PREMIER LEAGUE SUNDAY: We preview Sunday’s two Premier League matches with recommended BETDAQ bets and extended match stats. It’s Watford v Man U at 2pm and Tottenham v Chelsea at 4.30pm.
WATFORD V MANCHESTER UNITED
2pm It’s the last Super Sunday in the Premier League before Christmas and we have two cracking games! Manchester United continue to have a yo-yo season where they win games they shouldn’t and lose games they should win. They beat Spurs and Manchester City and then can’t beat Everton at Old Trafford. It’s been typical of them this season. They have turned into the Robin Hood of the Premier League, taking points off the rich and giving them to the needy! They should beat this Watford side who sit bottom, but can we trust them?
The match odds at the time of writing currently trade; Watford 4.7, Manchester United 1.81 and the draw is 4.1. There’s no getting away from the fact that Watford have been very poor this season and sit bottom for that reason. Even a change with the manager didn’t help. They performed OK away to Liverpool last weekend, but lost 2-0 in the end. United keep conceding goals and while you’d expect them to win here, over 2.5 goals at 1.86 makes a lot more appeal than the away win at 1.81. They haven’t kept a clean sheet for 12 Premier League games, and overs should be shroter here.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Over 2.5 goals at 1.86.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQwatmun
MATCH STATS
- After going six league games unbeaten against Manchester United between 1984-1986 (W2 D4), Watford have lost 14 of their last 15 against the Red Devils in the top-flight (W1).
- Manchester United have won 11 of their 12 Premier League meetings with Watford (92%) – only against Wigan (15/16; 94%) do they have a higher win rate in the competition (min. 10 meetings).
- No side are currently on a longer run without a Premier League clean sheet than Manchester United (12 games). The Red Devils last had a longer run without a clean sheet in the top-flight between September 1970-February 1971 (21 games).
- Following their 2-1 win at Man City in their last away game, Man Utd are looking for back-to-back away league wins for the first time since February. They’ve lost just one of their last nine away games against sides starting the day bottom (W7 D1), going down 1-2 against Wolves in February 2011.
- Watford have won just nine points in their first 17 Premier League matches this season; each of the previous nine occasions a team has won fewer than 10 points in their first 17 matches has seen them go on to be relegated.
- Watford have converted just 4.7% of their shots in to goals in the Premier League this season (nine goals from 197 shots); this is the worst ratio by a Premier League side in a single season since Sunderland in 2002-03 (also 4.7%). The Black Cats finished bottom of the table in that campaign.
- Manchester United’s last direct free-kick goal in the Premier League came exactly a year ago on the day of this game (22nd December 2018 vs Cardiff). Since then, the Red Devils have had 31 shots from direct free-kicks, more than any other side in the competition.
- Watford have failed to score in a league-high 10 Premier League games this season. The Hornets had only failed to find the net in 10 of their 38 games in the competition last term.
- Watford boss Nigel Pearson’s only previous home Premier League match against Man Utd was in September 2014, winning 5-3 with Leicester City. Only six managers have won their
first two home games against the Red Devils in the Premier League, most recently Antonio Conte in 2017. - Marcus Rashford has scored 10 Premier League goals this season (one more than Watford) – the last Man Utd player to score more before Christmas in a Premier League campaign was Zlatan Ibrahimovic in 2016-17 (11).
TOTTENHAM V CHELSEA
4.30pm What a way to spend Sunday afternoon! A London Derby that now has extra spice with Jose Mourinho in charge of Spurs. Mourinho has an excellent record at home against his previous clubs and Chelsea need to improve on their recently performances if they are going to win here. They have lost to Bournemouth, Everton and West Ham in recently weeks while they have struggled to win against Lille and Aston Villa too. Mourinho has definitely improved Spurs going forward but they are still leaking goals.
The match odds at the time of writing currently trade; Tottenham 2.44, Chelsea 3.0 and the draw is 3.8. Based on what we have seen from Chelsea in recently weeks, the 3.0 looks a good value lay with them away from home. They are struggling to play good fluid football at the moment but we much prefer over 2.5 goals at 1.62. We can only see goals here – both sides have been conceding goals for fun lately and Spurs have been excellent going forward. We expect fireworks here and plenty of action.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Over 2.5 goals at 1.62.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQtotche
MATCH STATS
- Tottenham have won three of their last five Premier League games against Chelsea (L2), as many as they had in their previous 20 against them in the competition (W3 D9 L8).
- Chelsea have won just two of their last 13 away league games against Spurs (D5 L6). The Blues had been unbeaten in their 17 top-flight away games against them previously (W11 D6).
- Chelsea have had 53 different Premier League goalscorers against Spurs (excluding own goals), more than any side has had against another in the competition.
- No team has won more Premier League London derby matches than Chelsea (128, level with Arsenal), while only West Ham (100) have lost more such games than Tottenham (87).
- Tottenham have won four of their last five Premier League games (L1), more than they had in their previous 15 in the competition (W3 D6 L6).
- Chelsea have lost four of their last five Premier League matches (W1) – as many as they had in their previous 24 in the competition (W14 D6 L4). The Blues haven’t lost three consecutive Premier League games since November 2015.
- Chelsea have lost 15 matches in all competitions during 2019, their most in a single year since 2000 (also 15). They last lost more in a year back in 1994 (17 defeats).
- Tottenham manager José Mourinho has won 12 and lost none of his 13 home games in all competitions against sides he’s previously managed, including winning all three against Chelsea (once with Inter Milan, twice with Manchester United).
- Tottenham’s Dele Alli has scored five goals in his last four Premier League meetings against Chelsea. Against no side has he scored more goals in the competition (5).
- Son Heung-min has been directly involved in 12 goals in his last nine home games for Tottenham in all competitions, scoring seven and assisting five.
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