PREMIER LEAGUE SUNDAY: We preview Sunday’s Premier League matches with a recommended BETDAQ bet and extended match stats. What a game in prospect at 4.30pm – LIVERPOOL v MAN CITY.
MANCHESTER UNITED V BRIGHTON
2pm Manchester United have never lost to Brighton at Old Trafford, but as we have seen with Manchester United these days; records are there to be broken. And not the good ones. As we seen last weekend, a loss is never far away for United these days – they had built up some good momentum with three wins and a draw against Liverpool but they just don’t have the consistency to keep a winning run going this season. Brighton have played some good football this season and are a much improved side compared to last season – they actually sit above Manchester United in the table.
The match odds at the time of writing currently trade; Manchester United 1.64, Brighton 7.0 and the draw is 3.95. Brighton have scored nine goals in their last four games, and given the style of football that they have played this season they will probably create more chances than this Manchester United side. They would be a tempting bet at 7.0; but they have been disappointing in their last two away games. Because of that, we’re going to lay United at 1.64 – they just haven’t been good enough this season to justify odds like that.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Manchester United at 1.64.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQmunbri
MATCH STATS
- Manchester United have never lost in their 11 previous home meetings with Brighton in all competitions, winning nine and drawing two.
- Brighton have taken just one point from their 18 available on the road against Man Utd in the top-flight (W0 D1 L5), earning a 1-1 draw at Old Trafford in March 1983.
- The home side has won all four Premier meetings between Man Utd and Brighton – no fixture in the competition has been played more while being won by the home side 100% of the time.
- All four of the victories in Premier League meetings between Man Utd and Brighton (two each) have been by a one-goal margin.
- Manchester United are unbeaten in their last 41 home games in November since losing 1-2 against Chelsea in 1996 (W34 D7). It’s the longest unbeaten home run in a single month in the competition’s history.
- Brighton have picked up just one point from their 39 available away against the six ever-present Premier League sides (P13 W0 D1 L12), netting just three goals in those games.
- Since beating West Ham on April 13th, Manchester United have won just 15 points in the Premier League (W3 D6 L7), the fourth-fewest of the 17 ever-present teams in that time and one fewer than newly-promoted Sheffield United have won (16).
- Against Norwich City, Brighton had two different substitutes (Duffy and Trossard) score in the same Premier League game for the third time since the start of last season – no other team has done so more than once in that time.
- All three of Manchester United’s victories in the Premier League this season have seen Marcus Rashford score the winning goal, with two of those winners coming from the penalty spot. Indeed, no player has scored more winning goals than Rashford in the Premier League this season.
- Brighton manager Graham Potter only ended on the winning side in one of his eight Premier League games as a player, doing so with Southampton in a 6-3 win over Man Utd in October 1996 – Red Devils boss Ole Gunnar Solskjaer appeared as a substitute for Man Utd that day.
WOLVES V ASTON VILLA
2pm This is an interesting game. These two sides met very recently in the Carabao Cup; with Aston Villa running out 2-1 winners. They had home advantage that day though, and Wolves have been excellent in the Premier League recently. Villa came so close to getting a result against Liverpool last weekend, they led with four minutes left but ended up losing – a sign of how good Liverpool are but Villa will feel they should have got something from that game. Wolves have beat Manchester City and drawn with Arsenal in recent games, so they have the bragging rights against the big sides in this clash.
The match odds at the time of writing currently trade; Wolves 1.97, Aston Villa 4.5 and the draw is 3.65. Aston Villa have been pretty solid since coming into the Premier League, but we can’t ignore this Wolves price at 1.97. That looks at least 20 ticks too big given the way Wolves have been playing recently. They had a poor start to the season but they have really found form in recent weeks and with home advantage, they can get the job done.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Wolves to beat Aston Villa at 1.97.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQwolast
MATCH STATS
- Wolves have won two of their last three league games against Aston Villa (all in the Championship), more than they had in their previous 15 against the Villans (W1 D5 L9).
- Aston Villa are unbeaten in their last nine top-flight away games against Wolves since a 1-3 loss in May 1978 (W6 D3). They’re unbeaten in all four of their Premier League games at Molineux (W3 D1).
- Aston Villa beat Wolves in their League Cup meeting last month – they last beat them twice in the same season in the 2003-04 Premier League campaign.
- Only at Portman Road (5) and the City Ground (5) have Aston Villa played more Premier League games without defeat than they have at Molineux (4).
- Aston Villa have dropped 11 points from winning positions in the Premier League this season – more than any other side.
- Wolves’ last three Premier League games have all ended 1-1 – the last team to draw four top-flight games 1-1 in a row were Spurs in April 2008.
- No side has conceded fewer first half goals in the Premier League than Aston Villa this season (3), while the Villans have conceded more second half goals than any other side (15).
- In a Premier League table based on first-half results coming into this round of matches, Aston Villa would have the joint-most points in the division (22), while Wolves would have the joint-fewest (7). In a table based on second-half results this season, only Leicester (25) would have more points than Wolves (23).
- Should he play, Wolves forward Raúl Jiménez will become just the second Mexican player to appear in 50 Premier League games, along with Javier Hernandez. Jiménez has scored 17 goals and assisted nine in his first 49 games.
- Three of Wesley’s four Premier League goals for Aston Villa this season have been scored away from home, with these goals coming in the Brazilian’s last three games on the road.
LIVERPOOL V MANCHESTER CITY
4.30pm What a game. What a moment this could be in the title race. Klopp’s Liverpool side has turned Anfield into a fortress in recent seasons, and now Guardiola’s Manchester City have to get a result or they will be massively behind in the title race. It is perhaps too early to say the league is over if Liverpool win; but a nine point lead would be absolutely monstrous given the way Liverpool have been playing this season. They just look unbeatable at the moment; even when they need two goals in four minutes they find them – as we seen last weekend. That’s what Champions do.
The match odds at the time of writing currently trade; Liverpool 2.72, Manchester City 2.68 and the draw is 3.75. What an open and even market! Despite the sides being so close together in the betting, we just can’t have City a few ticks shorter than Liverpool. It’s been 16 Premier League games since Manchester City last won at Anfield and we can only see that stat getting bigger. Liverpool have been superb at Anfield and it would take a monumental performance to see City win. We can’t get away from the City lay at 2.68 and it looks the best value lay of the whole weekend.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Manchester City at 2.68.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQlivmci
MATCH STATS
- Liverpool have only lost one of their last 28 top-flight home games against Man City (1-2 in May 2003), and are unbeaten in their last 16 against them at Anfield in the Premier League (W11 D5).
- After losing four Premier League games in a row against Liverpool between 2015-2016, Man City have lost just one of their last five against the Reds in the competition (W2 D2).
- Man City are winless in their last 16 Premier League away games against Liverpool, their longest such winless streak against an opponent in the competition’s history.
- Liverpool have won more Premier League games against reigning champions than any other side in the competition’s history (21). Indeed, they haven’t lost at home in such a match since December 2007 (0-1 vs Man Utd), winning six and drawing five since.
- This will be the 35th Premier League match between the reigning champions and league leaders – each side have won nine games each (16 draws), with the champions (Man City) beating the leaders (Liverpool) 2-1 in the last such match in January 2019.
- Liverpool have only lost one of their last 50 Premier League games (W41 D8 L1), with that loss coming against Man City in January. The Reds are unbeaten in their last 28 Premier League games, the eighth longest such run in the competition.
- Liverpool have won a league-high 10 points from losing positions this season. The Reds have won their last two Premier League games despite conceding the first goal – they’ve never done so in three consecutive games in the competition before.
- Manchester City have won 11 of their last 12 Premier League away games, losing only against Norwich in that run (2-3). The Citizens have bagged 30 goals in this period, netting an average of 2.5 goals per game.
- Manchester City have only failed to score in six of their 62 Premier League away games under Pep Guardiola. Three of those games have been on Merseyside (2 vs Liverpool, 1 vs Everton) and the other three have been in London (vs Tottenham, Crystal Palace and Chelsea).
- Despite Liverpool being on the second longest ever unbeaten home run in Premier League history (45 games), the Reds have conceded in each of their last five at Anfield. They last had a longer run without a clean sheet at home in October 2014 (7 games).
- Since becoming Barcelona manager in 2008, Man City boss Pep Guardiola has lost more games against Jurgen Klopp in all competitions than he has against any other manager (7).
- Man City striker Sergio Agüero has made seven Premier League appearances at Anfield without scoring, the ground he has played at the most without finding the net. The Argentinian has had 10 shots across those seven games, with just two on target.
- Liverpool’s Roberto Firmino has had a hand in seven goals in his eight Premier League games against Man City (4 goals, 3 assists), both scoring and assisting a goal in three different games against the Citizens.
- Manchester City striker Sergio Agüero has scored 49 goals in 79 Premier League games played on Sundays and could become just the second player to reach 50 on that specific day of the week after Wayne Rooney (63 goals in 142 games).
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