PREMIER LEAGUE WEDNESDAY: We preview Wednesday’s Premier League matches with recommended BETDAQ bets and extended match stats. The action includes the Merseyside Derby between LIVERPOOL v EVERTON.
CHELSEA V ASTON VILLA
7.30pm What a night in store in the Premier League! We have some excellent fixtures tonight including Mourinho back at Old Trafford and the Merseyside Derby. We kick off with Chelsea hosting Aston Villa after a disappointing loss here at the weekend against West Ham. That was definitely a shock result given how bad West Ham have been, and Aston Villa will fancy their chances of getting something here after a 2-2 draw at Old Trafford. Although it seems like most sides take points from Manchester United these days! Chelsea look pretty short here at 1.32, although you’d have to see them getting the job done in the end. Any Other Home Win (Chelsea to score four or more and win) looks very short at 3.65 and we’re very happy to lay those odds to start the night.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Any Other Home Win at 3.65.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQcheast
MATCH STATS
- Chelsea have won their last four Premier League home games against Aston Villa, by an aggregate score of 15-1. They’ve never won five consecutive league games against them at Stamford Bridge.
- Aston Villa have lost eight of their last nine Premier League meetings with Chelsea, with a 1-0 win in March 2014 the exception.
- Chelsea have lost just one of their last 55 Premier League home games against promoted sides (W44 D10), against Bournemouth in December 2015. However, the Blues have drawn their last two such games, last going three without a win against promoted clubs at home in the top-flight in August 1991.
- Aston Villa have lost their last eight Premier League games in London, conceding at least twice in seven of those matches.
- Aston Villa have picked up just one point from their last 39 available in away games against sides starting the day in the top four (W0 D1 L12), with their last such victory coming at Chelsea in December 2011 (3-1).
- Chelsea have already lost more of their seven home league games this season (2) than they did in 19 at Stamford Bridge last term under Maurizio Sarri (1). The Blues haven’t lost consecutive home league games since November 2011.
- Chelsea are yet to gain a single point from a losing position in the Premier League this season, losing all four games in which they’ve fallen behind.
- Aston Villa’s Jack Grealish has been involved in six goals in his last seven Premier League appearances (3 goals, 3 assists) and is one of only three Englishmen to have both scored and assisted at least three goals in the top-flight this season, along with Jamie Vardy and Marcus Rashford.
- Chelsea boss Frank Lampard has lost all three of his meetings as a manager against Aston Villa, all in the Championship with Derby last season, including the play-off final at Wembley.
- Aston Villa have dropped the most points from winning positions in the Premier League this season (13), winning just one of the four away games they’ve led in (W1 D1 L2).
LEICESTER V WATFORD
7.30pm What can you say about Leicester this season! They have been excellent. A very late goal on Sunday kept their winning run going and it’s always the teams with confidence and belief who pull games out of the fire like that. They have an excellent chance to extend that winning run tonight against a struggling Watford side. They had a massive game at the weekend against Southampton and after leading 1-0 they ended up losing 2-1. They now sit nailed to the bottom of the Premier League table, three points adrift from 19th position and if they don’t start picking up points soon they will start to panic; if they aren’t already! Leicester have scored goals for fun this season and with Watford in poor form, we expect Leicester to cover the handicap. They’re currently trading 2.2 -1.5 goals and that looks cracking value.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Leicester -1.5 goals to beat Watford at 2.2.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQleiwat
MATCH STATS
- Leicester have won all five of their Premier League home games against Watford, scoring 10 goals and conceding just one. It’s their best 100% home record against an opponent in the competition.
- Watford beat Leicester 2-1 in March in Brendan Rodgers’ first match in charge of the Foxes – they’ve not won back-to-back league games against them since April 2013 in the Championship.
- Watford have never won a Premier League game on a Wednesday, drawing four and losing 11 of their 15 games. Only West Brom (27 games on Tuesdays) have played more on a specific weekday without a win in the competition.
- Leicester have won their last six Premier League matches – the Foxes have only had a longer winning run once in the top-flight, winning seven in a row between December 1962 and March 1963.
- Watford have won just one of their last 18 Premier League games (D6 L11), beating Norwich 2-0 last month.
- Watford have just eight points from their 14 Premier League games this season – just four of the previous 14 clubs to have eight or fewer points from their opening 14 games in the competition have survived relegation, with Sunderland in 2013-14 the last to do so.
- Leicester City have named the same team in six consecutive Premier League matches – they have never done so in seven games in a row, with the last team to do so Wolves between August and October 2018 (nine in a row).
- Watford have lost their last 14 Premier League matches against teams starting the day in the top-three of the division, conceding 51 goals across those defeats.
- Since Brendan Rodgers’ first Premier League game in charge on March 3rd, Leicester striker Jamie Vardy has scored 22 goals, six more than any other player.
- Watford have scored with just 5.2% of their shots in the Premier League this season, the worst conversion ratio in the division; opponents Leicester have the best ratio (16.1%).
MANCHESTER UNITED V TOTTENHAM
7.30pm What a clash! It’s almost a shame it fell on the same night of the Merseyside Derby, but all eyes will be on Jose Mourinho’s return to Old Trafford. He has got off to a winning start as manager of Spurs, but they continue to concede plenty of goals and the question will be can this Manchester United side take advantage of that? It’s fair to say that they have gone downhill since Mourinho left and one wonders how long Solskjaer can last given the poor results.
The match odds at the time of writing currently trade; Manchester United 2.84, Tottenham 2.68 and the draw is 3.55. It’s hard to see United winning here, they just haven’t been good enough. Spurs will score goals against this United side, but can they improve at the back? United have an excellent record against Spurs but that means nothing given the current situation and at the odds we have to lay United. They just haven’t been good enough this season.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Manchester United at 2.84.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQmuntot
MATCH STATS
- Man Utd have lost three of their last seven home league against Spurs (W4), including this exact fixture 0-3 last season. They’d only lost two of their previous 36 at home against them in the top-flight (W27 D7).
- Tottenham have lost more Premier League games against Man Utd than they have vs any other side in the competition (34).
- The away side won both Premier League meetings between Manchester United and Tottenham last season, after the home side had won seven in a row in such games.
- Manchester United have picked up just 18 points from their opening 14 Premier League matches this season (W4 D6 L4), their worst start to a league season since the 1988-89 campaign, when they also had 18 points and went on to finish 11th.
- Tottenham won their last away league game against West Ham, picking up as many points in that game as they had in their previous 12 on the road in the Premier League (W0 D3 L9).
- Since keeping three consecutive Premier League clean sheets in February, Manchester United have only kept two in their last 25 games in the competition (36 goals conceded)
- Tottenham boss José Mourinho could become just the third manager to win a Premier League away game at Old Trafford with two different clubs (after Martin O’Neill and Rafael Benítez), having won there 3-1 with Chelsea in May 2005.
- José Mourinho could become the first ever Tottenham manager to win their first three top-flight games in charge of the club.
- Both Manchester United and Tottenham Hotspur have dropped 12 points from winning positions in the Premier League this season – only Aston Villa have dropped more (13).
- Tottenham’s Dele Alli has been directly involved in three goals in his last two Premier League games (2 goals, 1 assist), as many as he had in his final 12 appearances under Mauricio Pochettino.
SOUTHAMPTON V NORWICH
7.30pm Southampton came through their massive clash with Watford at the weekend, and now they have another huge game at the bottom of the Premier League! Southampton sit in 18th with 12 points while Norwich are behind them with 11 points. The winner will get a little bit of breathing space and given Everton are expected to lose against Liverpool tonight, three points would be a massive boost for either side. Despite their league position, both sides come into this game off the back of good results. Southampton won at the weekend while Norwich drew with Arsenal after beating Everton away. We expect a very close game here and at the odds we have to lay Southampton at 1.82. From a value point of view, we just see the game being a lot closer than those odds suggest.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Southampton at 1.82.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQsounor
MATCH STATS
- Southampton have lost just one of their last 13 home games against Norwich in all competitions (W8 D4), winning the last three in a row against them at St Mary’s.
- Norwich won their last Premier League meeting with Southampton, 1-0 in January 2016. They last won consecutive top-flight matches against Saints in September 1992.
- Southampton have won just one of their last 12 home evening kick-offs (7pm or later) in the Premier League (D4 L7), beating Fulham 2-0 in February. They’ve lost each of their last three such games by an aggregate score of 2-15.
- Away from home, Norwich are winless in their last 14 evening Premier League matches (D5 L9) since beating local rivals Ipswich 2-1 in September 1994.
- Southampton ended a run of eight home league games without a win last time out against Watford (D3 L5). Saints are now looking to secure back-to-back victories at St Mary’s for the first time since March.
- Following their 2-0 win at Everton in their last away league game, Norwich are looking for back-to-back wins on the road in the top-flight for the first time since January 2012.
- Norwich have kept a clean sheet in two of their last three Premier League away games, as many as they had in their previous 33 on the road in the competition.
- Danny Ings has scored in his last three Premier League games for Southampton – the last player to score in four consecutive appearances for the Saints was Jay Rodriguez in March 2014.
- Southampton’s last 10 Premier League goals have been scored by either Danny Ings (6) or James Ward-Prowse (4).
- 10 of Norwich’s previous 14 Premier League games this season have been against teams starting the day in the bottom half – they’ve lost eight of those games (W2), though won most recently against Everton at Goodison Park.
WOLVES V WEST HAM
7.30pm Where did that win away to Chelsea come from at the weekend for West Ham? That was a shock! The Hammers went into that game in woeful form and come away with three points and their manager lives to fight on – at least for a while anyway the way the Premier League is going! Wolves were held at the weekend against Sheffield United but they have been playing some excellent football to be fair. We’ll have to see more from West Ham before we consider supporting them in the markets as one shock result doesn’t change anything unless it’s followed up. Wolves at 1.82 are big enough to back as they have been rock solid lately and they can get the job done here.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Wolves to beat West Ham at 1.82.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQwolwhu
MATCH STATS
- Wolves won both Premier League meetings with West Ham last season – they’ve never beaten the Hammers in three consecutive league games before.
- West Ham have won just one of their last seven away league games against Wolves (D2 L4), winning 2-0 in the Premier League in August 2009.
- Since beating Blackpool 3-1 in February 2011, West Ham are winless in nine Premier Leagueaway games played on a Wednesday (D2 L7). They’ve failed to score in six of those games, including the last five in a row.
- Wolves are looking to remain unbeaten in 10 consecutive top-flight matches for the first time since January 1972.
- Wolves have drawn more Premier League matches than any other team since the start of last season (17) and are the first top-flight team since Sunderland in 2014-15 to draw eight of their opening 14 matches of a season.
- West Ham have won 15 points from their last 27 available away from home in the Premier League (W4 D3 L2) – 11 of those points have come against sides who started the day in the top half of the table.
- Wolves striker Raúl Jiménez has been involved in 12 goals in his last 10 appearances in all competitions (7 goals, 5 assists), either scoring or assisting in nine of those 10 matches.
- Against Chelsea, West Ham goalkeeper David Martin became the second oldest goalkeeper to keep a clean sheet on his Premier League debut (33 years, 312 days), behind only Bernard Lama in March 1998 (34y 329d), who also did so for West Ham.
- Wolves have lost only two of the nine Premier League games in which they’ve conceded first this season, coming back to draw seven of those games – they have avoided defeat in the last five league games when conceding first, drawing all five.
- Aaron Cresswell has netted three goals in nine Premier League appearances for West Ham this season – his best ever return in a top-flight campaign. Indeed, only Sébastien Haller (4) has scored more for the Hammers this campaign.
LIVERPOOL V EVERTON
8.15pm We end the evening with the Merseyside Derby! What a different season it has been for these two sides. Liverpool are on course to win the Premier League title and will do so barring amazing scenes while Everton are a loss away from going into the bottom three. The manager is surely going to be given his marching orders if they don’t pick up some points soon, and it’s nearly impossible to see them beating this Liverpool side.
The match odds at the time of writing currently trade; Liverpool 1.41, Everton 9.2 and the draw is 5.4. We have had some dull games in the past between these two, but it’s hard to see how Everton can stop this Liverpool team from scoring. They have made Anfield a fortress in recent years and we can only see a home win here. The 1.41 looks massive – given the way Everton have been playing it should be closer to 1.3 and it’s a banker for every BETDAQ Multiple this week.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Liverpool to beat Everton at 1.41.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQliveve
MATCH STATS
- Liverpool are unbeaten in their last 17 Premier League games against Everton (W7 D10). It’s their longest ever unbeaten run against a specific opponent in the competition.
- Everton haven’t won a league game against Liverpool at Anfield since September 1999, courtesy of Kevin Campbell’s strike. The Toffees have drawn nine and lost 10 of their visits since.
- In all competitions, Liverpool are unbeaten in 19 games against Everton (W9 D10), their longest run without defeat against their Merseyside neighbours.
- Everton have failed to score in seven of their last 11 Premier League meetings with Liverpool, netting just once in each of the other four.
- When meeting in midweek matches in the top-flight (Tuesday, Wednesday or Thursday), Liverpool haven’t lost against Everton since May 1985, winning four and drawing five since. Indeed, the last two such games have resulted in 4-0 wins for the Reds.
- Liverpool have scored more 90+ minute winning goals against Everton in the Premier League than any side has against another in the competition’s history (5), with Divock Origi netting one in this exact fixture last season.
- Liverpool are unbeaten in their last 31 Premier League games (W26 D5) – if they avoid defeat here it will be their longest ever run without defeat in top-flight history.
- Everton have conceded more 90th minute Premier League goals than any other side this season (four) and have conceded a 90th minute goal in their last two matches against Norwich and Leicester.
- Liverpool manager Jürgen Klopp has won 99 of his 158 Premier League games. Victory here will see him become the second fastest manager to reach 100 wins in the competition, after José Mourinho (142 games). He would also be the fastest Liverpool manager to 100 wins in top-flight history.
- Everton have lost eight of their opening 14 league matches of a season for the first time since 2011-12 under David Moyes. In only one season in their entire history have they lost more after 14 games – 10 in the 1948-49 season.
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