PREMIER LEAGUE WEDNESDAY : We look ahead to Wednesday’s Premier League games with extended stats and recommended BETDAQ bets.
CHELSEA V SOUTHAMPTON
7.45pm Chelsea have a top four battle on their hands in 2019 as opposed to the title challenge some were anticipating this season. After Arsenal recorded a win over Fulham on Tuesday, and with a rejuvenated Man United side taking to the field soon after, it is vitally important that Chelsea get three points at home to Southampton. The Saints are coming off back-to-back defeats and have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last six league games. Backing Chelsea seems to be the best bet, but at a price of around 1.28 we have looked elsewhere in the markets for a value bet.
MATCH STATS
- Chelsea have won each of their last seven games against Southampton in all competitions, scoring two or more goals in six of those.
- Southampton have only won three of their 19 visits to Stamford Bridge in the Premier League (D5 L11), most recently a 3-1 win over Jose Mourinho’s Blues in October 2015.
- Chelsea haven’t lost consecutive home Premier League matches since November 2011, when they lost to Arsenal and Liverpool.
- Southampton have lost nine of their last 11 Premier League matches in London (W2).
- Chelsea are playing their first Premier League game of a calendar year at home for the first time since 2013, when they lost 0-1 to QPR thanks to a Shaun Wright-Phillips strike.
- Southampton haven’t won consecutive Premier League away games since March 2017, when they won at Sunderland and Watford.
- Since keeping back-to-back clean sheets in October, Southampton have conceded at least once in their last 10 Premier League games – the longest current run in the competition.
- Southampton have dropped a league-high 15 points from winning positions in the Premier League this season.
- Chelsea striker Olivier Giroud has been directly involved in six goals in his last five appearances against Southampton in all competitions (five goals, one assist), with all four of his Premier League goals against them in this time coming as a substitute.
- Eden Hazard has had a hand in seven goals in his last six matches against Southampton for Chelsea in all competitions, scoring four and assisting three.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Back Draw / Chelsea at 4.4
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQCHESOU
BOURNEMOUTH V WATFORD
7.45pm Bournemouth are coming out of a tough run of fixtures that included Man Utd, Tottenham, Chelsea and Liverpool in their last six, so a home fixture against Watford will be very welcomed by Eddie Howe and co. The Cherries are sitting in 12th position but a win would leave them a point clear of their opponents who find themselves in 9th. Watford meanwhile have picked up four points from their last two away league games and have proven difficult to beat in recent weeks. it’s a tough game to call, with both sides trading around 2.7. We are thinking a lay bet for this one.
MATCH STATS
- Five of the seven previous Premier League meetings between Bournemouth and Watford have been drawn, with both sides winning once each.
- Bournemouth won the reverse league game against Watford 4-0 in October this season; the Cherries last did a league double over the Hornets in the 1962-63 third tier season.
- Bournemouth haven’t started a calendar year with a league win since 2012, when they won 2-0 against Wycombe Wanderers in League One; they’ve drawn five and lost one since.
- Watford have lost their first league match in each of the last seven calendar years, a run stretching back to 2012.
- Since August 2013, Bournemouth have won seven penalties in 11 league meetings with Watford (scoring four), more than any side has against another in that time in the top four tiers.
- Watford are looking to win consecutive away league games for the first time since winning their opening three on the road in the 2017-18 season.
- Bournemouth have lost eight of their last 10 Premier League games (W2), shipping at least two goals in each defeat.
- Bournemouth’s Josh King has scored more Premier League goals against Watford (five) than any other opponent, and has bagged three in his last two against the Hornets in the division.
- Watford’s Jose Holebas has been directly involved in more Premier League goals this season than any other defender (3 goals, 5 assists).
- Victory for Watford will mean they have secured 46 points in 35 Premier League games under Javier Gracia, more than any other Hornets manager in the competition, overtaking Quique Sanchez Flores (45 points in 38 games).
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Bournemouth at 2.76
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQBOUWAT
WOLVES V CRYSTAL PALACE
7.45pm Wolves have been in terrific form this past December, gaining 13 points in their last six games. They managed to prove themselves against top-table teams such as Tottenham and Chelsea. Crystal Palace’s Zaha has failed to either score or assist in his last 11 appearances in the Premier League. With the Eagles’ top striker performing less than his best and the Wolves remarkable form, a back bet at 2.12 with the Wanderers is our best recommendation.
MATCH STATS
- Wolves have only lost one of their last 12 matches against Crystal Palace in the top-flight (W5 D6 L1) and won their only previous Premier League encounter 1-0 in October this season.
- In all competitions, Crystal Palace have only lost one of their last five visits to Molineux (W2 D2), a 2-1 defeat in the Championship in September 2008.
- After drawing their first two home league games this season, none of Wolves’ last eight at Molineux have ended level (W4 L4)..
- Crystal Palace boss Roy Hodgson has only won two of his eight previous Premier League matches against Wolves (D2 L4), both with West Brom in the 2011-12 season.
- Crystal Palace are looking to secure consecutive away wins in the same Premier League season for the first time since April 2017.
- Wolves have taken 13 points from their last six Premier League matches (W4 D1 L1) after taking just one point from their six before that (W0 D1 L5).
- Wolves have scored a league-high ratio 78% of their Premier League goals in the second half of games this season (18/23), with their five goals scored in the opening 45 minutes a league-low figure.
- Coming into this round of matches, no side has failed to score in more different Premier League games this season than Crystal Palace (9, level with Fulham and Huddersfield).
- Wolves striker Raul Jimenez has been directly involved in 10 of the team’s 23 goals in the Premier League this season (six goals and four assists).
- Crystal Palace’s Wilfried Zaha has neither scored or assisted a Premier League goal in his last 11 appearances in the competition – this after a run that saw him score eight and assist another two in his previous 12.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Back Wolves at 2.12
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQWOLCP
HUDDERSFIELD V BURNLEY
7.45pm Both Burnley and Huddersfield are sitting towards the bottom of the Premier League Table at 18th and 20th place respectively. Having failed to score in three of their last five matches, the Terriers are in desperate need of a victory to keep their head above water. Burnley have lost four of their last six matches and have never won an away game in the Premier League in the month of January. It’s a tight match to predict between these two sides. A draw seems like the best bet to us, but you can read the stats below to judge for yourself.
MATCH STATS
- All three previous Premier League games between Huddersfield and Burnley have finished level; only three matchups have seen each of their opening four Premier League fixtures end in a draw – Arsenal v QPR, Southampton v Stoke City and Bournemouth v Watford.
- Burnley are unbeaten in their last six league matches against Huddersfield Town (W3 D3), last losing to them in November 2013 in the Championship (1-2).
- In the top-flight, the last time Huddersfield started a calendar year with a win was in 1951 – against Burnley (D3 L4 since).
- Burnley have never won an away Premier League game in January, collecting just two points in eight attempts (W0 D2 L6).
- Huddersfield failed to score in 11 of their 18 home Premier League matches during 2018 (W3 D3 L12), netting just 10 goals. Only one team in top-flight history failed to score in more home matches during a single calendar year – Sunderland in 1969 (12 matches).
- Burnley have collected just six points from their last 12 away Premier League games (W1 D3 L8) since winning three in a row against West Ham, West Brom and Watford.
- Huddersfield have lost their last seven league matches – they’ve never lost eight in a row in their entire history.
- Huddersfield striker Steve Mounie has had more shots (32) and shots on target (15) without scoring than any other player in the Premier League this season.
- Burnley are looking to secure consecutive Premier League victories for the first time since September, while they last kept back-to-back clean sheets in the competition in December 2017 (a run of three).
- Burnley striker Chris Wood has scored more league goals against Huddersfield (six) than he has versus any other side in the English leagues, although only two of those have come in his last eight league appearances versus the Terriers.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Back the Draw at 3.15
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQHUDBUR
WEST HAM V BRIGHTON
7.45pm These two mid-table teams go toe-to-toe this week at the London Stadium. With only two points separating the pair, a win for Brighton would put them above of the Hammers. West Ham have been in great form for the past month, having tucked away four wins in their last six games opposite Brightons two wins in the last six. Pellegrini’s men have also managed to score at least 2 goals in these four victories. Considering West Ham’s impressive recent form and Brighton’s record with away games, it seems that a back with the Hammers at 2.1 seems to be the best bet.
MATCH STATS
- West Ham have only won one of their seven top-flight matches against Brighton (D1 L5), winning 2-1 in March 1983.
- Brighton have won all three of their Premier League games against West Ham, more than they have against any other side.
- West Ham have lost two of their last three Premier League matches (W1), having lost just one of their eight prior to that (W5 D2 L1).
- Brighton have lost seven of their last eight top-flight games in London, though their only victory in that time was at West Ham last season (3-0).
- West Ham have a 26.5% Premier League win rate in January (won 22/83), lower than in any other month in the competition.
- West Ham’s Felipe Anderson has been directly involved in eight goals in his last 10 Premier League matches (7 goals, 1 assist).
- West Ham have conceded at least once in each of their last seven home Premier League games, the longest current such run in the competition.
- Brighton striker Glenn Murray has only started three away Premier League matches in London – he’s scored in all three, netting five goals in total.
- The only previous occasion Brighton boss Chris Hughton has faced West Ham’s Manuel Pellegrini away from home was in a Premier League meeting between Manchester City and Norwich in November 2013 – Man City won 7-0.
- Brighton’s Glenn Murray has scored four goals in the three previous Premier League matches between Brighton and West Ham, and has six goals in total against the Hammers in the competition, more than he has against any other side.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Back West Ham at 2.1
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQWHUBHA
NEWCASTLE UNITED V MANCHESTER UNITED
8pm Two teams with very contrasting runs of form come face to face at St.James’s Park in the later kick-off as Newcastle host Man United. The Magpies have only recorded one win in their last six games, a stretch that saw them fail to gain maximum points against the likes of Watford, Fulham and Wolves. Next up they take on Man United, who they lost to at Old Trafford despite having a 2-0 lead earlier in the season. With Solskjaer now at the helm, United look to be a completely different proposition, still conceding but scoring for fun having notched up three straight wins; 5-1, 3-1 & 4-1. Anything can happen under the lights at home, but we’re still sticking with the favourites for this one.
MATCH STATS
- Newcastle beat Manchester United 1-0 at St. James’ Park in the Premier League last season; they haven’t won back-to-back home league games against the Red Devils since 1987.
- Manchester United have only lost one of their last eight league games against Newcastle United (W5 D2), although that was their last visit to St. James’ Park in February 2018 (0-1).
- Newcastle manager Rafael Benitez has won each of his last four home games in charge of English clubs against Manchester United in all competitions, twice with Liverpool, once with Chelsea and also with the Magpies last season.
- Manchester United have only lost their first Premier League match in a calendar year in two of the last 22 years (W14 D6 L2), but one of those defeats came at St. James’ Park against Newcastle (0-3 in 2012).
- Manchester United have won 67 of their 99 Premier League games in January – 15 more than any other team has won in the month.
- Newcastle have lost seven of their 10 home Premier League games this season (W2 D1) – only in 2012-13 (9) and 2013-14 (8) have they lost more at St James’ Park in a single campaign in the competition.
- Ole Gunnar Solskjaer is looking to become only the second manager in Man Utd’s history to win his first four league games in charge, after Matt Busby in 1946.
- Since being directly involved in nine goals in his first five Premier League starts against Newcastle (five goals, four assists), Manchester United’s Romelu Lukaku has only had a hand in one goal in his last five starts against the Magpies (one goal).
- Newcastle’s Salomon Rondon has scored three goals in his last five Premier League games – more than he had in his previous 12 in the competition (2).
- Paul Pogba is looking to become only the second Man Utd player to score two or more goals in three consecutive Premier League appearances after Cristiano Ronaldo in December 2006.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Match Result & BTTS – Back Man United at 3.1
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQNEWMUN
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