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Most fans know the difference between a quarterback and a quarter-pounder with cheese, so the goal must be to educate without being condescending. The NFL continues to grow in popularity and fans in Britain and Ireland know as much, if not more, about the game – and in particular about betting – than many of their American cousins.
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When betting on NFL or College Football handicaps, avoid overreacting to recent events. The point-spread reflects teams’ abilities, but it also reflects what people think of teams’ abilities. If choosing to react at all, it should be counter to public sentiment. The best time to bet on a team, like the best time to buy a stock, is when the public is selling it off. Remember, NFL favourites have covered the handicap just 48.3 percent of the time since 1970.
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