PREMIER LEAGUE SUNDAY: We preview Sunday’s Premier League games including ARSENAL v MAN U at 4.30pm – all with a recommended BETDAQ bet and extended stats.
LIVERPOOL V BURNLEY
12pm What a Super Sunday we have in store today with Liverpool, Chelsea, Arsenal and Manchester United all in action. We start at noon as Liverpool host Burnley in a game they should win easily and the market agree. Liverpool are trading as short as 1.19 at the time of writing and who can blame the markets looking at their home form in the Premier League this season. They have been excellent in front of their own fans and while they didn’t create much against Manchester United and Everton away from home recently, they should be much more comfortable at home today.
Burnley won’t be a push over for Liverpool though as they have only lost once in their last five away Premier League games however how can you get away from an unbeaten run of 35 Premier League games here for Liverpool. Obviously there is little value in the match odds market at 1.19 however we like the Any Other Home Win (Liverpool to score four or more and win) lay at 3.2 in the Correct Score market. Burnley have been playing some solid football but ultimately will come up short against this Liverpool side – we expect Liverpool to get the job done but Burnley to keep the scoreline respectable.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Any Other Home Win at 3.2.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQLivBly
MATCH STATS
- Liverpool have won nine of their last 11 home games against Burnley in all competitions (D2) since a 0-1 loss in September 1974.
- Burnley have picked up just four points from their 27 available in the Premier League against Liverpool (W1 D1 L7), winning 2-0 at Turf Moor in August 2016 before drawing this exact fixture last season.
- Liverpool are unbeaten in their last 35 Premier League home games (W25 D10). There have only been three longer such unbeaten runs in the history of the competition – Chelsea (86 games between March 2004-October 2008), Man City (37 between December 2010 – December 2012) and Man Utd (36 between December 1998-December 2000).
- Burnley have won two of their last three Premier League games played on Sunday (L1), as many as they had in their previous 20 played on the day (W2 D4 L14).
- Liverpool have failed to win five of their nine Premier League games in 2019 (W4 D4 L1) – they’d only failed to win three of their first 20 before the turn of the year this season (W17 D3 L0).
- Burnley have only lost one of their last five away league games (W2 D2), though it was their last such match on the road (0-2 vs Newcastle).
- Mohamed Salah has failed to score in three consecutive Premier League games for the first time at Liverpool. His next goal will be the 50th for the club in the competition.
- Burnley’s last nine Premier League goals have been scored by either Ashley Barnes (5) or Chris Wood (4).
- Ashley Barnes has scored nine Premier League goals this season – he could become just the fourth Burnley player to reach double figures in a single campaign in the competition (Danny Ings 11 in 2014-15, Sam Vokes 10 in 2016-17, Chris Wood 10 in 2017-18).
- Sadio Mane has scored in each of his last five home Premier League games for Liverpool, netting six goals in total.
CHELSEA V WOLVES
2.05pm This is a very interesting game, and a good test of where Wolves are at the moment. Wolves looked to have booked their place in 7th position in the table however a run of substandard results has brought them back to the chasing pack. They are now level on points with Watford and West Ham are four back. Perhaps they have been turned by the FA Cup run but in fairness 7th, 8th or 9th it’s still been a wonderful season for them after coming up from the Championship.
The match odds at the time of writing currently trade; Chelsea 1.58, Wolves 7.4 and the draw is 4.2. Chelsea had a good 3-0 win here in the Europa League on Thursday night, although obviously against a lower level side. They have bounced back very well since their losses to Manchester City and United, and they look worth backing here at 1.58. They played very well in the Carabao Cup final against City and beat Spurs 2-0 here recently; with Wolves out of sorts it’s a good chance to back Chelsea and the 1.58 looks good value.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Chelsea to beat Wolves at 1.58.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQChlWol
MATCH STATS
- Chelsea have won all four of their Premier League home games against Wolves, scoring 14 goals and conceding just two.
- Wolves are looking to do the league double over Chelsea for the first time since the 1974-75 top-flight campaign, when Chelsea were relegated.
- Wolves could become the first promoted team to do the Premier League double over Chelsea since Charlton Athletic in the 2000-01 campaign.
- Wolves have won more points against the ‘big six’ sides (9) than any of the other 14 sides in the Premier League this season and have already avoided defeat away at Arsenal (1-1), Manchester United (1-1) and Tottenham Hotspur (3-1).
- Chelsea have lost just one of their last 53 home league games against promoted sides (W44 D8), losing against Bournemouth in December 2015.
- Chelsea are looking to win three consecutive Premier League games for the first time since September, when they won their opening five of the season. At home, they’ve won their last three by an aggregate score of 9-1.
- Wolves are unbeaten in their five Premier League games in London this season (W3 D2). They last had a longer unbeaten run in the capital in the top-flight between November 1972 and November 1974 (11 games).
- Since the start of last season, Chelsea’s Eden Hazard has been directly involved in 10 goals in 10 Premier League games against promoted sides (7 goals, 3 assists), scoring or assisting a goal in each of his four such games this term.
- Wolves Raul Jimenez has been directly involved in seven goals in his last seven Premier League games (5 goals, 2 assists).
- Raul Jimenez has scored 11 Premier League goals this season – the most scored by a Wolves player in a single campaign in the competition is 12 (Steven Fletcher in 2011-12).
ARSENAL V MANCHESTER UNITED
4.30pm This is undoubtedly the highlight of the weekend and there’s so much to play for with Manchester United sitting in fourth and Arsenal in fifth in the Premier League table. A win for either side would be massive and a draw would likely see Chelsea jump into fourth on goal difference (they’re only one behind United at the moment) so we have a very interesting day ahead! Both sides were involved in dramatic European games during the week with United beating PSG 3-1 and Arsenal losing to Rennes by the same scoreline. There’s no doubt that Ole Gunner has United buzzing at the moment and Arsenal will have to play better than when the sides met here recently in the FA Cup; with United winning the fixture.
The match odds at the time of writing currently trade; Arsenal 2.44, Manchester United 3.15 and the draw is 3.6. There’s no doubt that Arsenal are a lot more comfortable in front of their own fans than away from home – they started their season off with more backbone on the road but their old habits have been creeping back in. They were a man down on Thursday night so perhaps we can forgive them the 3-1 loss; but there’s a lot that says United are better away from home at the moment. The way Ole sets the side up seems to suit them away from home and looking at the FA Cup fixture here recently, we have to lay Arsenal at 2.44. We expect United to make the game a lot closer than those odds suggest and Arsenal look at least ten ticks too short.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Arsenal at 2.44.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQArsMnu
MATCH STATS
- Arsenal have won two of their last three Premier League home games against Manchester United (L1), as many as they had in their previous eight against them (W2 D3 L3).
- Manchester United haven’t won back-to-back away league games against Arsenal since a run of three between 1983-84 and 1985-86. This was also the last time the Red Devils won three in a row at the Gunners in all competitions.
- Nine of Arsenal’s 13 Premier League victories over Manchester United have been in games played on a Sunday (three on Saturday, one on Wednesday).
- Arsenal have only lost twice at home against an opponent in a season on two occasions – against Nottingham Forest in 1987-88 and Aston Villa in 1993-94.
- Only Man City (42) have won more points in Premier League home games than Arsenal this season (38). Meanwhile, only Spurs (33) and Liverpool (32) have won more away points than Manchester United (29).
- Arsenal have won their last eight Premier League home games. They last won nine in a row within the same season at the Emirates back in 2014-15.
- Manchester United are on the current longest unbeaten run in the Premier League (12 games – W10 D2). They’ve won their last six away games in the competition, last winning seven in a row on the road between April-August 1993.
- Man Utd midfielder Paul Pogba has missed three Premier League penalties this season – no player has ever missed four in a season; two of the previous eight to do so also did it for Man Utd – Teddy Sheringham in 1997-98 and Ruud van Nistelrooy in 2003-04.
- 14% of Man Utd striker Romelu Lukaku’s 113 Premier League goals have come against ‘big six’ opposition (16 in 74 apps). He averages a goal every 346 minutes against these opponents, compared to one every 135 minutes against other opponents.
- Alexandre Lacazette is looking to become only the second Arsenal player to score in six consecutive home Premier League games, after Thierry Henry who did so twice (6 in August 2000, 7 in October 2004). Lacazette would be the first player to do so for the Gunners at the Emirates Stadium.
- Unai Emery is looking to become the first Arsenal manager to avoid defeat in his first two top-flight meetings with Manchester United since George Swindin back in 1958-59.
- Ole Gunnar Solskjaer could become the first Manchester United manager in history to win his first two away meetings with Arsenal in all competitions, following the Red Devils’ 3-1 win at the Emirates in the FA Cup in January.
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