PREMIER LEAGUE SUNDAY: We preview Sunday’s Premier League games with a recommended BETDAQ bet and extended match stats. It’s CHELSEA v EVERTON at 2pm and then the small matter of the Manchester derby at 4.30pm as United host City !
CHELSEA V EVERTON
2pm What a fascinating Sunday ahead! All eyes will be on the Manchester Derby later at Old Trafford, but this is a brilliant way to start the day. Chelsea may have knocked Liverpool out of the FA Cup during the week, but they have had some very disappointing results recently and Everton have been very impressive under Carlo Ancelotti. Only Liverpool and Manchester City have won more points than Everton since he took charge. Chelsea haven’t been bombproof at home this season, and this will be a big test for the home side.
The match odds at the time of writing currently trade; Chelsea 1.93, Everton 4.4 and the draw is 3.85. Everton have scored in all ten of their games under Ancelotti and we feel Chelsea should be odds against here. They have had plenty of setbacks at Stamford Bridge this season and although Everton historically have a poor record here, they can get a result today. We make Chelsea at least ten ticks too short and we’re happy to lay the home win from a value point of view.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Chelsea at 1.93.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQcheeve
MATCH STATS
- Chelsea have lost their last two Premier League games against Everton; the Blues haven’t lost three consecutive league games against the Toffees since August 1984 (five in a row).
- Everton are winless in their last 24 away Premier League games against Chelsea (D11 L13) since a 1-0 win in November 1994. The Toffees have only had a longer away winless run in the top-flight against Leeds United between 1946 and 2001 (35 games).
- Chelsea are looking to keep four consecutive home league clean sheets against Everton for the first time since February 1935.
- Since Carlo Ancelotti’s first game in charge of Everton on Boxing Day, only Liverpool (30) and Manchester City (19) have won more Premier League points than the Toffees (18). Indeed, Everton have scored in all 10 of their league games under the Italian – the current longest scoring run in the division.
- Just 38% of Chelsea’s Premier League goals this season have been scored in home games (18/47), the lowest rate in the division. Only two teams have ever scored a lower ratio at home in a completed Premier League campaign – Crystal Palace in 2018-19 (37%) and Man City in 2006-07 (34%).
- Chelsea have won just two of their eight games in the Premier League in 2020 (W2 D4 L2), registering the 11th best record in this calendar year.
- Everton have failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 13 Premier League away games – only Aston Villa (21) are enduring a longer such current run amongst this season’s participants.
- Chelsea wing-back Marcos Alonso has been directly involved in six goals (four goals and two assists) in just 769 minutes of Premier League action this season, averaging a goal involvement every 128 minutes; only Michy Batshuayi (113 minutes) and Tammy Abraham (122) have been involved in a Chelsea goal more frequently.
- Everton manager Carlo Ancelotti has never previously faced Chelsea, who he managed between 2009 and 2011. In away games against teams he’s previously managed, the Italian has won just one of his last 14 games (D5 L8), a 4-0 win at Parma with Napoli in February 2019.
- Richarlison has been directly involved in three goals in five Premier League games against Chelsea (2 goals, 1 assist), finding the net in his last two against them. No Brazilian player has ever scored in three consecutive Premier League appearances against Chelsea (Edu also netted in two between 2003 and 2004).
MANCHESTER UNITED V MANCHESTER CITY
4.30pm What a fixture! Undoubtedly the highlight of the weekend. This could be a massive Manchester Derby for the home side in the race for a top four finish. They will know the results of Chelsea and Spurs before kick-off, and a loss would be a big setback. United fans should know their fate in the next two weeks as they host City here and are away to Spurs next weekend. Two losses and they’re unlikely to see Champions League football unless they can win the Europa League.
The match odds at the time of writing currently trade; Manchester United 5.3, Manchester City 1.68 and the draw is 4.5. Manchester United came out on top when the sides last met in the Carabao Cup, but City had effectively put that tie to bed when winning the first leg so easily here. United have had better success away from home against City recently and although City haven’t been at their best this season – they still have more than enough to outclass this United side at Old Trafford again. United are improving, but not enough to stop City. The away win is too big to ignore at 1.68. City have won on their last three visits here, and they can make that four from four today.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Manchester City to beat Manchester United at 1.68.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQmunmci
MATCH STATS
- Manchester United have lost their last three home games against Manchester City in all competitions – they have only lost four against them consecutively once previously, between January 1926 and February 1931.
- Man City have already lost twice against Man Utd this season, losing in the Premier League and League Cup – they have lost three times against them in three previous seasons; 1956-57, 1995-96 and 2009-10.
- The away side has won six of the last seven matches between Man Utd and Man City in all competitions, with the exception a 3-1 home win for Man City in November 2018.
- Manchester United are looking to complete a league double over Man City for the first time since Alex Ferguson retired, last achieving it in 2009-10. The last Red Devils manager other than Ferguson to achieve a double over City was Dave Sexton in the 1978-79 season.
- Man City have won their last three Premier League matches at Old Trafford, and could become the first top-flight side to win four in a row away to Man Utd since the Citizens themselves did a run of five between 1968-1972.
- Manchester United have kept a clean sheet in three of their last four home league games, including each of the last two. They last recorded three consecutive shutouts at Old Trafford back in February 2018.
- Manchester City are unbeaten in all 10 of their Premier League games in March under manager Pep Guardiola (W8 D2), winning each of the last seven in a row. Their last defeat in the month came in 2016 against Manchester United.
- Man City manager Pep Guardiola has won all three of his Premier League away games against Man Utd – no visiting manager has won more at Old Trafford.
- Since the start of last season, no player has made more errors leading to a goal in the Premier League than Man Utd’s David De Gea (7). The Spaniard has also conceded 33 Premier League goals against Man City (11 more than vs any other opponent), shipping a goal on average every 46 minutes against them.
- In all competitions, Man City’s Sergio Agüero has netted nine goals in Manchester derby matches – only Wayne Rooney (11), Joe Hayes (10) and Francis Lee (10) have netted more in the fixture. Meanwhile, in the Premier League, only Steven Gerrard (5) has scored more goals at Old Trafford as a visiting player than Agüero (4).
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