PREMIER LEAGUE WEDNESDAY: We preview Wednesday’s Premier League fixture between CHELSEA v BRIGHTON, MAN CITY v CARDIFF and TOTTENHAM v CRYSTAL PALACE all with a recommended BETDAQ bet and extended match stats.
CHELSEA V BRIGHTON
7.45pm Chelsea mounted a huge late comeback away to Cardiff at the weekend and they really needed those points in the race for a Top Four finish. They need to keep winning with things so tight and they simply can’t afford to lose or draw fixtures like this. The good news for Chelsea fans is they have an excellent record against Brighton winning all of their last nine meetings in all competitions. They have an excellent home record this season too, only losing once and they’ve kept six clean sheets in their last nine games here.
The markets expect a comfortable home win with the match odds at the time of writing currently trading; Chelsea 1.28, Brighton 15.0 and the draw is 6.2. Brighton are one of the sides who could slip into 18th position if Cardiff collect some points and they go on a run of losing game – so they have plenty of fight for as we come towards the end of the season. It’s hard to see past a Chelsea win here but they just aren’t playing smooth football at the moment – everything seems like hard work. Brighton make a lot of appeal at 2.1 +1.5 goals in the handicap market – we expect Chelsea to grind out a win here, but Brighton can keep it close.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Brighton +1.5 goals to beat Chelsea at 2.1.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQChlBri
MATCH STATS
- Chelsea have won all seven of their league games against Brighton – only Wimbledon against Bournemouth (8/8) have a better 100% win record against an opponent in English Football League history.
- Brighton have lost all four of their away games against Chelsea in all competitions, failing to score each time.
- Chelsea have won their last nine games in all competitions against Brighton, last winning 10 in a row against an opponent vs Bolton between 2008-2014.
- Chelsea have lost just one Premier League home game so far this season (vs Leicester in December), and have kept six clean sheets in their last nine at Stamford Bridge.
- Brighton won their last away Premier League game (2-1 vs Crystal Palace), but haven’t won consecutive league games on the road since November 2017.
- Brighton have lost all nine of their Premier League away games against ‘big six’ sides, scoring just two goals in those matches.
- Brighton have won just one of their 11 midweek Premier League games (D5 L5), winning 3-1 against Crystal Palace earlier this season.
- Chelsea’s Eden Hazard has been directly involved in four goals in his last two Premier League appearances against Brighton, scoring three and assisting another.
- Eden Hazard has been directly involved in 14 of Chelsea’s 29 Premier League goals at Stamford Bridge this season (8 goals, 6 assists), twice that of any other player at the club.
- Brighton’s Glenn Murray has scored a Premier League goal on Monday, Tuesday, Friday, Saturday and Sunday this season. He could become the first player since Zlatan Ibrahimovic in 2016-17 to score on as many as six different days of the week in a single Premier League campaign.
MANCHESTER CITY V CARDIFF
7.45pm Cardiff would have been absolutely gutted to lose against Chelsea at the weekend. Two goals in the last five minutes has really put them in a horrible position in the Premier League table compared to what it could have been – and now they have to play Manchester City away from home, things could hardly get worse! It’s almost impossible to see past a City win here with them in excellent form – they are creating plenty of chances and they’ve won 16 of their last 17 home Premier League games.
The markets agree with City trading the shortest price of any team this season – they are currently trading as short as 1.08! Cardiff are 48.0, while the draw is 17.0 – is anyone brave enough to lay City? Cardiff have lost all ten of their away fixtures against the Big Six this season, and they’ve conceded 27 goals along the way. We can’t see past a City win here but we can also see them not getting out of second gear – they have a busy fixture list coming up with the FA Cup semi-final at the weekend and once they get ahead we can see them relaxing a bit. Any Other Home Win (City to score four or more and win) looks too short at 2.0 in the Correct Score market and we’re happy to lay those odds.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Any Other Home Win at 2.0.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQMciCar
MATCH STATS
- Man City are unbeaten in their last six home league meetings with Cardiff (W4 D2), winning their only such Premier League meeting 4-2 in January 2014.
- Cardiff haven’t kept a league clean sheet against Man City in any of their last 13 meetings (34 goals conceded), since a 0-0 home draw in February 1962.
- Manchester City have won 16 of their last 17 Premier League home games, losing only against Crystal Palace in that run (2-3 in December).
- Man City are unbeaten in their last 35 Premier League home games against promoted sides (W31 D4), since a 0-2 loss vs Reading in February 2007.
- Man City haven’t lost a midweek Premier League home game (Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday) since May 2010 against Tottenham, winning 22 and drawing five since.
- Cardiff have won two of their last five Premier League away games (L3), as many as they had in their first 28 in the competition (W2 D6 L20).
- Cardiff have lost all 10 of their Premier League away games against ‘big six’ opposition, conceding 27 goals in the process.
- Cardiff’s last eight away goals in the Premier League have all been scored in the second half, with half of those being scored in the 90th minute or later. They last netted before half-time away from home in September against Chelsea.
- In six previous away games against Manchester City in all competitions, Cardiff manager Neil Warnock has never won (D2 L4), with his sides failing to score in all six meetings.
- Sergio Aguero has scored 18 goals in 17 home games for Man City in all competitions this season, including 11 in eight so far in 2019.
TOTTENHAM V CRYSTAL PALACE
7.45pm Spurs suffered a late blow against Liverpool at the weekend and now they have been dragged into a fight to stay in the Top Four. It was only a handful of games ago that there was distance between them and Arsenal, United and Chelsea but losses against Liverpool, Southampton, Chelsea and Burnley have really hurt them. There will be huge excitement around this fixture in their new stadium, but a win is so important they can’t afford to lose focus.
The match odds at the time of writing currently trade; Tottenham 1.51, Crystal Palace 7.6 and the draw is 4.7. Spurs will be delighted to have a home ground against as Wembley probably didn’t feel like their ground with all the big fixtures there throughout the season – it will be interesting to see does the occasion get to them. The stats are that they only have one win in their last six games in all competitions, so their form must improve. We feel that Spurs may well win this one but the 1.51 feels at least ten ticks too short given their current run and we’re happy to lay Spurs at the odds.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Tottenham at 1.51.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQTtmCry
MATCH STATS
- Tottenham have won their last seven Premier League meetings against Crystal Palace, six of them by a 1-0 scoreline – against no side have they won more consecutively in the competition (also 7 vs Man City and Swansea).
- Crystal Palace are winless in their last six away league games against Spurs (D2 L4), failing to score in their last five. Their last league win at Spurs was in November 1997, 1-0 courtesy of a Neil Shipperley goal.
- Tottenham have won 1-0 in each of their last five Premier League meetings with Crystal Palace, the longest run of consecutive identical results between two sides in the history of the competition.
- This match will see Tottenham Hotspur become the first club to play a home game at two different stadiums within a single Premier League season.
- Tottenham will be playing their first ever match in their new stadium – they were unbeaten in their last 19 league games at the old White Hart Lane (W17 D2), winning the last 14 in a row.
- Crystal Palace are looking to secure three consecutive away league wins for the first time since August 2015.
- After a run of seven consecutive wins in Premier League London derby matches, Spurs have won just one of their last four such matches (D1 L2).
- Crystal Palace’s only away London derby win this season was at Fulham on the opening weekend – the last top-flight campaign that saw them win two away London derbies was 1997-98 (vs Wimbledon and Spurs).
- Harry Kane has scored 59 home goals for Tottenham in the Premier League – only Jermain Defoe (60) scored more in home games for the club.
- Crystal Palace winger Wilfried Zaha has scored in each of his last three away Premier League games (4 goals in total). No player has ever scored in four consecutive Premier League away appearances for the Eagles.
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