PROFORM STATS ANALYSIS: Our PROFORM stats identify the key statistical positives and negatives today from Sandown, Doncaster, Perth, Chepstow, Plumpton, Kilbeggan and Dundalk.
With the help from our friends at PROFORM RACING we have identified key statistical positives and negatives for today’s racing.
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Sandown 1-50: Andrew Balding and Jimmy Fortune have had close to double their expected winners when teaming up at Sandown, can Tullius (9.0) beat Western Hymn?
Sandown 2-55: Richard Fahey has saddled 13 winners in the last 14 days, way above his expected too so he is obviously in good form, Gabrial is 12.0.
Sandown 4-05 and 4-35: John Gosden and Paul Hanagan’s strike rate when they team up is 30%, Taqdees is 7.0 and Taqaareed is 8.8.
Doncaster 1-40: Michael Appleby and George Buckell have had nearly three times their expected winners when they have teamed up in the past, Mops Angel is 10.5 for the first at Donnie today.
Doncaster 2-45: Saeed Bin Suroor and Kevin Stott have a 32% strike rate when they team up together, Time Check is 4.4.
Perth 2-00 and 5-15: Malcolm Jefferson and Jamie Hamilton have won 7 from 15 when they have teamed up in the past, with double their expected winners, they have Ethelwyn at 6.8 and Mr Monochrome at 4.3.
Perth 3-40: Malcolm Jefferson has a strike rate of 37% over fences at Perth with over double his expected winners, Pair Of Jacks is 4.0.
Chepstow 6-05 and 7-35: Sean Bowen has a superb record over fences at Chepstow with a 38% strike rate and nearly three times his expected winners. He rides Sun Wild Life at 7.6 and Handsome Buddy at 19.0.
Chepstow 6-35: David Pipe has a 22% strike rate over hurdles at Chepstow, a good bit above his expected, he saddles the favourite here, Dusk Till Dawn at 6.4.
Plumpton 4-50: Suzy Smith and Gavin Sheehan have had exactly double their expected winners when they have teamed up in the past, they team up again with the favourite here Ourmanmassini at 2.58.
Plumpton 6-20: Sheena West and Marc Goldstein have a 39% strike rate when they team up together over fences here, they have the second favourite, Ya Hafed is currently 6.0 on BETDAQ.
Plumpton 7-20: David Bridgwater has an impressive 41% strike rate over fences here, he saddles Edgar at 3.9.
Kilbeggan 8-10: Patrick Mullins has won on 10 of his 22 rides in Kilbeggan Bumpers thus far, above expected, Kolumbus is 3.6. Riding for Willie Mullins, he is 8 from 18, again above expected.
Dundalk 9-00: The lucky last. Damian Joseph English and DW O’Connor have had over double their expected winners when teaming up, Tribal Path is 3.85.
Sandown 1-20: David Elsworth is only 1 from 28 with his runners around Sandown, Justice Law is 11.0.
Sandown 4-05: David Simcock and Oisin Murphy are only 1 from 20 together, disappointing given their expected winners in that time was nearly 5, Adalene is 12.5.
Doncaster 4-25: Royston Ffrench is only 1 from 42 at Doncaster thus far, Dream Bounty is 5.0 to lay on BETDAQ.
Perth 2-00: Gordon Elliott has a good record at Perth, however he is going through a brief rough patch at the moment, he is without a winner in 31 runners, when the expected was over 4, Myztique (2.1) bids to turn it around for him in the first.
Perth 3-05: Dianne Sayer and Harry Challoner have only managed 1 winner from the 40 times they have teamed up together, Gold Chain is 10.0.
Chepstow 4-30 and 5-00: Venetia Williams strike rate over hurdles here is under 5% and she should have had more than double the winners she has saddled, Fionn Mac Cul is 7.6 and Eminent Poet is 9.0.
Chepstow 6-05: Richard Johnson is having a superb season, but his long-term record over fences here is only 6%, and he should have had nearly three times the winners he has had, Trickaway is 10.0 and The Last Bridge is 10.5.
Chepstow 7-35: Tim Vaughan is 0 from 22 with his runners over fences at Chepstow, he saddles two in the 7-35, Mist The Boat at 10.0 and Broome Lane at 17.5.
In the same race, Jonjo O’Neill saddles the favourite, Mission Complete at 4.4 and he has only managed 1 winner from 35 runners over fences here.
Plumpton 6-20: Anna Newton-Smith is only 2 from 40 with her runners over fences at Plumpton, disappointing given her expected was well over 5, Burgess Dream is 11.0.
Dundalk 8-30: AP O’Brien and Ana O’Brien’s strike rate together at Dundalk is under 6%, obviously below expected with the firepower that stable has, Shark Island is 8.4.
BETDAQ BACK of the day on stats: KOLUMBUS 8-10 Kilbeggan, at around 3.6.
BETDAQ LAY of the day on stats: MYZTIQUE 2-00 Perth, at around 2.1.
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