PREMIER LEAGUE: We preview Wednesday’s Premier League games – all with extended stats and a recommended BETDAQ bet.
BURNLEY V LIVERPOOL
7.45pm The Premier League games keep on coming and we start Wednesday evening with Burnley hosting Liverpool. Burnley have a very poor recent record against Liverpool only winning once in their last eight Premier League games, and they are having a poor season too. They’re in the relegation zone at the moment and it looks like they will really struggle this season – they just aren’t playing well enough to win games. They have had to play Chelsea and Manchester City in their last six games however they have only managed one draw in their last six and they have conceded 17 goals too. Liverpool managed to beat Everton in bizarre circumstances at the weekend but we expect them to overrun Burnley here considering their problems at the back and we expect Liverpool to cover the handicap. Liverpool are trading 1.9 -1.5 goals and that looks massive to start the evening.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Liverpool -1.5 goals to beat Burnley at 1.9.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQBurLfc
MATCH STATS
- Burnley have won just one of their eight Premier League games against Liverpool (D1 L6), beating them 2-0 at Turf Moor in August 2016.
- After keeping a clean sheet in six successive league games against Burnley, Liverpool have conceded at least once in each of their last four against them.
- All seven of Liverpool’s Premier League goals at Turf Moor have come in the second half of matches.
- Liverpool are unbeaten in their last 16 Premier League matches played on Wednesday (W11 D5), since a 1-3 loss at Stoke on Boxing Day 2012.
- Liverpool have won just one of their last seven Premier League away games against sides starting the day in the relegation zone (D2 L4), though it was their last such match at Huddersfield in October.
- Burnley have conceded 12 goals in their six home league games so far this season – it took them 15 games to concede 12 goals at Turf Moor last term, shipping just 17 at home across the whole season.
- Liverpool have conceded just five goals in their 14 Premier League games this season – only once in the history of the top-flight have a conceded fewer at this stage of a campaign (Chelsea, 4 in 2008-09).
- Liverpool’s haul of 36 points this season is their second highest ever tally after 14 top-flight games, with only the 38 amassed in 1990-91 beating it.
- Burnley keeper Joe Hart has conceded more Premier League goals against Liverpool than he has vs any other side (33).
- This will be Burnley boss Sean Dyche’s 300 th league game as a manager (currently P299 W113 D91 L95).
EVERTON V NEWCASTLE
7.45pm Newcastle won’t be looking forward to this fixture as Everton have won eight of the last nine in the Premier League! They suffered an embarrassing 3-0 loss at home against West Ham at the weekend while Everton performed very well away to Liverpool but lost in the last minute with a bizarre goalkeeper error. Everton have been keeping things tight at the back for much of the season, while you couldn’t say the same about Newcastle. They had to wait a while to record their first Premier League victory, however they are still conceding goals and that’s where the difference will come tonight. Newcastle have only managed one win in their last 14 Premier League visits here and with Everton playing good football at the moment, we like the home win at 1.62.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Everton to beat Newcastle at 1.62.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQEveNwt
MATCH STATS
- Everton have won eight of their last nine Premier League games against Newcastle (L1), including each of the last five in a row without conceding a single goal.
- Newcastle have won just one of their last 14 Premier League visits to Goodison Park to face Everton (D3 L10), winning 1-0 in September 2010 thanks to a Hatem Ben Arfa strike.
- Premier League meetings between Everton and Newcastle have seen more penalty goals than any other fixture in the competition (18).
- Everton have won their last four Premier League home games, netting nine goals and conceding just one in return.
- Everton are unbeaten in their last seven midweek matches in the Premier League (W4 D3), since losing 0-3 at Sunderland in May 2016.
- Newcastle haven’t won a midweek Premier League match since December 2013 (5-1 vs Stoke), drawing eight and losing nine played on a Tuesday, Wednesday or Thursday since.
- After beating Burnley 2-1 at Turf Moor in their last away league outing, Newcastle will be looking for back-to-back away wins in the Premier League for only the second time under Rafael Benitez, last doing so in January 2018.
- Newcastle manager Rafael Benitez has won 10 of this 16 Premier League games against Everton (D2 L4); only against West Ham (11) has he won more matches in the competition.
- Everton’s Theo Walcott has had a hand in more Premier League goals against Newcastle than he has vs any other side (10 – 5 goals, 5 assists).
- Everton’s Gylfi Sigurdsson has had a hand in five goals in his last five Premier League home games (4 goals, 1 assist).
FULHAM V LEICESTER
7.45pm Leicester have had a tough run of things lately after the tragic death of their owner after a home game, but they recorded a very solid 2-0 win over Watford at the weekend and they will be hoping to go on a good run now over the Christmas period. Prior to that game they had only scored three goals in five games and recorded just one win – coming away from home against Cardiff. Fulham will see this as a great opportunity to try and get off bottom spot in the Premier League; however they just keep on conceding goals and if they don’t stop that they simply won’t survive this season. We have an open market with the match odds at the time of writing currently; Fulham 3.05, Leicester 2.48 and the draw is 3.55. Considering that Fulham usually concede at some stage and that Leicester are keeping things tight we like the Fulham lay 3.05 – it’s tough to beat Leicester and having the draw onside along with the away win appeals a lot at these odds.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Fulham at 3.05.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQFulLei
MATCH STATS
- This will be the first league game between Fulham and Leicester since the 2003-04 Premier League campaign, when Fulham won both meetings 2-0.
- Leicester City haven’t won away at Fulham in any competition since a second-tier game in April 1983, drawing one and losing three of their visits since.
- Leicester City won the last meeting of any kind against Fulham, beating them 4-3 at the King Power Stadium in a League Cup match in October 2013.
- Fulham are without a clean sheet in 18 Premier League games, conceding 46 goals in the competition since beating Norwich 1-0 in April 2014.
- Leicester are unbeaten in five Premier League games (W2 D3), last going longer without defeat in the competition in May 2016 (12 games) during their title-winning campaign under now-Fulham manager Claudio Ranieri.
- Fulham are looking to secure consecutive home wins in the Premier League for the first time since April 2013.
- Fulham have shipped 35 goals in their 14 league games this season – only Barnsley in 1997-98 (40) have conceded more at this stage of a Premier League campaign.
- Current Fulham boss Claudio Ranieri will face Leicester City for the first time since leaving them in February 2017. The Italian oversaw the Foxes for 63 Premier League games and led them to their only top-flight league title by winning the Premier League in 2015-16.
- Fulham’s Aleksandr Mitrovic has scored five goals in his last five Premier League home games.
- Leicester City striker Jamie Vardy has scored a penalty in both of Leicester’s last two league games and could become just the sixth player to net from the spot in three consecutive appearances in the Premier League after Ian Wright (March 1994), Ruud van Nistelrooy (April 2003), Michael Owen (September 2003), Yohan Cabaye (October 2015) and Sergio Aguero (November 2017).
WOLVERHAMPTON V CHELSEA
7.45pm Wolves had a very good summer in the transfer market and they had a great start to life in the Premier League; however their form has slipped in recent weeks and perhaps this is a good time to bet against them. They lost away to Cardiff at the weekend having taken the lead into HT and prior to that they lost 2-0 here when hosting Huddersfield – they played well against Arsenal and Spurs but they lost to Brighton and Watford prior to that too. There’s no doubt that they will be up for this fixture however Chelsea have been playing some impressive football and they look great value here at 1.82. Wolves have lost their last three games here and with them looking out of form, we expect Chelsea to take advantage. They may have lost their last away game to Spurs; however they should find life easier here and from a value point of view they look massive at 1.82.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Chelsea to beat Wolverhampton at 1.82.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQWolChl
MATCH STATS
- Wolves have lost seven of their eight Premier League games against Chelsea, winning only in January 2011 at Molineux (1-0).
- Chelsea have scored at least twice in all seven of their Premier League victories against Wolves, netting 23 goals in total.
- Chelsea have won their last four meetings with Wolves in all competitions by an aggregate score of 13-1.
- Chelsea have lost just one of their last 13 away league games against promoted sides (W10 D2), though it was in their last such match against Newcastle last season. They’ve not lost consecutive away games vs promoted sides since December 1999 (vs Watford and Sunderland).
- Wolves have already lost six of their 14 Premier League games this season, just one short of their total defeats in the entirety of their Championship winning campaign in 2017-18 (seven in 46 games).
- Chelsea – who lost their last away league game against Spurs – are looking to avoid back-to-back away defeats in the Premier League for the first time since March.
- Wolves have lost their last three Premier League games at Molineux, last losing four on the bounce on home soil in league competition in November 2016.
- Wolves’ last seven home goals in the Premier League have all been scored after half-time – their last first half goal came on the opening weekend against Everton (Ruben Neves).
- Only Raheem Sterling (14) has been directly involved in more Premier League goals this season than Chelsea’s Eden Hazard (12 – 7 goals, 5 assists).
- Chelsea’s Pedro has scored more league goals in 12 appearances this season (5) than he netted in 31 league matches in the whole of 2017-18 (4).
MANCHESTER UNITED V ARSENAL
8pm This is undoubtedly the highlight of the midweek Premier League games and Arsenal beating Spurs 4-2 at the weekend has made the build-up much better. The stats say that Manchester United have an excellent record against Arsenal – they are unbeaten in their last 11 home Premier League games against them; however this is a new Arsenal side. They definitely have more backbone this season and it’s really showing. Mourinho’s United side have looked sluggish all season and their hopes of a Top Four finish are already gone.
We have an open market with the match odds at the time of writing currently trading; Manchester United 2.52, Arsenal 3.05 and the draw is 3.6. It’s difficult to commit to backing United at those odds considering how poor they have been this season – they have even struggled to score goals and win games at Old Trafford. Arsenal have really impressed us this season and they look far better mentally and that’s what you need for the big games. They are a tempting back, however the value looks to be with the United lay at 2.52 – having the “bore draw” onside in a Mourinho game is always helpful and we feel that United shouldn’t be this short against this excellent Arsenal side.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Manchester United at 2.52.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQMunArl
MATCH STATS
- Manchester United are unbeaten in their last 11 home Premier League games against Arsenal (W8 D3), since a 0-1 loss in September 2006.
- Arsenal lost both Premier League meetings with Manchester United last season – they last lost three in a row against them in November 2012.
- Arsenal have only scored more than once in three of their last 39 away league games against Man Utd – and they’ve lost all three of those games (2-4 in November 1984, 2-8 in August 2011 and 2-3 in February 2016).
- This is the first time Man Utd have hosted Arsenal in a midweek Premier League match since May 8th 2002, when Arsenal won 1-0 to clinch the title thanks to a Sylvain Wiltord strike.
- Arsenal have lost their last three midweek Premier League games (Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday), conceding three goals in each defeat (vs Swansea, Man City and Leicester last season).
- Arsenal have scored at least twice in all six of their away league games this season – only Watford last term have scored 2+ goals in their first seven games on the road in a single Premier League campaign.
- Manchester United have conceded 23 goals in their 14 league games this season; it wasn’t until their 30 th Premier League game of 2017-18 that they conceded their 23 rd goal last season.
- Arsenal are unbeaten in their last 19 games in all competitions. They last went 20 without defeat between April/November 2007 (28 games).
- Arsenal have won four of their six away Premier League games this season (D1 L1) – as many as they had in 19 on the road last term (W4 D4 L11).
- Man Utd boss Jose Mourinho has never previously lost in five meetings with Arsenal manager Unai Emery (W4 D1, all in La Liga), with this their first meeting since October 2013 (Mourinho’s Real Madrid beating Emery’s Sevilla 4-1).
- Arsenal’s Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang has scored with each of his last 10 shots on target in the Premier League.
TOTTENHAM V SOUTHAMPTON
8pm Spurs had a very disappointing second half against Arsenal on Sunday and they will be looking to bounce back quickly here. Southampton managed to draw 2-2 with Manchester United on Saturday evening however news broke on Monday morning that they sacked Mark Hughes. You usually see a team respond positively after a manager leaves and perhaps we will see that here – although it’s hard to see Southampton having the quality to beat this Spurs side. Spurs are heavy favourites as they trade 1.4 at the time of writing – they have won eight of their last ten at home to Southampton in the Premier League and it’s hard to see past a home win here. Southampton are on a run of 12 games without a win too and they are really struggling to score goals, we feel that Spurs can cover the handicap here and the 2.12 on them -1.5 goals looks good value.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Tottenham -1.5 goals to beat Southampton at 2.12.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQTtmSou
MATCH STATS
- Tottenham have won eight of their last 10 home league games against Southampton, losing in September 2003 and May 2016.
- Since returning to the Premier League in 2012, Southampton have won just one of their 12 Premier League meetings with Spurs (D2 L9), winning 2-1 at White Hart Lane in May 2016.
- Tottenham have had three different hat-trick scorers in the Premier League against Southampton (Steffen Iversen, Jermain Defoe and Harry Kane). Only Arsenal vs Leicester and Man Utd vs Newcastle (4 each) have had more against a single opponent in the competition.
- Southampton are winless in 12 games in all competitions since beating Crystal Palace 2-0 in September (D7 L5), their longest run since May-October 1998 (13).
- Since the start of last season, Southampton have dropped 33 points from winning positions in the Premier League – at least seven more than any other side.
- Tottenham have scored a league-high nine headed goals in the Premier League this season. However, no team have conceded more headers than Mauricio Pochettino’s side (6).
- Tottenham striker Harry Kane has scored six goals in his last five Premier League games against Southampton, including a hat-trick in this exact fixture last season.
- Tottenham’s Dele Alli has had a hand in eight goals in five Premier League games against Southampton (5 goals, 3 assists), more than he has vs any other side.
- Stuart Armstrong has scored three goals in his last two league games for Southampton and could become the first player to score in three consecutive Premier League appearances for Saints since Manolo Gabbiadini in March 2017.
- Southampton boss Mark Hughes has lost his last four Premier League meetings with Spurs, losing by a four-goal margin each time (all with Stoke between April 2016 and December 2017).
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