PREMIER LEAGUE TUESDAY: We preview Tuesday’s Premier League games with extended stats and BETDAQ recommended bets.
ARSENAL V CARDIFF
7.45pm After an FA Cup weekend e have midweek Premier League action to enjoy this week and we start with Arsenal hosting Cardiff. Arsenal will be expected to get the job done here and the markets agree with them trading as short at 1.27 at the time of writing. They have lost ground in the table recently with losses against Liverpool and West Ham, and along with crashing out of the FA Cup when losing 3-1 here against Manchester United – a smooth stress free three points would be very welcome. Cardiff are obviously going through a terrible time at the moment with the disappearance of Emiliano Sala under tragic circumstances – it’s sad that this has been played out in the media with regards to the search and that’s bound to effect the players. We may see a strange atmosphere and feeling around the fixture and we expect Arsenal to win easily – they are 1.77 -1.5 goals and that looks the best bet here.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Arsenal -1.5 goals to beat Cardiff at 1.77.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQArsCar
MATCH STATS
- Arsenal have won all three of their Premier League meetings with Cardiff, scoring eight goals and conceding two.
- In all competitions, Cardiff have lost their last six away games against Arsenal.
- Six of Arsenal’s eight Premier League goals against Cardiff have come in the second half, with five of those coming in the last 10 minutes.
- Cardiff have lost their other two Premier League games played on a Tuesday this season, also against London clubs (1-3 vs West Ham, 0-3 vs Tottenham).
- Arsenal are unbeaten in 11 home league games (W9 D2), winning the last five in a row. Only Liverpool (32) are on a longer current such run in the Premier League.
- Cardiff have scored just one goal in their last five Premier League games, failing to find the net in each of the last three. The Bluebirds are the only side yet to be leading at half-time in any of their Premier League games this season.
- Arsenal are unbeaten in their last 23 home Premier League games against promoted sides (W20 D3), since a 0-1 loss against Newcastle in November 2010. They’ve conceded just 11 goals in that run, keeping 14 clean sheets in the process.
- Arsenal are unbeaten in 33 Premier League home games against sides starting the day in the relegation zone, since a 0-1 loss against West Ham in April 2007 (W32 D1 L0). They’ve won their last 29 in a row since a 4-4 draw with Tottenham in October 2008.
- Cardiff boss Neil Warnock’s three top-flight visits to Arsenal have all ended in defeat, all with different teams in different decades – October 1991 with Notts County (0-2), September 2006 with Sheffield United (0-3) and December 2011 with QPR (0-1).
- Arsenal duo Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and Alexandre Lacazette have each scored four Premier League goals against promoted sides this season – no player has scored more so far this term (Harry Kane also four).
FULHAM V BRIGHTON
7.45pm Fulham battled hard to collect points over Christmas however they are yet to win a game in 2019 and they really need to start picking up points if they want to stay in the Premier League. You can forgive them for losing against Arsenal and Spurs however two 2-1 losses against Oldham in the FA Cup and Burnley who are struggling this season have to be a massive worry heading into this fixture. They are favourites with home advantage tonight; however it’s very difficult to back them looking at how they have been playing. Brighton don’t keep enough clean sheets away from home to be very confident in the Fulham lay however the 2.42 simply looks too short on the home side and we have to lay them.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Fulham at 2.42.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQFulBri
MATCH STATS
- Fulham are winless in their last six league meetings with Brighton, losing five before a 2-2 draw in the reverse fixture in September.
- Brighton have won their last three visits to Craven Cottage against Fulham in league competition, scoring exactly twice each time.
- Fulham have lost their last three Premier League games, including the last two having scored the first goal. Only four teams have ever lost three in a row after opening the scoring in Premier League history (Blackburn April 2007, Sunderland February 2011, Wolves April 2012 and Leicester December 2014).
- Brighton have kept just one clean sheet in their last 13 Premier League games (W3 D3 L7), in a 1-0 home win against Everton in December.
- No side has dropped more points from winning positions than Fulham in the Premier League this season (15, level with Southampton). 10 of those points have been in the 11 games since Claudio Ranieri took charge, more than any other side in that time.
- Brighton have won just one of their last 10 top-flight games in London (D2 L7), a 3-0 win at West Ham in October 2017.
- Just 25% of Brighton’s Premier League wins have come in away games (4/16) – only Swindon (20%) and Fulham themselves (24.8%) have a lower ratio of their Premier League victories on the road.
- Brighton’s Glenn Murray has scored five goals in his last four league games against Fulham, though all of these have come in home games.
- Since the end of the 2015-16 season when Leicester won the title, Claudio Ranieri has won just seven of his 36 Premier League games (D9 L20). Among managers who’ve managed as many as 36 games in that time, only recently departed Huddersfield manager David Wagner (18%) has a worse win percentage than Ranieri (19%).
- Aleksandar Mitrovic has scored 38% of Fulham’s Premier League goals this season (8/21), the highest ratio of any player at any side so far. However, the Serbian has scored just one goal in his last 10 appearances in the competition.
HUDDERSFIELD V EVERTON
7.45pm Everton were in the news for all the wrong reasons in the FA Cup at the weekend, and they will be hoping to steady the ship with a win here against Huddersfield. The home side will have a new manager so we can expect a bit of a “new manager bounce” however as a side they have been very poor this season and it remains to be seen what a new manager can do to keep them up. Everton embarrassed themselves at the weekend when losing to Millwall in the FA Cup and with their fans fighting too it was a day to forget. A major worry for them going into this fixture is they have lost their last three away games against Millwall, Southampton and Brighton – so while Huddersfield are struggling at the bottom of the table; Everton at 2.14 doesn’t exactly jump off the page. We expect a low quality affair and perhaps the new manager bounce will give Huddersfield a bit more intensity – along with Everton’s poor away form we’re happy to back the draw here at 3.35.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Draw at 3.35.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQHddEve
MATCH STATS
- Huddersfield are winless in their last 10 meetings with Everton in all competitions (D5 L5), since a 1-0 win in a top-flight match in March 1956.
- Everton have kept a clean sheet in three of their last four top-flight meetings with Huddersfield.
- Huddersfield haven’t won any of their eight midweek Premier League games (Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday), losing two and drawing six, while conceding 20 goals in the process.
- Across the last 10 Premier League matches, Everton have taken just eight points (W2 D2 L6); in that time, the only sides to win fewer points are Fulham (6) and opponents Huddersfield (1).
- Everton’s last Premier League game against the side starting the day bottom ended in a 1-3 defeat, at home against West Ham back in September. However, they’ve not lost such a game away from home since May 2004 vs Wolves (W6 D7 since).
- In Premier League history, only Sunderland in 2005-06 (9) and Derby in 2007-08 (7) have had fewer points after 23 Premier League games than Huddersfield’s haul of 11 this season. Meanwhile, only Derby in 2007-08 and Aston Villa in 2014-15 (both 11) have scored fewer at this stage than Huddersfield’s 13.
- Only AFC Wimbledon (18) and Bradford (17) have lost more games in English league football this season than Huddersfield (16).
- Huddersfield haven’t scored more than once in any of their last 17 home Premier League games, netting just six goals in total (W2 D3 L12). The only team to have a longer such run in the competition are Sunderland (28 between December 2002 and May 2006).
- Huddersfield have lost their last five home Premier League games – only once in their league history have they lost more in a row at home (7 between April-September 2000).
- Everton’s Dominic Calvert-Lewin has scored in both of his Premier League appearances against Huddersfield, though both games have been at home.
- New Huddersfield manager Jan Siewert will be just the third German to manage in the Premier League after Felix Magath and Jurgen Klopp, both of whom drew their first ever game in the competition.
WOLVERHAMPTON V WEST HAM
7.45pm Both these sides had plenty of action in front of goal in the FA Cup at the weekend with Wolves drawing 2-2 and West Ham losing 4-2. Wolves have seen over 2.5 goals in five of their last six games while West Ham have been scoring and conceding plenty this season too. We expect a good game to watch here and although West Ham lost to Wimbledon at the weekend it’s hard to see them not playing well here – they have been pretty solid in the league this season. Indeed both sides have had very similar form and it’s not a surprise to see that only one point separates the two in the table – Wolves look a little too short to back at 2.14 and that looks a good value lay; however we much prefer over 2.5 goals at 2.02. Looking at the stats we feel overs should be odds on and we’re happy to take the 2.02 – we expect plenty of action.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Over 2.5 goals at 2.02.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQWolWes
MATCH STATS
- Wolves are looking to do the league double over West Ham for the very first time in their history – this is the 30th different campaign in which the sides have faced.
- West Ham are unbeaten in their last three top-flight away games against Wolves, winning two and drawing one since a 1-2 defeat in May 1982.
- West Ham are unbeaten in their last eight Premier League games played on a Tuesday (W6 D2) since a 1-3 defeat at Arsenal in April 2014.
- After drawing their first two home league games this season, none of Wolves’ last 10 at Molineux have ended level (W5 L5).
- After a run of five Premier League games unbeaten on the road, West Ham have lost their last two away from home by a 0-2 scoreline. They last lost three in a row without scoring back in December 2006 (a run of seven).
- West Ham are looking to avoid losing consecutive Premier League games for the first time since October.
- Wolves have won more Premier League games thanks to winners in or after the 90th minute this season than any other side (3), including the reverse fixture against West Ham in September.
- No team has scored more 90th minute goals in the Premier League this season than Wolves (4), while only Burnley (7) have conceded more at this time than West Ham (5).
- Wolves’ Diogo Jota has had a hand in six goals in his last five Premier League appearances (5 goals, 1 assist), including a hat-trick against Leicester last time out. He hadn’t scored or assisted a single goal in any of his first 13 appearances this season.
- Felipe Anderson has been directly involved in four of West Ham’s last five away league goals, scoring three and assisting another.
MANCHESTER UNITED V BURNLEY
8pm Ole Gunner Solskjaer continued his winning run as Manchester United manager with a smooth 3-1 win over Arsenal in the FA Cup at the weekend, and it’s obvious that there is a buzz about Manchester United again with Ole in charge. It’s hard to see Burnley stopping his winning run here; they are without a win in their last 19 away games against United in all competitions and they have been struggling this season too. It seems hard to believe that United are back battling for a Champions League spot after their terrible start to the season and it’s hard to see past a home win here. The Red Devils are trading 1.88 -1.5 goals and that makes a lot of plenty looking at the attacking football that they have been playing under Solskjaer.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Manchester United -1.5 goals to beat Burnley at 1.88.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQMunBly
MATCH STATS
- Since losing their first ever Premier League meeting against them in August 2009, Man Utd are unbeaten in their last eight against Burnley (W5 D3), keeping six clean sheets in that time.
- Burnley are winless in their last 19 away games against Man Utd in all competitions (D7 L12), since winning 5-2 in a top-flight game in September 1962.
- Manchester United have a higher win rate in games played on Tuesdays (62.5%) than any other side in Premier League history, winning 30 of their 48 such matches.
- Tuesday is the only day of the week on which Burnley manager Sean Dyche has never lost a Premier League game, winning three and drawing two of his five games.
- Since beating Chelsea on the opening weekend of the 2017-18 season, Burnley are winless in their last eight away league games against ‘big six’ sides, losing the last four in a row by an aggregate score of 1-14.
- 45% of Burnley’s 22 points won in the Premier League this season have come in their last four games (W3 D1 L0), while 41% of Man Utd’s 44 points this season have come in their six games under Ole Gunnar Solskjaer.
- Burnley have opened the scoring in just six different Premier League games this season (W4 D1 L1) – only Cardiff (3) have done so in fewer matches.
- Man Utd manager Ole Gunnar Solskjaer could become the first ever manager to win his first seven Premier League games in charge of a club. Carlo Ancelotti (Chelsea) and Pep Guardiola (Man City) both also managed six.
- Man Utd striker Romelu Lukaku has had a hand in six goals in his six Premier League starts against Burnley, scoring four and assisting two.
- Marcus Rashford has scored in his last four Premier League appearances for Man Utd – should he score in this match, he would be the third youngest player to score in five in a row in the Premier League, behind Nicolas Anelka in 1998 and Jose Antonio Reyes in 2004.
NEWCASTLE V MANCHESTER CITY
8pm Manchester City are still trying to catch up with Liverpool at the top of the table, and with Klopp’s men playing tomorrow night; City have a chance to get to within one point with a win here. It shows the dominance of City that they are away from home and still trade shorter to win than both Manchester United and Arsenal who are both at home to sides beside Newcastle in the table. At the time of writing, Guardiola’s men are trading as short at 1.21 – with odds like that in the match odds market we have to look around the side markets for some value! City have an excellent record against Newcastle, and it’s nearly impossible to see past an away win here – Newcastle have been in poor form recently too although they have had to play Chelsea and United recently. We expect City to win but Newcastle can keep it reasonably close and we’re happy to lay Any Other Away Win (City to score four or more and win) at 3.6 in the Correct Score market.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Any Other Away Win at 3.6.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQNwcMnc
MATCH STATS
- Newcastle are winless in their last 22 Premier League games against Man City (D3 L19) – both Newcastle’s longest winless run and Man City’s longest unbeaten run against any top-flight opponent.
- Man City have taken 46 points from their last 48 available against Newcastle (W15 D1 L0), scoring 45 goals and conceding nine in that run.
- Newcastle ended a run of five Premier League games without a win against Cardiff last time out, and are looking for back-to-back victories in the competition for the first time since November.
- Newcastle scored more goals in their last Premier League game against Cardiff (3) than they had in their previous five in the competition (2). It was also the first time they’d scored more than twice in a league game this term.
- Manchester City have won their last four Premier League games, winning the last two by a 3-0 scoreline.
- Man City have scored the opening goal a league-high 20 times in Premier League games this season (W18 D0 L2), while Newcastle have lost all 11 of their games in which they’ve conceded first – the highest such 100% defeat record this season.
- Newcastle have won four of their last six home Premier League games against sides starting the day in the top two, losing against Arsenal in December 2013 and Man City in December 2017.
- This will be Man City manager Pep Guardiola’s 100 th Premier League game in charge. He’s won 73 of his 99 so far (D15 L11) – the record for most wins by a manager in their opening 100 matches in the competition is 73, held by Jose Mourinho.
- Man City’s Sergio Aguero has scored 14 goals in his 12 Premier League appearances against Newcastle – more than any player has scored against an opponent for a single club in the competition’s history.
- Man City’s Raheem Sterling is currently on 99 goal involvements in his Premier League career (59 goals, 40 assists in 212 games).
Did you know that as well as checking the realtime prices on BETDAQ below – you can also log into your account and place your bets directly into BETDAQ from BETDAQ TIPS.
