PREMIER LEAGUE SATURDAY: We preview Saturday’s Premier League games with the highlight being SPURS v LIVERPOOL at 5.30pm. All games include a recommended BETDAQ bet and extended match stats.
CRYSTAL PALACE V ARSENAL
12.30pm We have a cracking day of Premier League action action with some superb fixtures! We kick off with Crystal Palace hosting Arsenal with a fascinating market. Arsenal are odds on favourites but Palace have been rock solid at the back this season. It’s a fast way to the poor house long-term backing Arsenal at odds on away from home and even though they managed to beat Manchester United recently, that win came at home.
The match odds at the time of writing currently trade; Crystal Palace 4.5, Arsenal 1.88 and the draw is 4.0. The Arsenal lay is obviously extremely tempting at 1.88 given their performances away from home over the last three years. However under 2.5 goals looks massive at 2.1, offering even more value than the Arsenal lay. Arsenal have seen under 2.5 goals win in four of their last five games but Palace haven’t scored twice in a game all season and their home games have seen the fewest amount of goals this season. With Arteta trying to make Arsenal more solid, we can see a very tight game here with few chances in front of goal. Unders should be odds on.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Under 2.5 goals at 2.1.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQcryars
MATCH STATS
- Crystal Palace are unbeaten in their last three Premier League meetings with Arsenal (W1 D2) – they’ve never gone four consecutive league games without defeat against the Gunners.
- Arsenal have lost just one of their last 14 away league games against Crystal Palace (W7 D6), going down 0-3 in April 2017.
- Both Crystal Palace and Arsenal have scored at least twice in each of the last three Premier League meetings between the sides – no fixture in the competition has seen both sides score 2+ goals in four consecutive games.
- Crystal Palace have won four of their last nine Premier League London derbies (D2 L3), as many as they had in their previous 28 in the competition (W4 D5 L19).
- Arsenal are looking to record consecutive Premier League wins for the first time since winning their final game of 2018-19 and their opening two matches of this campaign.
- Crystal Palace are the only side yet to score more than twice in a single Premier League match this season. Indeed, the Eagles’ Premier League games have seen fewer goals than other side’s matches this season (42), while Selhurst Park is the lowest scoring ground in the top-flight this term (18).
- Luka Milivojevic and Jordan Ayew scored for Crystal Palace in their 2-2 draw in the reverse fixture against Arsenal. The last time an Eagles player scored home and away against the Gunners in the same league season was John Craven in 1971-72.
- Arsenal’s Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang is averaging a goal or assist every 88 minutes in Premier League London derbies (10 goals, 4 assists) and has scored against all five London teams he’s faced, with two goals coming against Crystal Palace.
- Crystal Palace striker Connor Wickham has been involved in two goals in just 60 minutes of Premier League football this season (1 goal, 1 assist), scoring his first goal since November 2016 in the Eagles’ 1-1 draw with Norwich.
- The gap of 34 years and 229 days in age between Crystal Palace manager Roy Hodgson and Arsenal’s Mikel Arteta will be the fifth largest between two managers for a game in Premier League history – Arteta was born in the same season Hodgson was taking charge of his first English Football League games with Bristol City in 1981-82.
CHELSEA V BURNLEY
3pm Chelsea should have sealed their place in the top four by now given how bad Manchester United and Spurs have been this season. However, they’ve slipped up too many times against the weaker sides. They are still five points clear of United, but it should be game over for a top four spot already – they have to start winning games like this. Burnley have been reasonably solid this season; as they always are in fairness. However they come into this clash off the back of three Premier League losses and they have consistently come up short against the top sides. Chelsea still look a little short at 1.32 given the amount of goals they have conceded this season, however with Burnley conceding goals too over 2.5 goals looks the play in this one at 1.7.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Over 2.5 goals at 1.7.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQchebur
MATCH STATS
- Chelsea are looking to complete the league double over Burnley for the first time since 2009-10, following their 4-2 victory at Turf Moor in the reverse fixture.
- Burnley have won just one of their 11 Premier League meetings with Chelsea (D3 L7). However, five of the six points the Clarets have won against the Blues in the competition have been at Stamford Bridge (W1 D2 L2).
- Chelsea haven’t lost three consecutive home Premier League games since November 1993 under Glenn Hoddle.
- Burnley are currently on a run of three consecutive Premier League defeats – the ninth time since the start of last season they have endured such a run.
- Since scoring twice in the first half of their 3-0 win over West Ham in November, Burnley haven’t scored a single first half goal in the Premier League in nine matches. Only Crystal Palace (4) have scored fewer first half goals than the Clarets so far this season (7).
- Chelsea have conceded 28% of their Premier League goals in the final 10 minutes of games this season (8/29), the highest percentage of any team.
- Burnley have collected just one point in 10 Premier League games this season against teams currently in the top-half of the division (W0 D1 L9), drawing 1-1 with Wolves back in August.
- Chelsea’s Christian Pulisic scored a hat-trick against Burnley in the reverse fixture; he scored three goals from five shots against the Clarets, compared to two goals from 35 shots against all other teams.
- Ashley Westwood has provided 12 Premier League assists since the start of last season for Burnley, three more than any other Clarets player. Westwood has assisted each of their last three league goals.
- Since the start of last season, no Premier League player has started more open play sequences ending in a goal than Chelsea’s Jorginho (11, level with João Moutinho).
EVERTON V BRIGHTON
3pm Everton were embarrassed at the weekend when losing to Liverpool in the FA Cup. That’s not something you’d usually say about losing to Liverpool, however Klopp put out a very weak side and Everton still lost. It was a fantastic chance to break their bad run at Anfield but they couldn’t do it. They received some blowback from the fans after, and now they need an impressive performance today. Brighton also had a poor result in the FA Cup at the weekend when losing to Sheffield United. Everton looks good value at 1.93 – we fully expected them to be shorter before checking the prices. Brighton have lost five of their last seven away Premier League games and given the fact that Everton are much better at home compared to away; everything is set up for an Everton win here and 1.93 looks too big.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Everton to beat Brighton at 1.93.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQevebri
MATCH STATS
- The home side has never lost in the five Premier League meetings between Everton and Brighton (W4 D1), with the Toffees winning both games at Goodison Park.
- Brighton have never won away against Everton in any competition, drawing two and losing five of their visits.
- Everton have kept nine clean sheets in their last 15 home Premier League games (W9 D3 L3), recording a shutout in each of their last two games.
- Brighton have lost five of their last seven Premier League away games (W1 D1); since the start of the 2017-18 season, the Seagulls have lost more top-flight away matches than any other club (30).
- Since Carlo Ancelotti’s first Premier League match in charge on Boxing Day, Everton have had more shots than any other team (50).
- Brighton have had 239 open play sequences of 10 or more passes in the Premier League this season, more than double Everton have managed (117) and more than Arsenal (238), Spurs (237) and Manchester United (225).
- Everton have won none of their last 34 Premier League games when conceding first (D6 L28), a run stretching back to December 2017.
- Brighton’s Alireza Jahanbakhsh has scored with each of his two shots on target in the Premier League this season, scoring in his last two games. He could become the first Iranian to score in three Premier League games in a row (Ashkan Dejagah scored in two in a row in March 2014 for Fulham).
- Among defenders, only Trent Alexander-Arnold (59) has created more chances in the Premier League this season than Everton’s Lucas Digne (46). Since the start of last season, no player has created as many chances (117) or has more assists for the Toffees in the Premier League than the Frenchman (7).
- Carlo Ancelotti is set to face Brighton for the first time in the Premier League – the Italian has beaten 21 of the 22 teams he has faced in the competition, with his current side Everton the only one he’s failed to beat (P4 W0 D2 L2).
LEICESTER V SOUTHAMPTON
3pm Many football fans won’t forget this fixture in a hurry! Leicester won 9-0 when the visited Southampton but it has proven to be a turning point for the Saints. They have conceded 13 goals in 11 games since then – which is remarkable considering they lost 9-0 and what a blow that would have been to the dressing room. They have obviously came together well after that and are a much better side now. Leicester have been excellent this season, but they could only manage a 1-1 draw here against Aston Villa in the Carabao Cup semi-final during the week. Southampton have been very impressive in recent weeks with wins against Spurs and Chelsea – they can give Leicester a really good game here and they would dearly love to get revenge after losing 9-0. We feel that the 1.69 on Leicester is ten ticks too short and we’re happy to lay the home side from a value point of view.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Leicester at 1.69.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQleisou
MATCH STATS
- Leicester earned the biggest away win in English top-flight history in the reverse fixture against Southampton, winning 9-0 at St Mary’s in October. They last did the Premier League double over Saints in 1999-2000.
- Southampton won this exact fixture 1-0 last season – they’ve never won back-to-back away league games against Leicester before.
- The most goals a team has scored against an opponent in a single Premier League season is 12 – Blackburn against Nottingham Forest in 1995-96 and Tottenham against Wigan in 2009-10.
- Since losing 9-0 to Leicester, Southampton have conceded just 13 Premier League goals in 11 games – in this time, only Liverpool (7) and Leicester (11) have conceded fewer.
- Southampton have collected 16 points from their last eight Premier League games (W5 D1 L2), one more than in their previous 20 games in the competition (W3 D6 L11).
- Leicester’s Ayoze Pérez has scored a hat-trick in last two Premier League appearances against Southampton, including in the Foxes 9-0 win in October. No player has ever scored 3+ goals in three consecutive games against an opponent, with Luis Suárez against Norwich the only player to score three hat-tricks against a side in the competition.
- Leicester’s Jamie Vardy has scored five Premier League goals against Southampton, with all these coming at St Mary’s (including a hat-trick in October’s 9-0 win). He’s faced Saints more often without scoring at home in the Premier League than he has any other side (5).
- Brendan Rodgers has won as many Premier League games in 31 matches in charge of Leicester as his predecessor Claude Puel did in 56 games (19 wins); only three of 24 players used by Rodgers never appeared under Puel (Ayoze Pérez, Dennis Praet, James Justin).
- Among players with at least five Premier League goals this season, the two players with the best shot conversion rate are Leicester’s Jamie Vardy (35%) and Southampton’s Danny Ings (27%).
- Only Manchester City’s Kevin De Bruyne (34) has started more open play sequences ending in a shot than Leicester’s Wilfried Ndidi (29) in the Premier League this season. Since the start of last season, Ndidi has started 830 open play sequences, 74 more than any other player (Southampton’s Pierre-Emile Højbjerg is second with 756).
MANCHESTER UNITED V NORWICH
3pm It hasn’t been a good 2020 for Manchester United so far. They’ve lost to Arsenal, had a boring draw with Wolves and were embarrassed at Old Trafford during the week against Manchester City. We have seen calls for Ole Out again and anything bar an easy win here will only add to those calls. After so many managers since Ferguson left, one must look to the board at this stage if United are actually going to improve rather than just struggle on. We seen how long Liverpool went without winning the league; the same road lies ahead for United now it seems. They should beat this Norwich side who sit bottom of the table, five points off the side in 19th position. Perhaps it’s a sign of the lack of trust in this United side that they are as big as 1.39. That looks absolutely massive to beat the side sat bottom and while United have been frustrating to watch this season – we’re happy to back 1.39.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Manchester United to beat Norwich at 1.39.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQmunnor
MATCH STATS
- Manchester United have won eight of their last 10 home league games against Norwich (D1 L1), though they did lose the last time they faced at Old Trafford (1-2 in December 2015).
- Norwich are looking to win consecutive away league games against Manchester United for the first time since August 1989.
- Man Utd’s last two home league games against promoted sides have seen them lose 0-2 against Cardiff and draw 2-2 with Aston Villa – they’ve not failed to win three consecutive such games since February 1990.
- Norwich have lost 16 of their last 20 away Premier League games (W2 D2) since winning 2-1 at Old Trafford against Man Utd in December 2015.
- Norwich are the only team yet to recover a single point from a losing position in the Premier League this season, losing all 13 games they’ve gone behind in. The Canaries have also dropped 14 points from winning positions, with only West Ham dropping more (15).
- Manchester United have lost three of their last five Premier League games against teams starting the day in the relegation zone (W1 D1 L3), including a 0-2 defeat to then-bottom Watford in December.
- As caretaker manager of Manchester United, Ole Gunnar Solskjær averaged 2.46 points per game in the Premier League (P13 W10 D2 L1) – as permanent boss, he is averaging just 1.34 points per game (P29 W10 D9 L10).
- Norwich are winless in eight Premier League games (D4 L4) – manager Daniel Farke last endured a longer winless league run when he was in charge of SV Lippstadt in Germany’s fourth tier in May 2014 (nine games without a win).
- Man Utd’s Marcus Rashford has been involved in 16 Premier League goals this season (12 goals, 4 assists), his joint-best season for goal involvements (also 16 last season). Rashford both scored and assisted in their 3-1 win at Norwich in October.
- Norwich City’s Emiliano Buendía has created 19 goalscoring opportunities for teammate Teemu Pukki in the Premier League this season; the most any player has created for another in the competition so far this term.
WOLVES V NEWCASTLE
3pm After shocking everyone with a 3-2 win over Manchester City, Wolves have now gone three games without a win. Although two of those games were against Manchester United and Liverpool when they were unlucky with VAR. This is a good time for Wolves to meet Newcastle and they can bounce back to winning ways. Newcastle have lost their last three Premier League games which conceding nine goals and they couldn’t beat Rochdale in the FA Cup at the weekend. Wolves don’t have a good long-term record against Newcastle but they are an improving side compared to Newcastle now. They can outclass this Newcastle side and at 1.5, they look like a bank for Betdaq Multiples this weekend.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Wolves to beat Newcastle at 1.5.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQwolnew
MATCH STATS
- Wolves have won just two of their last 11 league meetings with Newcastle (D6 L3), with both of those victories coming at St James’ Park.
- Newcastle are unbeaten in their last five away league games against Wolves, winning two and drawing three. Their last defeat at Molineux was in the second tier in April 1993, while in the top-flight it was in November 1977.
- Wolves have lost their last two Premier League games, last losing three in a row back in November 2018.
- Newcastle are looking to avoid losing four consecutive Premier League matches for the first time since May 2018.
- Excluding own goals, none of Wolves’ last 49 Premier League goals have been scored by an Englishman. The last team to go 50+ goals without an English scorer were Stoke City between August 2015 and December 2016 (59 in a row).
- Wolves have scored the first goal in just six different Premier League games this season, fewer than any other side. However, they’re one of just five sides still unbeaten when opening the scoring this term, winning five and drawing one of those six games.
- Newcastle have led for just 342 minutes in the Premier League this season – only opponents Wolves (283) and Crystal Palace (275) have led for fewer minutes.
- Wolves winger Adama Traoré has created 22 chances following a ball carry in the Premier League this season; only Aston Villa’s Jack Grealish has more (24). Traore has progressed the ball upfield with a carry the furthest distance in the division this season (3781m).
- João Moutinho has 14 Premier League assists for Wolves, the most of any player for the club. Since the start of November, only Trent Alexander-Arnold (6) has more Premier League assists than Moutinho (5).
- Newcastle manager Steve Bruce has registered a league win over Wolves with six different clubs (Huddersfield, Crystal Palace, Birmingham, Sunderland, Hull and Aston Villa). Should he win this match, they would be only the second club he’s beaten with seven teams, along with Blackburn Rovers.
TOTTENHAM V LIVERPOOL
5.30pm This is undoubtedly the highlight of the weekend! Liverpool face a Jose Mourinho side again with so much history between them. He stopped Gerrard and Co winning the league with Chelsea, but it’s seemingly impossible to stop this Klopp side! Spurs have conceded so many goals under Mourinho, it’s hard to see how they can stop this Liverpool side from running riot at some point.
The match odds at the time of writing currently trade; Tottenham 5.1, Liverpool 1.72 and the draw is 4.4. Liverpool have been absolutely excellent this season and they’re going to break records. They also have a great record against Spurs, only losing once in their last 14 Premier League meetings. Liverpool have won 28 out of their last 29 games with the other game being a draw. That’s incredible at this level! We’re very happy to take the 1.72 on offer given how bad Spurs have been at the back this season.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Liverpool to beat Tottenham at 1.72.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQtotliv
MATCH STATS
- Tottenham have won just one of their last 14 Premier League meetings with Liverpool (D4 L9), winning 4-1 at Wembley in October 2017.
- After a run of five consecutive away defeats against Tottenham between 2008-2012, Liverpool have lost just one of their six Premier League visits to Spurs (W3 D2).
- Tottenham have won six of their last 10 Premier League home games against sides starting the day top of the table (D1 L3), though they have lost their last two (vs Man City in April 2018 and Liverpool in September 2018).
- Liverpool are unbeaten in their last eight Premier League games in London (W5 D3), winning the last three in a row. The Reds haven’t won four consecutive league games in the capital since October 1989.
- Only bottom of the table Norwich City have kept as few Premier League clean sheets this season as Tottenham Hotspur (2). Meanwhile, Liverpool have scored in 29 consecutive matches – the last team to have a longer run in the Premier League were Manchester United in November 2008 (36).
- Liverpool have taken 85 points from their last 87 available in the Premier League (W28 D1), winning their last 11 matches in a row, scoring 28 goals.
- Liverpool have won 58 points from their opening 20 Premier League matches this season – more than they won in two previous full seasons in the competition; 52 in 2011-12 and 54 in 1998-99.
- Spurs manager José Mourinho has won just two of his 10 games against Jürgen Klopp in his managerial career (20%) – among the 114 managers he’s faced more than twice, only against Ronald Koeman (17%, 1 win in 6) does he have a worse win ratio.
- In all competitions, Tottenham have won just two of their last 12 games in which Harry Kane has played no part (D4 L6), failing to win any of their four such matches this term (D3 L1).
- Liverpool’s Sadio Mané has been involved in 11 goals in his last nine Premier League appearances, scoring six and assisting five. He’s only failed to register a goal involvement in one of those nine matches, the Reds’ 2-1 win against Brighton.
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