an opponent.
- Everton’s last four goals in all competitions have been scored by Dominic Calvert-Lewin. The striker is looking to score in four consecutive appearances in all comps for the first time in his career.
LIVERPOOL V LIECESTER
3pm This is a very interesting fixture! Liverpool have been excellent thus far this season and rightfully sit clear at the top of the Premier League, but can Leicester compete with them? Given how poor Manchester United, Arsenal, Spurs and Chelsea have been this season – this is the year that teams like Leicester can go for a Top Four finish and they have started their campaign superbly. They are two points clear of Arsenal in third, and while they won’t get near to Liverpool or Manchester City – if they can pick up points against them it would be a huge bonus. The reality is though it’s very difficult to see Liverpool failing to win here. Anfield has turned into an absolutely fortress in recent times and with the home side playing impressive football they can continue their winning ways. We like them at 1.46 and that looks to be the banker of the weekend. It’s certainly one everyone can stick in their Acca’s this weekend.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Liverpool to beat Leicester at 1.46.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQlivlei
MATCH STATS
- Liverpool are unbeaten in eight home Premier League matches against Leicester City (W6 D2 L0) since losing 0-2 in May 2000.
- Leicester haven’t avoided defeat in consecutive Premier League matches against Liverpool since a run of seven between December 1996 and May 2000.
- Liverpool’s current run of 16 consecutive Premier League victories is the second longest ever in English top-flight history, bettered only by Manchester City between August-December 2017 (18).
- Liverpool are unbeaten in their last 43 home league games (W33 D10) – the longest current run in the top five European leagues, and Liverpool’s second longest ever in top flight history. Their previous best of 63 between February 1978-December 1980 was eventually ended by Leicester.
- Since Brendan Rodgers was appointed Leicester manager, only Liverpool (49) and Manchester City (46) have won more Premier League points than the Foxes (31).
- Leicester have lost 11 of their last 13 Premier League games against sides starting the day top of the table (D2), with their last such victory coming away against Manchester United in January 1998.
- This is Brendan Rodgers’ first return to Anfield since leaving Liverpool in October 2015. Only one manager to have previously managed the Reds in the Premier League has won away against them in the competition – Roy Hodgson in April 2012 with West Brom (W1 D3 L9).
- Leicester striker Jamie Vardy has scored seven Premier League goals against Liverpool – only Andrew Cole (11) and Thierry Henry (8) have scored more against the Reds in Premier League history.
- If Sadio Mané scores, it will be his 50th Premier League goal for Liverpool in his 100th appearance for the club. He will also be the 10th different player to score 50 in the competition for the Reds, more than any other club.
- Since the start of 2010-11 – when Arsenal, Chelsea, Liverpool, Man City, Man Utd and Spurs finished as the top six for the first time – only Sergio Aguero (118) has a better minutes per goal ratio against the ‘big six’ in the Premier League than Leicester’s Jamie Vardy (150) (min. 15 goals).
NORWICH V ASTON VILLA
3pm It might be still early days in the Premier League, but this is a massive game for both sides. Adjusting to life in the Premier League is hard – not every side can just come in and “do a Wolves” – usually it’s a real battle to stay up. It’s hard not to see both these sides towards the bottom of the table this season, and with them currently in 17th and 18th position – a win for either would be massive. Norwich have an excellent record at home – their only recent loss coming against Chelsea and even beat Manchester City here. With that home record the 2.4 on Norwich looks massive. Villa have lost every away Premier League game this season and we expect that to continue here.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Norwich to beat Aston Villa at 2.4.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQnorast
MATCH STATS
- Norwich won both of their Premier League meetings with Aston Villa in the 1992-93 campaign – since then, they’ve won two of their 14 top-flight games against the Villans (W2 D5 L7).
- Aston Villa have lost their last three league matches against Norwich City, all in the Championship between April 2018 and May 2019.
- Norwich City versus Aston Villa will be the first Premier League meeting between two promoted sides who also contested in the inaugural season of the competition since the 2011-12 campaign – with Norwich beating QPR on both occasions that season.
- Norwich have only lost one of their 13 home league games in 2019, with that loss coming against Chelsea (W9 D3 L1). The Canaries have scored at least twice in 17 of their last 18 league games at Carrow Road.
- Aston Villa have lost their last 10 away games in the Premier League – it’s their joint-longest run of away defeats in top-flight history, also losing 10 in a row between December 1924-April 1925.
- Aston Villa have dropped a league-high eight points from winning positions in the Premier League so far this season. Indeed, 50% of the comeback victories in the competition this term has been against the Villans (2/4).
- Norwich have lost 19 of their last 20 Premier League games in which they’ve conceded the first goal (including all five this season), with the exception a 4-2 win over Watford in May 2016.
- Conor Hourihane has been involved in five goals in his last four league matches against Norwich City for Aston Villa (3 goals, 2 assists).
- Aston Villa boss Dean Smith has lost five games against Norwich City in all competitions during his managerial career – against no side has he lost more (also five against Leyton Orient).
- Norwich’s Teemu Pukki has scored five goals and assisted two more in his three Premier League home games. He could become the fifth player to score in each of his first four home matches in the competition (Mick Quinn, Hamilton Ricard, Rafael van der Vaart and Diego Costa), while only Mick Quinn and Sergio Agüero were involved in as many as eight goals in their first four home Premier League games.
WATFORD V SHEFFIELD UNITED
3pm Much like Norwich v Aston Villa – this is a huge fixture. Sheffield United have been grinding out points and don’t look like a team who started the season as favourites to go down. Meanwhile Watford have been woeful; sit bottom of the league and they are getting a bit detached. Another loss last weekend puts them three points off 19th and a loss here would really make them start to worry. It’s hard to turn things around when you go on a run like this – but Watford need a win and quickly. With Sheffield United grinding out some tough results; we expect them to stop Watford from winning here. The 2.24 on the home side looks at least 20 ticks too short given the way they have played this season and we have to lay those odds.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Watford at 2.24.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQwatshe
MATCH STATS
- Watford and Sheffield United have only two previous Premier League meetings, with the Blades winning both matches 1-0 in 2006-07.
- Sheffield United last faced Watford in a league match in March 2011 in the Championship, losing 3-0 at Vicarage Road under Micky Adams.
- Watford are winless in their seven Premier League games this season, their longest run without a victory from the start of a campaign in any division since 2006-07 (10 in the Premier League).
- Sheffield United are looking to secure back-to-back Premier League away victories for the fourth time, doing so once in each of their three previous campaigns in the competition (May 1993, April 1994, December 2006). The last occasion included a victory at Watford.
- Watford have conceded at least once in each of their last 19 Premier League games, the longest current run without a clean sheet in the competition. Meanwhile, only Crystal Palace in 2017-18 (-17) have had a worse goal difference after seven Premier League matches than the Hornets’ -16 this term.
- Watford have conceded a league-high four goals in the opening 10 minutes of Premier League games this season – as many as they conceded in the same timeframe in the whole of 2018-19.
- Sheffield United are unbeaten away from home in the Premier League this season (W1 D2) – they last remained unbeaten in their opening four games on the road in any division in 2012-13, and in the top-flight in 1972-73.
- All seven of Sheffield United’s Premier League goals this season have been scored by different players, including benefitting from a joint-high two own goals.
- Watford have scored more goals in two EFL Cup games this season (5) than they have in their seven Premier League matches (4). Roberto Pereyra (2) is the only player to score more than once for the Hornets in all competitions this season.
- Sheffield United’s Leon Clarke made his Premier League debut last time out against Liverpool. If he scores, he’d be the oldest player to score his first goal in the competition (34y 237d on the day of this game) since Zlatan Ibrahimovic in August 2016 (34y 315d).
WEST HAM V CRYSTAL PALACE
5.30pm We end the day with West Ham hosting Crystal Palace in what should be a very interesting game. It’s fair to say that both sides have had a pretty even season so far and their place in the table reflects that. Only one points separates the sides with West Ham on 12 and Crystal Palace on 11. Apart from a 4-0 loss against Spurs for Palace they have been fairly solid, and the same can be said for West Ham when you leave out their tonking by Manchester City. With Palace having a good record away from home we can’t resist a lay of West Ham at 2.08. We expect a much closer game than those odds suggest and from a value point of view we’re happy to lay the home side.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay West Ham at 2.08.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQwhucry
MATCH STATS
- West Ham United are unbeaten in their last eight Premier League games against Crystal Palace (W4 D4 L0) since losing 3-1 in February 2015.
- Crystal Palace have taken one point from three Premier League visits to the London Stadium against West Ham (W0 D1 L2).
- Following their defeat on the opening weekend against Manchester City, West Ham are unbeaten in their last six Premier League matches (W4 D2), conceding fewer goals in those xix games (4) than they did in that single defeat (5).
- Since December 22nd 2018 (when they beat Manchester City 3-2 away), Crystal Palace have won 25 points in Premier League away games – only Manchester City (36) and Liverpool (30) have won more points on the road in the competition during this period.
- West Ham have lost more Premier League London derbies than any other side (97), while only Fulham (19.5%) have a lower win rate in such games than Crystal Palace (22.7% – won 22 of 97).
- West Ham United have won their last three home Premier League London derbies, last having a longer such run in the competition between February-December 1997 (5).
- Since Crystal Palace returned the Premier League in 2013-14, no side has won more penalties than the Eagles in the competition (46), while West Ham have given away the most in that time (39). There has been a penalty awarded in three of the last four league meetings between these sides.
- Crystal Palace manager Roy Hodgson has never won an away Premier League match against West Ham United in six attempts (W0 D2 L4), with both teams finding the net in each game.
- West Ham’s Manuel Pellegrini has won all four of his home Premier League matches against Crystal Palace by an aggregate score of 11-2, beating a different manager each time (Pulis, Warnock, Pardew, Hodgson).
- West Ham’s Aaron Cresswell has scored in each of his last two Premier League games – his previous two goals in the competition had come over a period of 102 matches.
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